Kent State vs Tennessee Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 3

min read
Tennessee quarterback Nico Iamaleava (8) throws to a receiver during warmups before an NCAA college football game against Vanderbilt Saturday, Nov. 25, 2023, in Knoxville, Tenn. (AP Photo/Wade Payne)
(AP Photo/Wade Payne)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 12, 2024, 11:25 AM
  • Tennessee is a -48.5 point favorite vs. Kent State
  • Kent State vs. Tennessee Total(Over/Under): 62.5 points
  • TV Channel: SECN

The Kent State Golden Flashes (0-2) visit Neyland Stadium to take on the Tennessee Volunteers (2-0) on Sep. 14 in Knoxville, TN. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT.

Tennessee is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -48.5 (-115).

The Kent State vs. Tennessee Over/Under is 62.5 total points.

Bet now on Tennessee vs Kent State & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Kent State vs. Tennessee Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Kent State+48.5 -10562.5 -110+
Tennessee -48.5 -11562.5 -110+

Kent State vs Tennessee Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Tennessee will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Kent State and Tennessee, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Kent State vs Tennessee Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kent State will cover the spread with 66.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Tennessee vs Kent State and all games with BetMGM


  • Kent State has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Kent State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.85 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Kent State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.50 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+6.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.80 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Tennessee have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Tennessee have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Kent State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Kent State Player Prop Bets Today

  • Chrishon McCray has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Tennessee players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tennessee Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Squirrel White has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Bru McCoy has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Dylan Sampson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Nico Iamaleava has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Nico Iamaleava has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 43% ROI)

Kent State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kent State is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.25 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Kent State is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Kent State is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.65% ROI
  • Kent State is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.15 Units / -6.67% ROI

Tennessee Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Tennessee is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 88.89% ROI).

  • Tennessee is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 28.99% ROI
  • Tennessee is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Tennessee is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI

Kent State: Keys to the Game vs. Tennessee

Kent State is winless (0-11) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .517

Kent State is winless (0-9) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .304

Kent State is winless (0-11) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .407

Kent State is winless (0-11) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .448

Tennessee: Keys to the Game vs. Kent State

Tennessee is 17-1 (.944) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .566

Tennessee is 9-1 (.900) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-7th-best in FBS; Average: .566

Tennessee is 9-2 (.692) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .524

Tennessee is 9-2 (.692) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .517

Matchup Notes for Kent State vs. Tennessee

Tennessee’s offense has thrown for 625 passing yards in 2 games (312.5 YPG) this season — 20th-best among FBS offenses. Kent State’s defense has allowed 282.0 passing yards per game this season — 14th-worst among FBS defenses.

Tennessee’s QBs has thrown for 625 passing yards in 2 games (312.5 YPG) this season — 20th-best among FBS teams. Kent State’s defense has allowed 282.0 passing yards per game this season — 14th-worst among FBS defenses.

Tennessee have 312.5 receiving yards per game this season — 19th-best among FBS skill players. Kent State’s defense has allowed 280.5 receiving yards per game this season — 14th-worst among FBS defenses.

Tennessee’s defense has allowed just 14.0 receptions per game this season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.

Kent State has gained 383 yards on 37 receptions (just 10.4 YPR) this season — T-35th-worst among FBS skill players. Tennessee’s defense has allowed just 9.2 Yards Per Reception this season — 35th-best among FBS defenses.

Kent State’s RBs has 11 receptions in 2 games (5.5 per game) this season — T-12th-best among FBS RBs. Tennessee’s defense has allowed just 14.0 receptions per game this season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.

Kent State Offensive Stats & Trends

Tennessee’s defense has allowed just 14.0 receptions per game this season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.

Kent State RBs have averaged 3.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,384 yards / 387 touches) since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Kent State RBs have averaged just 2.3 Yards per Carry (130 yards/57 carries) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Kent State RBs have averaged 2.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (144 yards / 59 touches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

Kent State RBs have averaged just 3.6 Yards per Carry (1,321 yards/371 carries) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends

Tennessee’s offense has thrown for 625 passing yards in 2 games (312.5 YPG) this season — 20th-best among FBS offenses. Kent State’s defense has allowed 282.0 passing yards per game this season — 14th-worst among FBS defenses.

Tennessee’s QBs has thrown for 625 passing yards in 2 games (312.5 YPG) this season — 20th-best among FBS teams. Kent State’s defense has allowed 282.0 passing yards per game this season — 14th-worst among FBS defenses.

Tennessee WRs have averaged a touchdown every 3.5 receptions (14 Rec/4 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among SEC Teams; Average: 1.9

Tennessee RBs have averaged 7.6 Yards per Carry (1,526 yards/202 carries) in the 1st half since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Tennessee TEs have caught 10 touchdown passes in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among Power Conference Teams

Kent State Golden Flashes Defensive Stats & Trends

Kent State has forced 5 fumbles on 539 carries (107.8 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 41.3

Kent State has allowed 4 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-most in FBS

Kent State has allowed 4 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Kent State has sacked opposing QBs on just 5% of pass attempts (18/384) since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Kent State has forced 5 fumbles on 539 carries (107.8 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 41.2

Tennessee Volunteers Defensive Stats & Trends

Tennessee has sacked opponents 20 times on 1st down since the 2023 season– most in the SEC

Tennessee has sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (20/164) on 1st down since the 2023 season– best in the SEC; Average: 6%

Tennessee has tackled opponents for a loss on 114 of 526 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) since the 2023 season– best in the SEC; Average: 17%.

Tennessee has tackled opponents for a loss on 15 of 66 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 9th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Tennessee has tackled opponents for a loss on 114 of 526 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) since the 2023 season– T-6th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.


Bet now on Tennessee vs Kent State and all games with BetMGM


More College Football Betting at BetMGM

BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.

Whether youโ€™re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Georgia national championship odds, Tennessee football’s playoff odds, or Ohio State odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.

Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!

BetMGM First Bet Offer
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.