Maryland vs Oregon Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 11

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FILE - Oregon coach Dan Lanning reacts to a play against BYU during the first half of an NCAA college football game Sept. 17, 2022, in Eugene, Ore. Oregon and head coach Dan Lanning have agreed to a contract extension that will extend his deal through the 2028 season. The Oregon Board of Trustees unanimously approved the terms of the contract Thursday, July 27, 2023. Lanningโ€™s new deal will pay him a total of $45 million in base salary over six years. (AP Photo/Andy Nelson, File)
(AP Photo/Andy Nelson)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 05, 2024, 3:36 PM
  • Oregon is a -25.5 point favorite vs. Maryland
  • Maryland vs. Oregon Total (Over/Under): 57.5 points
  • TV Channel: BTN

The Maryland Terrapins (4-4) visit Autzen Stadium to take on the Oregon Ducks (9-0) on Nov. 9 in Eugene, OR. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST.

Oregon is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -25.5 (-110).

The Maryland vs. Oregon Over/Under is 57.5 total points.

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Maryland vs. Oregon Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Maryland+25.5 -11057.5 -110+1300
Oregon -25.5 -11057.5 -110-3000

Maryland vs Oregon Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Oregon will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Maryland and Oregon, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Maryland vs Oregon Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Maryland will cover the spread with 89.9% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Maryland has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Maryland have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 12 games (+1.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Oregon has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 13 games (+8.80 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Oregon has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Oregon have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.45 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Oregon have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.45 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Oregon has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+0.85 Units / 1% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Maryland players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Maryland Player Prop Bets Today

  • Roman Hemby has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Tai Felton has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Roman Hemby has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Kaden Prather has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Oregon players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Oregon Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Dillon Gabriel has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Tez Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Traeshon Holden has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Jordan James has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Tez Johnson has hit the Receptions Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 62% ROI)

Maryland Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Maryland is 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.45 Units / -5.08% ROI).

  • Maryland is 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.2 Units / -11.32% ROI
  • Maryland is 7-1 when betting the Over for +5.9 Units / 67.05% ROI
  • Maryland is 1-7 when betting the Under for -6.7 Units / -76.14% ROI

Oregon Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oregon is 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.65 Units / 6.6% ROI).

  • Oregon is 8-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.5 Units / 6.17% ROI
  • Oregon is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
  • Oregon is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI

Maryland: Keys to the Game vs. Oregon

Maryland is 7-4 (.636) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .433

Maryland is 3-5 (.375) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-30th-worst in FBS; Average: .505

Maryland is 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2023 season– T-14th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .696

Maryland is 7-2 (.778) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: .624

Oregon: Keys to the Game vs. Maryland

Oregon is 10-1 (.909) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492

Oregon is undefeated (15-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .619

Oregon is 21-1 (.955) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .636

Oregon is 18-2 (.900) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .598

Matchup Notes for Maryland vs. Oregon

Oregon’s QBs has thrown for 2,694 passing yards in 9 games (299.3 YPG) this season — 10th-best among FBS teams. Maryland’s defense has allowed 275.8 passing yards per game this season — worst among Big Ten defenses.

Oregon’s TEs has 49 receptions in 9 games (5.4 per game) this season — 3rd-best among Big Ten TEs. Maryland’s defense has allowed 20.9 receptions per game this season — 25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Oregon’s TEs has 49 receptions in 9 games (5.4 per game) this season — 3rd-best among Big Ten TEs. Maryland’s defense has allowed 20.9 receptions per game this season — 5th-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Maryland’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.4% of 333 attempts this season — 27th-worst among FBS offenses. Oregon’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.6% of attempts this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.

Maryland’s offense has thrown for 2,516 passing yards in 8 games (314.5 YPG) this season — 9th-best among FBS offenses. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 172.8 passing yards per game this season — 17th-best among FBS defenses.

Maryland’s offense has thrown for 2,516 passing yards in 8 games (314.5 YPG) this season — 9th-best among FBS offenses. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 172.8 passing yards per game this season — 5th-best among Big Ten defenses.

Maryland Offensive Stats & Trends

Maryland’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.4% of 333 attempts this season — 27th-worst among FBS offenses. Oregon’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.6% of attempts this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.

Maryland’s offense has thrown for 2,516 passing yards in 8 games (314.5 YPG) this season — 9th-best among FBS offenses. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 172.8 passing yards per game this season — 17th-best among FBS defenses.

Maryland’s offense has thrown for 2,516 passing yards in 8 games (314.5 YPG) this season — 9th-best among FBS offenses. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 172.8 passing yards per game this season — 5th-best among Big Ten defenses.

Maryland’s QBs has thrown for 6,121 passing yards in 21 games (291.5 YPG) since the 2023 season — 13th-best among FBS teams. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 199.0 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.

Maryland’s WRs has gained 1,876 yards on 157 receptions (just 11.9 YPR) this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS WRs. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.

Oregon Offensive Stats & Trends

Oregon WRs have averaged 19.2 yards per reception (615 yards/32 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 13.6

Oregon Skill Players have averaged 15.7 yards per reception (926 yards/59 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 12.5

Oregon TEs have no touchdowns on 49 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.1

Oregon TEs have no touchdowns on 49 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 18.3

Oregon’s QBs has thrown for 2,694 passing yards in 9 games (299.3 YPG) this season — 10th-best among FBS teams. Maryland’s defense has allowed 275.8 passing yards per game this season — worst among Big Ten defenses.

Maryland Terrapins Defensive Stats & Trends

Maryland has allowed 13.2 yards per completion (2,206 yards/167 completions) this season– 2nd-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 11.0

Maryland has allowed first downs on 45% of pass attempts in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 22%

Maryland has allowed 236.0 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 146.9

Maryland has allowed a Completion Pct of just 41% (9 completions/22 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Maryland has allowed first downs on 45% of pass attempts in the Red Zone this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 25%

Oregon Ducks Defensive Stats & Trends

Oregon has allowed opponents to catch just 7 of 21 passes (33% Reception Pct) in close and late situations this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 60%

Oregon opponents has averaged 43.7 Passing Attempts per TD (262 Pass Attempts/6 Passing TDs) this season– T-3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 22.5

Oregon opponents has averaged 34.3 Passing Attempts per TD (755 Pass Attempts/22 Passing TDs) since the 2023 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 20.5

Oregon has allowed a Completion Pct of just 56% (146 completions/262 attempts) this season– 2nd-best in the Big Ten; Average: 62%

Oregon opponents has averaged 43.7 Passing Attempts per TD (262 Pass Attempts/6 Passing TDs) this season– T-5th-best in FBS; Average: 21.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.