Marshall vs Georgia Southern Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 7

Georgia Southern head coach Clay Helton walks the sidelines during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Coastal Carolina, Saturday, Sept. 30, 2023, in Statesboro, Ga. (AP Photo/Mike Stewart)
(AP Photo/Mike Stewart)
  • The Marshall is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Georgia Southern
  • The Marshall vs. Georgia Southern Total (Over/Under): 61.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPNU

The Marshall Thundering Herd (3-2) visit Allen E. Paulson Stadium to take on the Georgia Southern Eagles (3-2) on Oct. 12 in Statesboro, GA. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT.

Marshall is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Marshall vs. Georgia Southern Over/Under is 61.5 total points.

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Marshall vs. Georgia Southern Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Marshall-2.5 -11061.5 -110-135
Georgia Southern +2.5 -11061.5 -110+110

Marshall vs Georgia Southern Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Marshall will win this game with 57.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Marshall and Georgia Southern, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Marshall vs Georgia Southern Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Georgia Southern will cover the spread with 59.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Marshall has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Marshall have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.45 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Marshall has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.00 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Marshall has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 10 games (+0.95 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Marshall has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 games (+0.15 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.85 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.85 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.75 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Georgia Southern players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Georgia Southern Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Derwin Burgess Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Marshall Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Marshall is 4-0 against the spread this college football season (+4 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Marshall is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • Marshall is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
  • Marshall is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI

Georgia Southern Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia Southern is 4-0 against the spread this college football season (+4 Units / 72.73% ROI).

  • Georgia Southern is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.5 Units / 47.62% ROI
  • Georgia Southern is 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.95 Units / 35.78% ROI
  • Georgia Southern is 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -41.44% ROI

Marshall: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia Southern

Marshall is undefeated (9-0) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .609

Marshall is 8-3 (.727) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– 10th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .570

Marshall is 5-1 (.833) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-6th-best in FBS; Average: .506

Marshall is 3-8 (.273) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– 34th-worst in FBS; Average: .438

Georgia Southern: Keys to the Game vs. Marshall

Georgia Southern is 4-8 (.333) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-35th-worst in FBS; Average: .485

Georgia Southern is 5-1 (.833) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-6th-best in FBS; Average: .506

Georgia Southern is 6-2 (.750) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .632

Georgia Southern is 4-2 (.667) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-14th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .512

Matchup Notes for Marshall vs. Georgia Southern

Georgia Southern’s WRs has averaged 30.9 targets per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-highest among FBS WRs. Marshall’s defense has allowed 13.7 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern’s WRs has 358 receptions in 18 games (19.9 per game) since the 2023 season — 4th-best among FBS WRs. Marshall’s defense has allowed 13.7 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern’s RBs has averaged just 4.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among FBS RBs. Marshall’s defense has allowed just 5.6 RAC to RBs since the 2023 season — 12th-best among FBS defenses.

Marshall’s QBs has thrown for 866 passing yards in 5 games (just 173.2 YPG) this season — 22nd-worst among FBS teams. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 300.2 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among FBS defenses.

Marshall’s offense has thrown for 866 passing yards in 5 games (just 173.2 YPG) this season — 22nd-worst among FBS offenses. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 300.2 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among FBS defenses.

Marshall’s TEs has 3 receptions in 4 games (just 0.8 per game) this season — T-4th-worst among FBS TEs. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 23.0 receptions per game this season — T-5th-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Marshall Offensive Stats & Trends

Marshall’s QBs has thrown for 866 passing yards in 5 games (just 173.2 YPG) this season — 22nd-worst among FBS teams. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 300.2 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among FBS defenses.

Marshall’s offense has thrown for 866 passing yards in 5 games (just 173.2 YPG) this season — 22nd-worst among FBS offenses. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 300.2 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among FBS defenses.

Marshall’s TEs has 3 receptions in 4 games (just 0.8 per game) this season — T-4th-worst among FBS TEs. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 23.0 receptions per game this season — T-5th-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Marshall’s WRs has averaged just 11.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-24th-worst among FBS WRs. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 13.5 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-31st-worst among FBS defenses.

Marshall’s TEs has 3 receptions in 4 games (just 0.8 per game) this season — T-4th-worst among FBS TEs. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed just 2.2 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern Offensive Stats & Trends

Georgia Southern’s WRs has averaged 30.9 targets per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-highest among FBS WRs. Marshall’s defense has allowed 13.7 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern’s WRs has 358 receptions in 18 games (19.9 per game) since the 2023 season — 4th-best among FBS WRs. Marshall’s defense has allowed 13.7 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern’s RBs has averaged just 4.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among FBS RBs. Marshall’s defense has allowed just 5.6 RAC to RBs since the 2023 season — 12th-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern TEs have 18 receptions in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 5th-most among FBS Teams

Georgia Southern Skill Players have averaged 27.3 receptions per game (491/18) since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 18.9

Marshall Thundering Herd Defensive Stats & Trends

Marshall has tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 16 rushing attempts (31% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.

Marshall has tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 16 rushing attempts (31% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 10%.

Marshall has sacked opponents 9 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-most in FBS

Marshall has sacked opponents 9 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Marshall sacked opponents 7 times in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Georgia Southern Eagles Defensive Stats & Trends

Georgia Southern has averaged a sack every 45.2 pass attempts (181 Pass Attempts/4 Sacks) this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 14.9

Georgia Southern has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 27 rushing attempts (4% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 8th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

Georgia Southern has allowed 9.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (2,459 yards / 274 touches) this season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7.0

Georgia Southern has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 27 rushing attempts (4% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Georgia Southern has averaged a sack every 45.2 pass attempts (181 Pass Attempts/4 Sacks) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.1


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About the Author

Shane Jackson

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Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.