- The Iowa St. is a -3 point favorite vs. West Virginia
- The Iowa State vs. West Virginia Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
- TV Channel: FOX
The Iowa State Cyclones (5-0) visit Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium to take on the West Virginia Mountaineers (3-2) on Oct. 12 in Morgantown, WV. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT.
Iowa St. is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -3 (-115).
The Iowa State vs. West Virginia Over/Under is 51.5 total points.
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Iowa State vs. West Virginia Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Iowa State | -3 -115 | 51.5 -110 | -155 |
| West Virginia | +3 -105 | 51.5 -110 | +130 |
Iowa State vs West Virginia Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Iowa State will win this game with 58.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Iowa St. and West Virginia, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Iowa State vs West Virginia Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts West Virginia will cover the spread with 68.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on West Virginia vs Iowa St. and all games with BetMGM
Iowa State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Iowa State has hit the Moneyline in their last 7 away games (+9.55 Units / 59% ROI)
- Iowa State have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
- Iowa State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+3.15 Units / 49% ROI)
- Iowa State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- Iowa State has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
West Virginia Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- West Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- West Virginia has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- West Virginia have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.90 Units / 39% ROI)
- West Virginia has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- West Virginia has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.70 Units / 22% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Iowa State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Iowa State Player Prop Bets Today
- Rocco Becht has hit the TD Passes Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.55 Units / 82% ROI)
- Rocco Becht has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Jayden Higgins has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jaylin Noel has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Abu Sama III has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for West Virginia players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best West Virginia Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Traylon Ray has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Jaden Bray has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Jahiem White has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Garrett Greene has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Garrett Greene has hit the Passing Yards Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.65 Units / 24% ROI)
Iowa State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Iowa St. is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 20.93% ROI).
- Iowa State is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.2 Units / 10.97% ROI
- Iowa State is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -27.27% ROI
- Iowa State is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 20.45% ROI
West Virginia Against the Spread (ATS) Record
West Virginia is 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.35 Units / -52.81% ROI).
- West Virginia is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.25 Units / -36.76% ROI
- West Virginia is 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
- West Virginia is 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
Iowa State: Keys to the Game vs. West Virginia
Iowa State is winless (0-4) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .360
Iowa State is 8-1 (.889) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– 7th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .694
Iowa State is 8-1 (.889) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 17th-best in FBS; Average: .630
Iowa State is 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-25th-best in FBS; Average: .627
West Virginia: Keys to the Game vs. Iowa State
West Virginia is 9-4 (.692) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-21st-best in FBS; Average: .451
West Virginia is 6-1 (.857) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .682
West Virginia is 10-2 (.833) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-16th-best in FBS; Average: .632
West Virginia is 10-2 (.833) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .667
Matchup Notes for Iowa State vs. West Virginia
West Virginia’s WRs has 172 receptions in 18 games (just 9.6 per game) since the 2023 season — T-worst among Big 12 WRs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 17.9 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.
West Virginia’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.7% of 131 attempts this season — 22nd-best among FBS offenses. Iowa State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.3% of attempts this season — worst among Big 12 defenses.
West Virginia’s WRs has averaged 16.5 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among FBS WRs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 11.3 RAC since the 2023 season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Iowa State’s WRs has averaged 14.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-14th-best among FBS WRs. West Virginia’s defense has allowed 12.9 RAC since the 2023 season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.
Iowa State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 15.1% of 139 attempts this season — 15th-best among FBS offenses. West Virginia’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 16.2% of attempts this season — best among Big 12 defenses.
Iowa State’s WRs has averaged 14.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 4th-best among Big 12 WRs. West Virginia’s defense has allowed 15.0 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-7th-worst among FBS defenses.
Iowa State Offensive Stats & Trends
Iowa State Skill Players have averaged 22.6 yards per reception (339 yards/15 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 10.4
Iowa State’s WRs has averaged 14.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-14th-best among FBS WRs. West Virginia’s defense has allowed 12.9 RAC since the 2023 season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.
Iowa State TEs have averaged 19.5 yards per reception (117 yards/6 catches) in the 1st half this season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.0
Iowa State TEs have averaged 16.2 yards per reception (227 yards/14 catches) this season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 11.2
Iowa State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 15.1% of 139 attempts this season — 15th-best among FBS offenses. West Virginia’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 16.2% of attempts this season — best among Big 12 defenses.
West Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends
West Virginia’s WRs has 172 receptions in 18 games (just 9.6 per game) since the 2023 season — T-worst among Big 12 WRs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 17.9 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.
West Virginia’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.7% of 131 attempts this season — 22nd-best among FBS offenses. Iowa State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.3% of attempts this season — worst among Big 12 defenses.
West Virginia’s WRs has averaged 16.5 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among FBS WRs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 11.3 RAC since the 2023 season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.
West Virginia has gained 1,083 yards on 76 receptions (14.2 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 skill players. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 9.2 Yards Per Reception this season — 8th-best among FBS defenses.
West Virginia’s WRs has gained 844 yards on 51 receptions (16.5 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Power 5 WRs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 9.2 Yards Per Reception this season — best among Big 12 defenses.
Iowa State Cyclones Defensive Stats & Trends
Iowa State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 42% (28 completions/67 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 60%
Iowa State opponents has averaged 6.8 Passing Attempts per TD (68 Pass Attempts/10 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 3.9
Iowa State has allowed 14 rushing TDs on 622 carries (44.4 Carries Per TD) since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 24
Iowa State opponents has averaged 6.8 Passing Attempts per TD (68 Pass Attempts/10 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.9
Iowa State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 42% (28 completions/67 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 60%
West Virginia Mountaineers Defensive Stats & Trends
West Virginia has forced 5 fumbles on 613 carries (122.6 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 41.7
West Virginia has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 8 of 136 attempts (6%) this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 2%
West Virginia has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 8 of 136 attempts (6%) this season– T-2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 2%
West Virginia has allowed 15.2 yards per completion (1,217 yards/80 completions) this season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.4
West Virginia has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 8 of 136 attempts (6%) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%
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