- Iowa is a -5.5 point favorite vs. UCLA
- Iowa vs. UCLA Total (Over/Under): 44.5 points
- TV Channel: FOX
The Iowa Hawkeyes (6-3) visit Rose Bowl to take on the UCLA Bruins (3-5) on Nov. 8 in Pasadena, CA. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST.
Iowa is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).
The Iowa vs. UCLA Over/Under is 44.5 total points.
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Iowa vs. UCLA Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Iowa | -5.5 -110 | 44.5 -110 | -225 |
| UCLA | +5.5 -110 | 44.5 -110 | +180 |
Iowa vs UCLA Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Iowa will win this game with 68.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Iowa and UCLA, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Iowa vs UCLA Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UCLA will cover the spread with 68.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Iowa Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Iowa has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+8.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- Iowa have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 4 away games (+2.05 Units / 39% ROI)
- Iowa has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+1.40 Units / 3% ROI)
- Iowa has hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
UCLA Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- UCLA has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- UCLA has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- UCLA have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- UCLA have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.55 Units / 12% ROI)
- UCLA has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+1.20 Units / 8% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Iowa players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Iowa Player Prop Bets Today
- Reece Vander Zee has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 95% ROI)
- Luke Lachey has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kaleb Johnson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kaleb Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Cade McNamara has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for UCLA players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best UCLA Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Moliki Matavao has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Ethan Garbers has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 65% ROI)
Iowa Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Iowa is 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.45 Units / 4.52% ROI).
- Iowa is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.1 Units / 0.25% ROI
- Iowa is 7-2 when betting the Over for +4.8 Units / 48.24% ROI
- Iowa is 2-7 when betting the Under for -5.65 Units / -57.36% ROI
UCLA Against the Spread (ATS) Record
UCLA is 5-3 against the spread this college football season (+1.75 Units / 20% ROI).
- UCLA is 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.1 Units / 0.78% ROI
- UCLA is 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.25% ROI
- UCLA is 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.75 Units / 20% ROI
Iowa: Keys to the Game vs. UCLA
Iowa is winless (0-5) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .303
Iowa is undefeated (9-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: .638
Iowa is winless (0-5) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .286
Iowa is undefeated (10-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .752
UCLA: Keys to the Game vs. Iowa
UCLA is 10-1 (.909) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-21st-best in FBS; Average: .752
UCLA is 2-5 (.286) when not forcing a fumble this season– T-9th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .535
UCLA is 3-7 (.300) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– 12th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .473
UCLA is 6-2 (.750) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .642
Matchup Notes for Iowa vs. UCLA
UCLA’s TEs has gained 873 yards on 63 receptions (13.9 YPR) since the 2023 season — best among Big Ten TEs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 9.4 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — best among P5 defenses.
UCLA’s TEs has averaged 7.8 targets per game this season — 4th-highest among Big Ten TEs. Iowa’s defense has allowed 3.9 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.
UCLA’s TEs has gained 873 yards on 63 receptions (13.9 YPR) since the 2023 season — best among Big Ten TEs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 9.4 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — best among FBS defenses.
Iowa’s WRs has 123 receptions in 23 games (just 5.3 per game) since the 2023 season — worst among Big Ten WRs. UCLA’s defense has allowed 3.6 receptions per game to TEs since the 2023 season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.
Iowa has 286 receptions in 23 games (just 12.4 per game) since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among FBS skill players. UCLA’s defense has allowed 22.0 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-4th-worst among FBS defenses.
Iowa’s WRs has averaged just 11.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among FBS WRs. UCLA’s defense has allowed just 11.3 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-8th-best among FBS defenses.
Iowa Offensive Stats & Trends
Iowa TEs have averaged 32.0 yards per reception (64 yards/2 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.8
Iowa TEs have averaged 32.0 yards per reception (64 yards/2 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.1
Iowa’s WRs has 123 receptions in 23 games (just 5.3 per game) since the 2023 season — worst among Big Ten WRs. UCLA’s defense has allowed 3.6 receptions per game to TEs since the 2023 season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.
Iowa TEs have averaged 32.0 yards per reception (64 yards/2 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.6
Iowa has 286 receptions in 23 games (just 12.4 per game) since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among FBS skill players. UCLA’s defense has allowed 22.0 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-4th-worst among FBS defenses.
UCLA Offensive Stats & Trends
UCLA’s TEs has gained 873 yards on 63 receptions (13.9 YPR) since the 2023 season — best among Big Ten TEs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 9.4 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — best among P5 defenses.
UCLA’s TEs has averaged 7.8 targets per game this season — 4th-highest among Big Ten TEs. Iowa’s defense has allowed 3.9 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.
UCLA’s TEs has gained 873 yards on 63 receptions (13.9 YPR) since the 2023 season — best among Big Ten TEs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 9.4 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — best among FBS defenses.
UCLA TEs have averaged 13.9 yards per reception (873 yards/63 catches) since the 2023 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.9
UCLA’s TEs has gained 873 yards on 63 receptions (13.9 YPR) since the 2023 season — best among Big Ten TEs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 7.9 Yards Per Reception to TEs since the 2023 season — T-2nd-best among FBS defenses.
Iowa Hawkeyes Defensive Stats & Trends
Iowa has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 265 carries (132.5 Carries Per TD) this season– best in FBS; Average: 23.5
Iowa has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 265 carries (132.5 Carries Per TD) this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 26.6
Iowa has not recorded a sack (24 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 16.6
Iowa has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 27 carries (13.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 4.6
Iowa has allowed 9 rushing TDs on 763 carries (84.8 Carries Per TD) since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 23.8
UCLA Bruins Defensive Stats & Trends
UCLA has allowed 9.5 Yards per Attempt (890 yards/94 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 6.2
UCLA allowed 4 rushing TDs on 54 carries (13.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 5.2
UCLA tackled opponents for a loss on 16 of 54 rushing attempts (30% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
UCLA has tackled opponents for a loss on 29 of 116 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 15%.
UCLA allowed 4 rushing TDs on 54 carries (13.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.7
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