Jacksonville State vs Kennesaw State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 04, 2024, 11:50 AM
  • The Jacksonville State is a -16.5 point favorite vs. Kennesaw State
  • The Jacksonville State vs. Kennesaw State Total(Over/Under): 49 points
  • TV Channel: CBSSN

The Jacksonville State Gamecocks (1-3) visit Fifth Third Bank Stadium to take on the Kennesaw State Owls (0-4) on Oct. 4 in Kennesaw, GA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.

Jacksonville State is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-110).

The Jacksonville State vs. Kennesaw State Over/Under is 49 total points.

Bet now on Kennesaw State vs Jacksonville State & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Jacksonville State vs. Kennesaw State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Jacksonville State-16.5 -11049 -110-800
Kennesaw State +16.5 -11049 -110+550

Jacksonville State vs Kennesaw State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Jacksonville State will win this game with 85.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Jacksonville State and Kennesaw State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Jacksonville State vs Kennesaw State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kennesaw State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Kennesaw State vs Jacksonville State and all games with BetMGM


  • Jacksonville State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.00 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Jacksonville State has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Jacksonville State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Jacksonville State has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+0.40 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Kennesaw State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 2 games (+4.80 Units / 240% ROI)
  • Kennesaw State has hit the Game Total Under in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Kennesaw State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 2 of their last 3 games (+0.85 Units / 26% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Jacksonville State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Jacksonville State Player Prop Bets Today

  • Anwar Lewis has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)

Jacksonville State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Jacksonville State is 0-3 against the spread this college football season (-3.35 Units / -75.28% ROI).

  • Jacksonville State is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -57.14% ROI
  • Jacksonville State is 3-0 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 68.18% ROI
  • Jacksonville State is 0-3 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / -75% ROI

Kennesaw State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kennesaw State is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • Kennesaw State is 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -100% ROI
  • Kennesaw State is 0-3 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
  • Kennesaw State is 3-0 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI

Jacksonville State: Keys to the Game vs. Kennesaw State

Jacksonville State is 10-2 (.833) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 20th-best in FBS; Average: .618

Jacksonville State is 8-4 (.667) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .455

Jacksonville State is 10-2 (.833) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .555

Jacksonville State is 6-4 (.600) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .441

Kennesaw State: Keys to the Game vs. Jacksonville State

Kennesaw State is winless (0-5) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: .630

Kennesaw State is winless (0-5) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .564

Kennesaw State is winless (0-4) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .396

Kennesaw State is winless (0-4) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .440

Matchup Notes for Jacksonville State vs. Kennesaw State

Kennesaw State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.9% of 101 attempts this season — 19th-worst among FBS offenses. Jacksonville State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 17.1% of attempts this season — 3rd-best among FBS defenses.

Kennesaw State’s offense has thrown for 616 passing yards in 5 games (just 123.2 YPG) since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among FBS offenses. Jacksonville State’s defense has allowed 246.8 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 21st-worst among FBS defenses.

Kennesaw State’s RBs has rushed for 254 yards on 83 carries (just 3.1 YPC) since the 2023 season — worst among FBS RBs. Jacksonville State’s defense have allowed just 4.1 YPC to RBs since the 2023 season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.

Jacksonville State has 250 receptions in 17 games (just 14.7 per game) since the 2023 season — T-15th-worst among FBS skill players. Kennesaw State’s defense has allowed 22.8 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among FBS defenses.

Jacksonville State has 250 receptions in 17 games (just 14.7 per game) since the 2023 season — T-15th-worst among FBS skill players. Kennesaw State’s defense has allowed 22.8 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Jacksonville State’s QBs has thrown for 3,164 passing yards in 17 games (just 186.1 YPG) since the 2023 season — 21st-worst among FBS teams. Kennesaw State’s defense has allowed 253.2 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 12th-worst among FBS defenses.

Jacksonville State Offensive Stats & Trends

Jacksonville State has 250 receptions in 17 games (just 14.7 per game) since the 2023 season — T-15th-worst among FBS skill players. Kennesaw State’s defense has allowed 22.8 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among FBS defenses.

Jacksonville State has 250 receptions in 17 games (just 14.7 per game) since the 2023 season — T-15th-worst among FBS skill players. Kennesaw State’s defense has allowed 22.8 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Jacksonville State’s QBs has thrown for 3,164 passing yards in 17 games (just 186.1 YPG) since the 2023 season — 21st-worst among FBS teams. Kennesaw State’s defense has allowed 253.2 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 12th-worst among FBS defenses.

Jacksonville State’s WRs has 179 receptions in 17 games (just 10.5 per game) since the 2023 season — T-31st-worst among FBS WRs. Kennesaw State’s defense has allowed 22.8 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among FBS defenses.

Jacksonville State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.6% of 105 attempts this season — T-33rd-worst among FBS offenses. Kennesaw State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.4% of attempts this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.

Kennesaw State Offensive Stats & Trends

Kennesaw State RBs have averaged 12.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (238 yards / 19 touches) on 3rd down since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.7

Kennesaw State RBs have averaged 1.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (58 yards / 31 touches) on 2nd down since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

Kennesaw State RBs have averaged 2.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (92 yards / 44 touches) on 1st down since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Kennesaw State Skill Players have just one touchdown on 60 receptions since the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.4

Kennesaw State WRs have no touchdowns on 37 receptions since the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.8

Jacksonville State Gamecocks Defensive Stats & Trends

Jacksonville State has allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (8 completions/8 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 60%

Jacksonville State has allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (8 completions/8 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Jacksonville State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 20 of 117 attempts (17%) this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%

Jacksonville State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 20 of 117 attempts (17%) this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 10%

Jacksonville State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 3 of 11 attempts (27%) on 3rd and long this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%

Kennesaw State Owls Defensive Stats & Trends

Kennesaw State has allowed a Completion Pct of 72% (114 completions/159 attempts) since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%

Kennesaw State tackled opponents for a loss on 3 of 7 rushing attempts (43% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Kennesaw State allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (3 completions/3 attempts) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 56%

Kennesaw State allowed a Completion Pct of 79% (30 completions/38 attempts) in the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 61%

Kennesaw State allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (3 completions/3 attempts) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 54%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.