- Maryland is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Virginia
- Maryland vs. Virginia Total(Over/Under): 55.5 points
- TV Channel: ACCN
The Maryland Terrapins (1-1) visit David A. Harrison III Field at Scott Stadium to take on the Virginia Cavaliers (2-0) on Sep. 14 in Charlottesville, VA. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT.
Maryland is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Maryland vs. Virginia Over/Under is 55.5 total points.
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Maryland vs. Virginia Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Maryland | -2.5 -115 | 55.5 -115 | -135 |
| Virginia | +2.5 -105 | 55.5 -105 | +110 |
Maryland vs Virginia Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Maryland will win this game with 57.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Maryland and Virginia, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Maryland vs Virginia Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Virginia will cover the spread with 59.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Maryland Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Maryland has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Maryland has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+4.70 Units / 59% ROI)
- Maryland has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Maryland have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 52% ROI)
- Maryland has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
Virginia Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Virginia has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+9.30 Units / 90% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 games (+8.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- Virginia have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 82% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Maryland players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Maryland Player Prop Bets Today
- Kaden Prather has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Tai Felton has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Roman Hemby has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Roman Hemby has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Virginia players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Virginia Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Tony Muskett has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kobe Pace has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Tony Muskett has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 47% ROI)
Maryland Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Maryland is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Maryland is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -15.44% ROI
- Maryland is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Maryland is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
Virginia Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Virginia is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 45.45% ROI).
- Virginia is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 15.21% ROI
- Virginia is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Virginia is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Maryland: Keys to the Game vs. Virginia
Maryland is 2-6 (.250) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-35th-worst in FBS; Average: .438
Maryland is 8-2 (.727) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– 19th-best in FBS; Average: .524
Maryland is 8-2 (.727) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-20th-best in FBS; Average: .523
Maryland is 6-2 (.667) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .497
Virginia: Keys to the Game vs. Maryland
Virginia is 1-13 (.071) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2022 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .411
Virginia is 2-5 (.200) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .426
Virginia is 1-9 (.083) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2022 season– T-6th-worst in FBS; Average: .399
Virginia is 1-8 (.111) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .407
Matchup Notes for Maryland vs. Virginia
Virginia’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.5% of 69 attempts this season — T-28th-best among FBS offenses. Maryland’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.5% of attempts this season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.
Virginia’s QBs has thrown for 654 passing yards in 2 games (327.0 YPG) this season — 15th-best among FBS teams. Maryland’s defense has allowed 292.5 passing yards per game this season — 9th-worst among FBS defenses.
Virginia’s offense has thrown for 654 passing yards in 2 games (327.0 YPG) this season — 15th-best among FBS offenses. Maryland’s defense has allowed 292.5 passing yards per game this season — 9th-worst among FBS defenses.
Maryland’s offense has thrown for 634 passing yards in 2 games (317.0 YPG) this season — 19th-best among FBS offenses. Virginia’s defense has allowed 256.5 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among ACC defenses.
Maryland’s QBs has thrown for 634 passing yards in 2 games (317.0 YPG) this season — 19th-best among FBS teams. Virginia’s defense has allowed 256.5 passing yards per game this season — 27th-worst among FBS defenses.
Maryland’s TEs has gained 87 yards on 6 receptions (14.5 YPR) this season — 4th-best among Big Ten TEs. Virginia’s defense has allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.
Maryland Offensive Stats & Trends
Maryland’s offense has thrown for 634 passing yards in 2 games (317.0 YPG) this season — 19th-best among FBS offenses. Virginia’s defense has allowed 256.5 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among ACC defenses.
Maryland’s QBs has thrown for 634 passing yards in 2 games (317.0 YPG) this season — 19th-best among FBS teams. Virginia’s defense has allowed 256.5 passing yards per game this season — 27th-worst among FBS defenses.
Maryland’s TEs has gained 87 yards on 6 receptions (14.5 YPR) this season — 4th-best among Big Ten TEs. Virginia’s defense has allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.
Maryland Skill Players have 4 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– most among Big Ten Teams
Maryland Skill Players have 4 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– T-most among FBS Teams
Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends
Virginia’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.5% of 69 attempts this season — T-28th-best among FBS offenses. Maryland’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.5% of attempts this season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.
Virginia’s QBs has thrown for 654 passing yards in 2 games (327.0 YPG) this season — 15th-best among FBS teams. Maryland’s defense has allowed 292.5 passing yards per game this season — 9th-worst among FBS defenses.
Virginia’s offense has thrown for 654 passing yards in 2 games (327.0 YPG) this season — 15th-best among FBS offenses. Maryland’s defense has allowed 292.5 passing yards per game this season — 9th-worst among FBS defenses.
Virginia has gained 654 yards on 50 receptions (13.1 YPR) this season — 4th-best among ACC skill players. Maryland’s defense has allowed 15.4 Yards Per Reception this season — 10th-worst among FBS defenses.
Virginia’s QBs has thrown for 654 passing yards in 2 games (327.0 YPG) this season — 15th-best among FBS teams. Maryland’s defense has allowed 292.5 passing yards per game this season — worst among Big Ten defenses.
Maryland Terrapins Defensive Stats & Trends
Maryland has allowed 15.4 yards per completion (585 yards/38 completions) this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 9.8
Maryland has 5 interceptions this season– T-2nd-most in FBS
Maryland has allowed a Completion Pct of just 35% (6 completions/17 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%
Maryland has allowed a Completion Pct of just 35% (6 completions/17 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– T-5th-best in FBS; Average: 62%
Maryland has allowed a Completion Pct of just 35% (6 completions/17 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in the Big Ten; Average: 60%
Virginia Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends
Virginia has no interceptions (65 pass attempts) this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 30.1
Virginia has no interceptions (65 pass attempts) this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 35.5
Virginia averaged a sack every 34.3 pass attempts (377 Pass Attempts/11 Sacks) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.8
Virginia averaged a sack every 34.3 pass attempts (377 Pass Attempts/11 Sacks) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 14.3
Virginia has sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (18/442) since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 7%
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