- The Mississippi is a -9.5 point favorite vs. South Carolina
- The Ole Miss vs. South Carolina Total (Over/Under): 53.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
The Ole Miss Rebels (4-1) visit Williams-Brice Stadium to take on the South Carolina Gamecocks (3-1) on Oct. 5 in Columbia, SC. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
Mississippi is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).
The Ole Miss vs. South Carolina Over/Under is 53.5 total points.
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Ole Miss vs. South Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
Ole Miss | -9.5 -110 | 53.5 -110 | -350 |
South Carolina | +9.5 -110 | 53.5 -110 | +270 |
Ole Miss vs South Carolina Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Ole Miss will win this game with 75.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Mississippi and South Carolina, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Ole Miss vs South Carolina Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Ole Miss will cover the spread with 82.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on South Carolina vs Mississippi and all games with BetMGM
Ole Miss Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Ole Miss has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+6.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- Ole Miss has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- Ole Miss has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- Ole Miss has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.95 Units / 50% ROI)
- Ole Miss has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+2.60 Units / 17% ROI)
South Carolina Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- South Carolina has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+8.50 Units / 47% ROI)
- South Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- South Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+3.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- South Carolina have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- South Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+1.80 Units / 6% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Ole Miss players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Ole Miss Player Prop Bets Today
- Jordan Watkins has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Caden Prieskorn has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Jaxson Dart has hit the Passing Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 away games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jaxson Dart has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jaxson Dart has hit the TD Passes Under in 3 of his last 4 away games (+1.50 Units / 22% ROI)
Ole Miss Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Mississippi is 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 34.23% ROI).
- Ole Miss is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.5 Units / -30.55% ROI
- Ole Miss is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -41.44% ROI
- Ole Miss is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.95 Units / 35.78% ROI
South Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record
South Carolina is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 20.45% ROI).
- South Carolina is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.9 Units / 7.06% ROI
- South Carolina is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -27.27% ROI
- South Carolina is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 20.45% ROI
Ole Miss: Keys to the Game vs. South Carolina
Ole Miss is 6-1 (.857) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: .441
Ole Miss is 14-1 (.933) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-10th-best in FBS; Average: .684
Ole Miss is 15-1 (.938) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: .630
Ole Miss is 6-1 (.857) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– 5th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .500
South Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Ole Miss
South Carolina is 1-7 (.125) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .466
South Carolina is 1-6 (.143) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .503
South Carolina is 2-4 (.333) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-12th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .496
South Carolina is 1-7 (.125) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– 12th-worst in FBS; Average: .415
Matchup Notes for Ole Miss vs. South Carolina
South Carolina’s RBs has rushed for 1,369 yards on 340 carries (just 4.0 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-4th-worst among FBS RBs. Ole Miss’s defense have allowed just 3.3 YPC since the 2023 season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.
South Carolina’s WRs has gained 2,759 yards on 180 receptions (15.3 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-14th-best among FBS WRs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 11.1 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
South Carolina has 51 receptions in 4 games (just 12.8 per game) this season — T-worst among SEC skill players. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed 22.0 receptions per game this season — worst among SEC defenses.
Ole Miss’s WRs has gained 1,635 yards on 94 receptions (17.4 YPR) this season — 4th-best among Power 5 WRs. South Carolina’s defense has allowed just 9.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-3rd-best among SEC defenses.
Ole Miss has gained 1,952 yards on 123 receptions (15.9 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among SEC skill players. South Carolina’s defense has allowed just 9.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-13th-best among FBS defenses.
Ole Miss’s WRs has gained 1,635 yards on 94 receptions (17.4 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among SEC WRs. South Carolina’s defense has allowed just 11.3 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.
Ole Miss Offensive Stats & Trends
Ole Miss WRs have 28 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– most among FBS Teams
Ole Miss QBs have 32 completions for 20 or more yards this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Ole Miss QBs have 101 completions for 20 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-most among FBS Teams
Ole Miss have completed passes for 20+ yards on 101 of their 563 total passing attempts (18%) since the 2023 season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 11%
Ole Miss QBs have 22 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down this season– most among FBS Teams
South Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends
South Carolina have been sacked on 19% of pass attempts (16/85) this season– worst among Power Conference Offenses; Average: 6%
South Carolina’s RBs has rushed for 1,369 yards on 340 carries (just 4.0 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-4th-worst among FBS RBs. Ole Miss’s defense have allowed just 3.3 YPC since the 2023 season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.
South Carolina’s WRs has gained 2,759 yards on 180 receptions (15.3 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-14th-best among FBS WRs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 11.1 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
South Carolina have been sacked on 19% of pass attempts (16/85) this season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 6%
South Carolina has 51 receptions in 4 games (just 12.8 per game) this season — T-worst among SEC skill players. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed 22.0 receptions per game this season — worst among SEC defenses.
Ole Miss Rebels Defensive Stats & Trends
Ole Miss opponents has averaged 88.5 Passing Attempts per TD (177 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) this season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 21.8
Ole Miss has tackled opponents for a loss on 3 of 8 rushing attempts (38% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– best in FBS; Average: 11%.
Ole Miss opponents has averaged 88.5 Passing Attempts per TD (177 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) this season– 5th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 24.1
Ole Miss has tackled opponents for a loss on 48 of 171 rushing attempts (28% TFL%) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 17%.
Ole Miss has allowed one rushing TD on 171 carries this season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: 25.2
South Carolina Gamecocks Defensive Stats & Trends
South Carolina has sacked opposing QBs just once on 56 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 13.6
South Carolina has allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (5 completions/17 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 58%
South Carolina has allowed a Completion Pct of just 23% (3 completions/13 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 51%
South Carolina has allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (5 completions/17 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 60%
South Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on just 8 of 82 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 16%.
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