- Florida St is a -6.5 point favorite vs. Memphis
- Memphis vs. Florida State Total(Over/Under): 52 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
The Memphis Tigers (2-0) visit Bobby Bowden Field at Doak Campbell Stadium to take on the Florida State Seminoles (0-2) on Sep. 14 in Tallahassee, FL. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Florida St is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Memphis vs. Florida State Over/Under is 52 total points.
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Memphis vs. Florida State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Memphis | +6.5 -110 | 52 -110 | +200 |
| Florida State | -6.5 -110 | 52 -110 | -250 |
Memphis vs Florida State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Florida State will win this game with 65.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Memphis and Florida St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Memphis vs Florida State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Florida State will cover the spread with 65.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Memphis Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Memphis has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- Memphis has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Memphis has hit the Moneyline in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- Memphis has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- Memphis have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.45 Units / 25% ROI)
Florida State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Florida State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- Florida State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.45 Units / 9% ROI)
- Florida State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.50 Units / 6% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Memphis players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Memphis Player Prop Bets Today
- Roc Taylor has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Seth Henigan has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Demeer Blankumsee has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Seth Henigan has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Seth Henigan has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Florida State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Florida State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Roydell Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Lawrance Toafili has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Malik Benson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
Memphis Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Memphis is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Memphis is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 9.52% ROI
- Memphis is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- Memphis is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
Florida State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Florida St is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.25 Units / -100% ROI).
- Florida State is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.35 Units / -100% ROI
- Florida State is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- Florida State is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
Memphis: Keys to the Game vs. Florida State
Memphis is undefeated (6-0) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .495
Memphis is 7-1 (.875) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .404
Memphis is 7-1 (.875) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .418
Memphis is undefeated (7-0) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .425
Florida State: Keys to the Game vs. Memphis
Florida State is undefeated (9-0) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .417
Florida State is undefeated (8-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .419
Florida State is undefeated (8-0) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .433
Florida State is undefeated (9-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .417
Matchup Notes for Memphis vs. Florida State
Florida State has gained 193 yards on 19 receptions (just 10.2 YPR) this season — T-26th-worst among FBS skill players. Memphis’s defense has allowed just 8.1 Yards Per Reception this season — 13th-best among FBS defenses.
Florida State’s WRs has gained 120 yards on 11 receptions (just 10.9 YPR) this season — T-3rd-worst among ACC WRs. Memphis’s defense has allowed just 8.1 Yards Per Reception this season — 13th-best among FBS defenses.
Florida State has gained 193 yards on 19 receptions (just 10.2 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among ACC skill players. Memphis’s defense has allowed just 8.1 Yards Per Reception this season — 13th-best among FBS defenses.
Memphis’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.5% of 62 attempts this season — T-28th-best among FBS offenses. Florida State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.5% of attempts this season — 2nd-best among ACC defenses.
Memphis’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.5% of 62 attempts this season — T-28th-best among FBS offenses. Florida State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.5% of attempts this season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.
Mario Anderson (MEM) has averaged a TD every 6.8 carries this season — 10th-best of Qualified Running Back. Florida State’s defense allowed a touchdown every just 12 carries this season — worst among ACC defenses.
Memphis Offensive Stats & Trends
Memphis WRs have no touchdowns on 25 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.3
Memphis’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.5% of 62 attempts this season — T-28th-best among FBS offenses. Florida State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.5% of attempts this season — 2nd-best among ACC defenses.
Memphis RBs have 13 receptions in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-most among FBS Teams
Memphis RBs have been targeted 36 times in the 1st quarter since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
Memphis’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.5% of 62 attempts this season — T-28th-best among FBS offenses. Florida State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.5% of attempts this season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.
Florida State Offensive Stats & Trends
Florida State RBs have averaged 7.2 Yards per Carry (668 yards/93 carries) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– 5th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0
Florida State has gained 193 yards on 19 receptions (just 10.2 YPR) this season — T-26th-worst among FBS skill players. Memphis’s defense has allowed just 8.1 Yards Per Reception this season — 13th-best among FBS defenses.
Florida State Skill Players have no touchdowns on 19 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.9
Florida State’s WRs has gained 120 yards on 11 receptions (just 10.9 YPR) this season — T-3rd-worst among ACC WRs. Memphis’s defense has allowed just 8.1 Yards Per Reception this season — 13th-best among FBS defenses.
Florida State has gained 193 yards on 19 receptions (just 10.2 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among ACC skill players. Memphis’s defense has allowed just 8.1 Yards Per Reception this season — 13th-best among FBS defenses.
Memphis Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends
Memphis has allowed no passing TDs (54 pass attempts) this season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 21.4
Memphis has not allowed any touchdowns on 33 completions this season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.2
Memphis has averaged a sack every 46.5 pass attempts (93 Pass Attempts/2 Sacks) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– 10th-worst in FBS; Average: 15.9
Memphis has allowed 14 TD passes in close and late situations since the 2022 season– T-most in FBS
Memphis’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 14% of PATs since the 2022 season– 2nd-highest among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 6%
Florida State Seminoles Defensive Stats & Trends
Florida State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 31% (8 completions/26 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2022 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%
Florida State has allowed opponents to catch just 212 of 430 passes (49% Reception Pct) since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 61%
Florida State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 49% (212 completions/431 attempts) since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 61%
Florida State has allowed first downs on 6% of pass attempts on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 50%
Florida State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 25% (4 completions/16 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 62%
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