Louisiana Tech vs Arkansas Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 13

Arkansas tight end Luke Hasz (9) pulls in a touchdown reception in the second half of an NCAA college football game against LSU in Baton Rouge, La., Saturday, Sept. 23, 2023. LSU won 34-31. (AP Photo/Gerald Herbert)
(AP Photo/Gerald Herbert)
  • Arkansas is a -21.5 point favorite vs. Louisiana Tech
  • Louisiana Tech vs. Arkansas Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (4-6) visit Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium to take on the Arkansas Razorbacks (5-5) on Nov. 23 in Fayetteville, AR. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EST.

Arkansas is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -21.5 (-115).

The Louisiana Tech vs. Arkansas Over/Under is 49.5 total points.

Bet now on Arkansas vs Louisiana Tech & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Louisiana Tech vs. Arkansas Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Louisiana Tech+21.5 -10549.5 -110+1000
Arkansas -21.5 -11549.5 -110-2000

Louisiana Tech vs Arkansas Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Arkansas will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Louisiana Tech and Arkansas, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Louisiana Tech vs Arkansas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Louisiana Tech will cover the spread with 87.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Arkansas vs Louisiana Tech and all games with BetMGM


  • Louisiana Tech has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+10.40 Units / 129% ROI)
  • Louisiana Tech has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Louisiana Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.80 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Louisiana Tech have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Louisiana Tech have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.80 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.05 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 games (+3.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.90 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Arkansas have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 games (+1.20 Units / 4% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Louisiana Tech players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Louisiana Tech Player Prop Bets Today

  • Tru Edwards has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Eli Finley has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last away game (+1.05 Units / 105% ROI)
  • Omiri Wiggins has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Marlion Jackson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Arkansas players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Arkansas Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Tyrone Broden has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Luke Hasz has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Braylen Russell has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Louisiana Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Louisiana Tech is 6-4 against the spread this college football season (+1.55 Units / 13.9% ROI).

  • Louisiana Tech is 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.6 Units / -19.51% ROI
  • Louisiana Tech is 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • Louisiana Tech is 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI

Arkansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Arkansas is 7-3 against the spread this college football season (+3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI).

  • Arkansas is 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.2 Units / 7.4% ROI
  • Arkansas is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Arkansas is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

Louisiana Tech: Keys to the Game vs. Arkansas

Louisiana Tech is 1-9 (.100) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .405

Louisiana Tech is 3-10 (.231) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .505

Louisiana Tech is winless (0-13) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .284

Louisiana Tech is 3-14 (.176) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– 7th-worst in FBS; Average: .418

Arkansas: Keys to the Game vs. Louisiana Tech

Arkansas is undefeated (6-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .697

Arkansas is 2-11 (.154) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .450

Arkansas is 3-11 (.214) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .489

Arkansas is winless (0-10) when losing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .439

Matchup Notes for Louisiana Tech vs. Arkansas

Arkansas’s QBs has thrown for 2,779 passing yards in 10 games (277.9 YPG) this season — 19th-best among FBS teams. Louisiana Tech’s defense has allowed just 187.3 passing yards per game this season — 26th-best among FBS defenses.

Arkansas’s WRs has gained 2,131 yards on 140 receptions (15.2 YPR) this season — T-17th-best among FBS WRs. Louisiana Tech’s defense has allowed just 11.4 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.

Arkansas has gained 2,778 yards on 203 receptions (13.7 YPR) this season — T-15th-best among FBS skill players. Louisiana Tech’s defense has allowed just 10.9 Yards Per Reception this season — 33rd-best among FBS defenses.

Louisiana Tech’s RBs has averaged just 6.2 yards after the catch this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS RBs. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 11.0 RAC to RBs this season — T-11th-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisiana Tech’s RBs has averaged just 6.2 yards after the catch this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS RBs. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 12.7 RAC this season — T-worst among SEC defenses.

Louisiana Tech’s RBs has averaged just 6.2 yards after the catch this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS RBs. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 12.7 RAC this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisiana Tech Offensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana Tech’s RBs has averaged just 6.2 yards after the catch this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS RBs. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 11.0 RAC to RBs this season — T-11th-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisiana Tech’s RBs has averaged just 6.2 yards after the catch this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS RBs. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 12.7 RAC this season — T-worst among SEC defenses.

Louisiana Tech’s RBs has averaged just 6.2 yards after the catch this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS RBs. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 12.7 RAC this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisiana Tech Skill Players have fumbled 5 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams

Louisiana Tech WRs have no touchdowns on 22 receptions in close and late situations this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.6

Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends

Arkansas TEs have averaged 21.2 yards per reception (297 yards/14 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.6

Arkansas QBs have fumbled 7 times in the 4th quarter this season– most among FBS Teams

Arkansas TEs have averaged 26.3 yards per reception (158 yards/6 catches) in close and late situations since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.4

Arkansas WRs have averaged a touchdown every 28.0 receptions (140 Rec/5 TDs) this season– worst Receptions Per TD among SEC Teams; Average: 10.6

Arkansas TEs have averaged 21.2 yards per reception (297 yards/14 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.3

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Defensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana Tech opponents has averaged 8.5 Passing Attempts per TD (17 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: 3.9

Louisiana Tech has intercepted 9 of 611 attempts (67.9 pass attempts per int.) since the 2023 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 36.5

Louisiana Tech has allowed a Completion Pct of just 35% (6 completions/17 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%

Louisiana Tech opponents has averaged 8.5 Passing Attempts per TD (17 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– T-3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8

Louisiana Tech has intercepted 9 of 611 attempts (67.9 pass attempts per int.) since the 2023 season– 5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 37.7

Arkansas Razorbacks Defensive Stats & Trends

Arkansas has no interceptions and 23 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 8.7

Arkansas has no interceptions and 9 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 4.9

Arkansas has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 57 rushing attempts (4% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 11%.

Arkansas has allowed 19 TD passes this season– 2nd-most in the SEC

Arkansas has no interceptions and 23 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 10.1


Bet now on Arkansas vs Louisiana Tech and all games with BetMGM


More College Football Betting at BetMGM

BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.

Whether youโ€™re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Georgia football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State playoff odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.

Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!

BetMGM First Bet Offer
About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.