- The Mississippi is a -3.5 point favorite vs. LSU
- The Ole Miss vs. LSU Total (Over/Under): 63.5 points
- TV Channel: ABC
The Ole Miss Rebels (5-1) visit Tiger Stadium to take on the LSU Tigers (4-1) on Oct. 12 in Baton Rouge, LA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
Mississippi is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The Ole Miss vs. LSU Over/Under is 63.5 total points.
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Ole Miss vs. LSU Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Ole Miss | -3.5 -105 | 63.5 -110 | -160 |
| LSU | +3.5 -115 | 63.5 -110 | +135 |
Ole Miss vs LSU Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Ole Miss will win this game with 58.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Mississippi and LSU, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Ole Miss vs LSU Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts LSU will cover the spread with 67.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on LSU vs Mississippi and all games with BetMGM
Ole Miss Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Ole Miss has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+5.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- Ole Miss has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- Ole Miss has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.95 Units / 50% ROI)
- Ole Miss have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- Ole Miss has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.65 Units / 22% ROI)
LSU Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- LSU has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.30 Units / 1% ROI)
- LSU has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- LSU has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+2.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- LSU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- LSU have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+1.60 Units / 15% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Ole Miss players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Ole Miss Player Prop Bets Today
- Jordan Watkins has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Caden Prieskorn has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Jaxson Dart has hit the Passing Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 away games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jaxson Dart has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jaxson Dart has hit the TD Passes Under in 3 of his last 4 away games (+1.50 Units / 22% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for LSU players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best LSU Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Mason Taylor has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Garrett Nussmeier has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Garrett Nussmeier has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 47% ROI)
Ole Miss Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Mississippi is 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 34.23% ROI).
- Ole Miss is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.5 Units / -30.55% ROI
- Ole Miss is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -41.44% ROI
- Ole Miss is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.95 Units / 35.78% ROI
LSU Against the Spread (ATS) Record
LSU is 1-4 against the spread this college football season (-3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI).
- LSU is 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.3 Units / 3.77% ROI
- LSU is 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
- LSU is 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
Ole Miss: Keys to the Game vs. LSU
Ole Miss is undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .627
Ole Miss is 7-1 (.875) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-5th-best in FBS; Average: .534
Ole Miss is 14-2 (.875) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– 7th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .667
Ole Miss is 16-2 (.889) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-7th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .691
LSU: Keys to the Game vs. Ole Miss
LSU is undefeated (8-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .627
LSU is 12-1 (.923) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: .616
LSU is 12-2 (.857) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– 17th-best in FBS; Average: .599
LSU is undefeated (6-0) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .709
Matchup Notes for Ole Miss vs. LSU
LSU’s WRs has 301 receptions in 18 games (16.7 per game) since the 2023 season — 17th-best among FBS WRs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed 20.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 29th-worst among FBS defenses.
LSU’s TEs has gained 309 yards on 32 receptions (just 9.7 YPR) this season — 5th-worst among SEC TEs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 9.3 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-best among SEC defenses.
LSU’s WRs has averaged 15.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-9th-best among FBS WRs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 10.7 RAC since the 2023 season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.
Ole Miss’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 18.9% of 196 attempts this season — 3rd-best among FBS offenses. LSU’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.8% of attempts this season — 3rd-best among SEC defenses.
Ole Miss’s WRs has 286 receptions in 19 games (15.1 per game) since the 2023 season — 5th-best among SEC WRs. LSU’s defense has allowed 20.2 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among SEC defenses.
Ole Miss’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 18.9% of 196 attempts this season — 3rd-best among FBS offenses. LSU’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.8% of attempts this season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
Ole Miss Offensive Stats & Trends
Ole Miss QBs have 37 completions for 20 or more yards this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Ole Miss WRs have 33 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– most among SEC Teams
Ole Miss QBs have 23 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down this season– most among FBS Teams
Ole Miss Skill Players have 37 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Ole Miss’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 18.9% of 196 attempts this season — 3rd-best among FBS offenses. LSU’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.8% of attempts this season — 3rd-best among SEC defenses.
LSU Offensive Stats & Trends
LSU’s WRs has 301 receptions in 18 games (16.7 per game) since the 2023 season — 17th-best among FBS WRs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed 20.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 29th-worst among FBS defenses.
LSU’s TEs has gained 309 yards on 32 receptions (just 9.7 YPR) this season — 5th-worst among SEC TEs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 9.3 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-best among SEC defenses.
LSU’s WRs has averaged 15.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-9th-best among FBS WRs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 10.7 RAC since the 2023 season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.
LSU has averaged 14.3 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among SEC skill players. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 10.7 RAC since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among SEC defenses.
LSU’s WRs has 301 receptions in 18 games (16.7 per game) since the 2023 season — 17th-best among FBS WRs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed 20.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among SEC defenses.
Ole Miss Rebels Defensive Stats & Trends
Ole Miss has tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 11 rushing attempts (46% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– best in FBS; Average: 10%.
Ole Miss has tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 11 rushing attempts (46% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.
Ole Miss has tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 11 rushing attempts (46% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– best in the SEC; Average: 11%.
Ole Miss opponents has averaged 104.5 Passing Attempts per TD (209 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 21.7
Ole Miss opponents has averaged 104.5 Passing Attempts per TD (209 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) this season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 23.6
LSU Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends
LSU has allowed a Completion Pct of 72% (51 completions/71 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%
LSU has allowed opponents to catch 51 of 70 passes (73% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%
LSU has allowed a Completion Pct of 72% (51 completions/71 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 55%
LSU has no interceptions and 17 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 10.0
LSU allowed a Completion Pct of 74% (38 completions/51 attempts) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 55%
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