Middle Tenn State vs Louisiana Tech Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 7

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Louisiana Tech running back Marquis Crosby runs against UTSA linebacker Trey Moore (31) during the second half of an NCAA college football game, Saturday, Nov. 12, 2022, in San Antonio.
(AP Photo/Eric Gay)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 08, 2024, 1:38 PM
  • The Louisiana Tech is a -4.5 point favorite vs. Middle Tenn State
  • The Middle Tennessee vs. Louisiana Tech Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
  • TV Channel: CBSSN

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (1-4) visit Joe Aillet Stadium to take on the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (1-3) on Oct. 10 in Ruston, LA. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT.

Louisiana Tech is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Middle Tennessee vs. Louisiana Tech Over/Under is 49.5 total points.

Bet now on Louisiana Tech vs Middle Tenn State & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Middle Tennessee vs. Louisiana Tech Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Middle Tennessee+4.5 -10549.5 -115+175
Louisiana Tech -4.5 -11549.5 -105-210

Middle Tennessee vs Louisiana Tech Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Louisiana Tech will win this game with 62.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Middle Tenn State and Louisiana Tech, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Middle Tennessee vs Louisiana Tech Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Louisiana Tech will cover the spread with 57.5% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Louisiana Tech vs Middle Tenn State and all games with BetMGM


  • Middle Tennessee has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.95 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.65 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+3.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+2.00 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Louisiana Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 95% ROI)
  • Louisiana Tech has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Louisiana Tech has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 6 games (+1.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Louisiana Tech have covered the 1H Spread in 2 of their last 3 games at home (+0.90 Units / 27% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Middle Tennessee players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Middle Tennessee Player Prop Bets Today

  • Nicholas Vattiato has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.15 Units / 115% ROI)
  • Nicholas Vattiato has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Holden Willis has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Middle Tennessee Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Middle Tenn State is 0-3 against the spread this college football season (-3.25 Units / -59.63% ROI).

  • Middle Tennessee is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -33.33% ROI
  • Middle Tennessee is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 16.36% ROI
  • Middle Tennessee is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -21.82% ROI

Louisiana Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Louisiana Tech is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 45.98% ROI).

  • Louisiana Tech is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • Louisiana Tech is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -2.27% ROI
  • Louisiana Tech is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -2.27% ROI

Middle Tennessee: Keys to the Game vs. Louisiana Tech

Middle Tennessee is 2-10 (.167) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– 7th-worst in FBS; Average: .485

Middle Tennessee is 3-6 (.333) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: .506

Middle Tennessee is 1-10 (.091) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .366

Middle Tennessee is 2-10 (.167) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– 6th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .423

Louisiana Tech: Keys to the Game vs. Middle Tennessee

Louisiana Tech is winless (0-9) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .426

Louisiana Tech is 2-9 (.182) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst in FBS; Average: .485

Louisiana Tech is winless (0-11) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .284

Louisiana Tech is 1-8 (.111) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-5th-worst in FBS; Average: .450

Matchup Notes for Middle Tennessee vs. Louisiana Tech

Louisiana Tech has 344 receptions in 16 games (21.5 per game) since the 2023 season — 33rd-best among FBS skill players. Middle Tennessee’s defense has allowed 23.2 receptions per game since the 2023 season — worst among FBS defenses.

Louisiana Tech’s WRs has 251 receptions in 16 games (15.7 per game) since the 2023 season — T-24th-best among FBS WRs. Middle Tennessee’s defense has allowed 23.2 receptions per game since the 2023 season — worst among NonP5 defenses.

Louisiana Tech’s WRs has 251 receptions in 16 games (15.7 per game) since the 2023 season — T-24th-best among FBS WRs. Middle Tennessee’s defense has allowed 23.2 receptions per game since the 2023 season — worst among FBS defenses.

Middle Tennessee’s WRs has 304 receptions in 17 games (17.9 per game) since the 2023 season — 12th-best among FBS WRs. Louisiana Tech’s defense has allowed just 15.4 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-7th-best among FBS defenses.

Middle Tennessee has 402 receptions in 17 games (23.6 per game) since the 2023 season — T-17th-best among FBS skill players. Louisiana Tech’s defense has allowed just 15.4 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Middle Tennessee’s offense has thrown for 4,523 passing yards in 17 games (266.1 YPG) since the 2023 season — 29th-best among FBS offenses. Louisiana Tech’s defense has allowed just 188.6 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 17th-best among FBS defenses.

Middle Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends

Middle Tennessee’s WRs has 304 receptions in 17 games (17.9 per game) since the 2023 season — 12th-best among FBS WRs. Louisiana Tech’s defense has allowed just 15.4 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-7th-best among FBS defenses.

Middle Tennessee has 402 receptions in 17 games (23.6 per game) since the 2023 season — T-17th-best among FBS skill players. Louisiana Tech’s defense has allowed just 15.4 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Middle Tennessee’s offense has thrown for 4,523 passing yards in 17 games (266.1 YPG) since the 2023 season — 29th-best among FBS offenses. Louisiana Tech’s defense has allowed just 188.6 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 17th-best among FBS defenses.

Middle Tennessee’s QBs has thrown for 4,500 passing yards in 17 games (264.7 YPG) since the 2023 season — 28th-best among FBS teams. Louisiana Tech’s defense has allowed just 188.6 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 17th-best among FBS defenses.

Middle Tennessee’s WRs has 304 receptions in 17 games (17.9 per game) since the 2023 season — 12th-best among FBS WRs. Louisiana Tech’s defense has allowed just 11.1 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — 25th-best among FBS defenses.

Louisiana Tech Offensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana Tech has 344 receptions in 16 games (21.5 per game) since the 2023 season — 33rd-best among FBS skill players. Middle Tennessee’s defense has allowed 23.2 receptions per game since the 2023 season — worst among FBS defenses.

Louisiana Tech’s WRs has 251 receptions in 16 games (15.7 per game) since the 2023 season — T-24th-best among FBS WRs. Middle Tennessee’s defense has allowed 23.2 receptions per game since the 2023 season — worst among NonP5 defenses.

Louisiana Tech’s WRs has 251 receptions in 16 games (15.7 per game) since the 2023 season — T-24th-best among FBS WRs. Middle Tennessee’s defense has allowed 23.2 receptions per game since the 2023 season — worst among FBS defenses.

Louisiana Tech’s WRs has 251 receptions in 16 games (15.7 per game) since the 2023 season — T-24th-best among FBS WRs. Middle Tennessee’s defense has allowed 14.9 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-8th-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisiana Tech has 344 receptions in 16 games (21.5 per game) since the 2023 season — 33rd-best among FBS skill players. Middle Tennessee’s defense has allowed 23.2 receptions per game since the 2023 season — worst among NonP5 defenses.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Defensive Stats & Trends

Middle Tennessee has allowed a Completion Pct of 73% (127 completions/175 attempts) this season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 61%

Middle Tennessee has allowed 319.0 Passing Yards per game (1,595/5) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 213.7

Middle Tennessee has allowed a Completion Pct of 73% (127 completions/175 attempts) this season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Middle Tennessee has allowed 8 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– T-4th-most in FBS

Middle Tennessee has allowed 21 TDs in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-most in FBS

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Defensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana Tech has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 4 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 10%.

Louisiana Tech has allowed a Completion Pct of just 38% (3 completions/8 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 62%

Louisiana Tech has allowed a Completion Pct of just 56% (247 completions/444 attempts) since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%

Louisiana Tech opponents has averaged 42.3 Passing Attempts per TD (127 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) this season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.7

Louisiana Tech has intercepted one of 127 attempts this season– 10th-worst in FBS; Average: 36.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.