- The Liberty is a -24.5 point favorite vs. Kennesaw State
- The Liberty vs. Kennesaw State Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
- TV Channel: CBSSN
The Liberty Flames (5-0) visit Fifth Third Bank Stadium to take on the Kennesaw State Owls (0-6) on Oct. 23 in Kennesaw, GA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.
Liberty is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -24.5 (-110).
The Liberty vs. Kennesaw State Over/Under is 45.5 total points.
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Liberty vs. Kennesaw State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Liberty | -24.5 -110 | 45.5 -105 | -3000 |
| Kennesaw State | +24.5 -110 | 45.5 -115 | +1300 |
Liberty vs Kennesaw State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Liberty will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Liberty and Kennesaw State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Liberty vs Kennesaw State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kennesaw State will cover the spread with 54.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Kennesaw State vs Liberty and all games with BetMGM
Liberty Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Liberty has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games (+9.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.60 Units / 5% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 2 of their last 4 away games (+0.90 Units / 21% ROI)
Kennesaw State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Kennesaw State has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- Kennesaw State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 games (+3.80 Units / 127% ROI)
- Kennesaw State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Kennesaw State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- Kennesaw State have covered the 1Q Spread in 2 of their last 3 games (+0.65 Units / 17% ROI)
Liberty Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Liberty is 1-4 against the spread this college football season (-3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI).
- Liberty is 4-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 7.14% ROI
- Liberty is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -3.64% ROI
- Liberty is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -3.64% ROI
Kennesaw State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Kennesaw State is 1-5 against the spread this college football season (-4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI).
- Kennesaw State is 0-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.22 Units / -100% ROI
- Kennesaw State is 1-5 when betting the Over for -4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI
- Kennesaw State is 5-1 when betting the Under for +3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI
Liberty: Keys to the Game vs. Kennesaw State
Liberty is 13-1 (.929) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .382
Liberty is 13-1 (.929) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: .435
Liberty is undefeated (10-0) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .400
Liberty is undefeated (17-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .585
Kennesaw State: Keys to the Game vs. Liberty
Kennesaw State is winless (0-7) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: .624
Kennesaw State is winless (0-1) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .505
Kennesaw State is winless (0-6) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: .485
Kennesaw State is winless (0-4) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .369
Matchup Notes for Liberty vs. Kennesaw State
Kennesaw State’s offense has thrown for 800 passing yards in 7 games (just 114.3 YPG) since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among FBS offenses. Liberty’s defense has allowed 242.7 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 31st-worst among FBS defenses.
Kennesaw State’s WRs has 47 receptions in 7 games (just 6.7 per game) since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among FBS WRs. Liberty’s defense has allowed 20.2 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.
Kennesaw State has 77 receptions in 7 games (just 11.0 per game) since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among FBS skill players. Liberty’s defense has allowed 20.2 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.
Liberty’s WRs has averaged 17.3 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among FBS WRs. Kennesaw State’s defense has allowed just 10.3 RAC since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among FBS defenses.
Liberty’s WRs has averaged 17.3 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among FBS WRs. Kennesaw State’s defense has allowed just 10.3 RAC since the 2023 season — T-best among NonP5 defenses.
Liberty has 255 receptions in 19 games (just 13.4 per game) since the 2023 season — T-9th-worst among FBS skill players. Kennesaw State’s defense has allowed 21.3 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 12th-worst among FBS defenses.
Liberty Offensive Stats & Trends
Liberty Skill Players have averaged 19.0 yards per reception (418 yards/22 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.0
Liberty’s WRs has averaged 17.3 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among FBS WRs. Kennesaw State’s defense has allowed just 10.3 RAC since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among FBS defenses.
Liberty’s WRs has averaged 17.3 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among FBS WRs. Kennesaw State’s defense has allowed just 10.3 RAC since the 2023 season — T-best among NonP5 defenses.
Liberty has 255 receptions in 19 games (just 13.4 per game) since the 2023 season — T-9th-worst among FBS skill players. Kennesaw State’s defense has allowed 21.3 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 12th-worst among FBS defenses.
Liberty’s WRs has averaged 17.3 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among FBS WRs. Kennesaw State’s defense has allowed just 11.1 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-8th-best among FBS defenses.
Kennesaw State Offensive Stats & Trends
Kennesaw State RBs have averaged 1.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (104 yards / 54 touches) on 2nd down since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4
Kennesaw State WRs have no receptions on 3 targets in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 53%
Kennesaw State WRs averaged just 4.7 yards per reception (14 yards/3 catches) in the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.3
Kennesaw State WRs have no touchdowns on 47 receptions since the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.9
Kennesaw State RBs have averaged 9.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (98 yards / 10 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.6
Liberty Flames Defensive Stats & Trends
Liberty has allowed one passing TD (13 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8
Liberty has allowed one passing TD (13 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 3.9
Liberty did not record a sack (56 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1
Liberty did not record a sack (56 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.4
Liberty has allowed a Completion Pct of just 31% (4 completions/13 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%
Kennesaw State Owls Defensive Stats & Trends
Kennesaw State has not recorded a sack (27 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0
Kennesaw State tackled opponents for a loss on 3 of 7 rushing attempts (43% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 15%.
Kennesaw State has not recorded a sack (27 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.3
Kennesaw State has intercepted 2 of 218 attempts (109.0 pass attempts per int.) since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 36.4
Kennesaw State has allowed 5.5 touchdowns per interception (11 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8
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