Georgia vs Texas Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 8

min read
FILE - Texas head coach Steve Sarkisian looks on before the Sugar Bowl CFP NCAA semifinal college football game against Washington, Monday, Jan. 1, 2024, in New Orleans. Sarkisianโ€™s contract extension will push his guaranteed salary to $10.3 million this year under details released by the school's Board of Regents. That will make him one of the highest paid coaches in the country after leading the Longhorns to the Big 12 championship and their first appearance in the College Football Playoff (AP Photo/Jacob Kupferman, File)
(AP Photo/Jacob Kupferman)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 16, 2024, 2:09 PM
  • The Texas is a -3.5 point favorite vs. Georgia
  • The Georgia vs. Texas Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
  • TV Channel: ABC

The Georgia Bulldogs (5-1) visit Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium to take on the Texas Longhorns (6-0) on Oct. 19 in Austin, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.

Texas is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Georgia vs. Texas Over/Under is 55.5 total points.

Bet now on Texas vs Georgia & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Georgia vs. Texas Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Georgia+3.5 -11055.5 -110+155
Texas -3.5 -11055.5 -110-185

Georgia vs Texas Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Texas will win this game with 60.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Georgia and Texas, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Georgia vs Texas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas will cover the spread with 53.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Texas vs Georgia and all games with BetMGM


  • Georgia has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+5.55 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Georgia has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.85 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Georgia has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Georgia has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.80 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 13 games (+12.00 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 13 games (+10.40 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Texas have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.90 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Georgia players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Georgia Player Prop Bets Today

  • Arian Smith has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Dominic Lovett has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Carson Beck has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Carson Beck has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Trevor Etienne has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Texas players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Texas Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Gunnar Helm has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Isaiah Bond has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Quinn Ewers has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Jaydon Blue has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Quinn Ewers has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)

Georgia Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia is 1-5 against the spread this college football season (-4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI).

  • Georgia is 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.75 Units / 3.48% ROI
  • Georgia is 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.35 Units / -35.88% ROI
  • Georgia is 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.07% ROI

Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Texas is 5-1 against the spread this college football season (+3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI).

  • Texas is 5-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +5 Units / 0.41% ROI
  • Texas is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Texas is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI

Georgia: Keys to the Game vs. Texas

Georgia is 10-1 (.909) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .438

Georgia is 10-1 (.909) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .491

Georgia is undefeated (13-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .601

Georgia is undefeated (11-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .623

Texas: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia

Texas is undefeated (13-0) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .598

Texas is undefeated (11-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .668

Texas is undefeated (10-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .623

Texas is undefeated (15-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .730

Matchup Notes for Georgia vs. Texas

Texas’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 16.1% of 192 attempts this season — 9th-best among FBS offenses. Georgia’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.5% of attempts this season — T-24th-worst among FBS defenses.

Texas’s offense has averaged 3.0 passing TDs per game this season — T-5th-best among FBS offenses. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 0.8 passing TDs per game this season — T-13th-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia’s offense has thrown for 1,908 passing yards in 6 games (318.0 YPG) this season — 9th-best among FBS offenses. Texas’s defense has allowed just 126.0 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.5% of 221 attempts this season — 17th-best among FBS offenses. Texas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 4.8% of attempts this season — 2nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Georgia’s offense has averaged 2.5 passing TDs per game this season — T-15th-best among FBS offenses. Texas’s defense has allowed just 0.2 passing TDs per game this season — best among FBS defenses.

Georgia Offensive Stats & Trends

Georgia WRs had 7 receptions for 20 or more yards last week– T-most among Power Conference Teams

Georgia’s offense has thrown for 1,908 passing yards in 6 games (318.0 YPG) this season — 9th-best among FBS offenses. Texas’s defense has allowed just 126.0 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia WRs had 7 receptions for 20 or more yards last week– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Georgia TEs have 7 receptions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations since the 2023 season– most among SEC Teams

Georgia’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.5% of 221 attempts this season — 17th-best among FBS offenses. Texas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 4.8% of attempts this season — 2nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Texas Offensive Stats & Trends

Texas Skill Players have 28 receptions in the Red Zone this season– most among SEC Teams

Texas WRs have caught 10 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– most among SEC Teams

Texas’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 16.1% of 192 attempts this season — 9th-best among FBS offenses. Georgia’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.5% of attempts this season — T-24th-worst among FBS defenses.

Texas WRs were targeted 5 times in the Red Zone last week– most among SEC Teams

Texas Skill Players were targeted 10 times in the Red Zone last week– most among SEC Teams

Georgia Bulldogs Defensive Stats & Trends

Georgia did not record a sack (37 pass attempts) last week– T-worst in FBS; Average: 14.6

Georgia allowed passes of 40+ yards on 2 of 37 attempts (5%) last week– worst in the SEC; Average: 2%

Georgia allowed a Completion Pct of just 38% (26 completions/68 attempts) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– best in the SEC; Average: 55%

Georgia has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 12 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 11%.

Georgia has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 34 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in the SEC; Average: 11%.

Texas Longhorns Defensive Stats & Trends

Texas has allowed just 7.7 yards per completion (754 yards/98 completions) this season– best in the SEC; Average: 11.3

Texas has allowed no passing TDs (7 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.1

Texas has allowed no passing TDs (7 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-best in FBS; Average: 3.9

Texas has allowed 125.7 Passing Yards per game (754/6) this season– best in the SEC; Average: 201.7

Texas has allowed no passing TDs (7 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– best in the SEC; Average: 5.0


Bet now on Texas vs Georgia and all games with BetMGM


More College Football Betting at BetMGM

BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.

Whether youโ€™re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Georgia football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State playoff odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.

Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!

BetMGM First Bet Offer
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.