- N Illinois is a -1.5 point favorite vs. W Michigan
- Northern Illinois vs. Western Michigan Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN2
The Northern Illinois Huskies (4-4) visit Waldo Stadium to take on the Western Michigan Broncos (5-3) on Nov. 6 in Kalamazoo, MI. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST.
N Illinois is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Northern Illinois vs. Western Michigan Over/Under is 52.5 total points.
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Northern Illinois vs. Western Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Northern Illinois | -1.5 -115 | 52.5 -110 | -125 |
| Western Michigan | +1.5 -105 | 52.5 -110 | +105 |
Northern Illinois vs Western Michigan Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Northern Illinois will win this game with 54.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both N Illinois and W Michigan, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Northern Illinois vs Western Michigan Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Western Michigan will cover the spread with 73.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on W Michigan vs N Illinois and all games with BetMGM
Northern Illinois Against the Spread (ATS) Record
N Illinois is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.3 Units / -3.43% ROI).
- Northern Illinois is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.05 Units / 32.41% ROI
- Northern Illinois is 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -15.91% ROI
- Northern Illinois is 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 7.95% ROI
Western Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record
W Michigan is 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.4 Units / -4.57% ROI).
- Western Michigan is 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 4.69% ROI
- Western Michigan is 6-2 when betting the Over for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI
- Western Michigan is 2-6 when betting the Under for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI
Northern Illinois: Keys to the Game vs. Western Michigan
Northern Illinois is 7-3 (.700) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– 10th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .521
Northern Illinois is 7-1 (.875) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-18th-best in FBS; Average: .675
Northern Illinois is 2-7 (.222) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: .386
Northern Illinois is 2-7 (.222) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .385
Western Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Northern Illinois
Western Michigan is 9-2 (.818) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .710
Western Michigan is 6-11 (.353) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-35th-worst in FBS; Average: .484
Western Michigan is 5-2 (.714) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– 14th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .517
Western Michigan is 4-11 (.267) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-27th-worst in FBS; Average: .435
Matchup Notes for Northern Illinois vs. Western Michigan
Western Michigan has averaged just 10.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-22nd-worst among FBS skill players. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 10.8 RAC since the 2023 season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
Western Michigan has gained 4,133 yards on 377 receptions (just 11.0 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-20th-worst among FBS skill players. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 11.0 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.
Western Michigan’s WRs has averaged just 11.2 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-8th-worst among FBS WRs. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 10.8 RAC since the 2023 season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois has averaged just 11.3 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-34th-worst among FBS skill players. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed 13.0 RAC since the 2023 season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois’s offense has thrown for 1,530 passing yards in 8 games (just 191.2 YPG) this season — 30th-worst among FBS offenses. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed 257.5 passing yards per game this season — 21st-worst among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois’s QBs has thrown for 3,951 passing yards in 21 games (just 188.1 YPG) since the 2023 season — T-23rd-worst among FBS teams. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed 243.8 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 25th-worst among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends
Northern Illinois has averaged just 11.3 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-34th-worst among FBS skill players. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed 13.0 RAC since the 2023 season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois’s offense has thrown for 1,530 passing yards in 8 games (just 191.2 YPG) this season — 30th-worst among FBS offenses. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed 257.5 passing yards per game this season — 21st-worst among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois’s QBs has thrown for 3,951 passing yards in 21 games (just 188.1 YPG) since the 2023 season — T-23rd-worst among FBS teams. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed 243.8 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 25th-worst among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois’s QBs has thrown for 1,530 passing yards in 8 games (just 191.2 YPG) this season — 30th-worst among FBS teams. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed 257.5 passing yards per game this season — 21st-worst among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois’s RBs has averaged 11.2 yards after the catch this season — T-19th-best among FBS RBs. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed 12.6 RAC to RBs this season — 4th-worst among FBS defenses.
Western Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends
Western Michigan has averaged just 10.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-22nd-worst among FBS skill players. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 10.8 RAC since the 2023 season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
Western Michigan has gained 4,133 yards on 377 receptions (just 11.0 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-20th-worst among FBS skill players. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 11.0 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.
Western Michigan TEs have 11 receptions in the Red Zone this season– most among FBS Teams
Western Michigan’s WRs has averaged just 11.2 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-8th-worst among FBS WRs. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 10.8 RAC since the 2023 season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
Western Michigan TEs have picked up first downs on 7 receptions in the Red Zone this season– most among FBS Teams
Northern Illinois Huskies Defensive Stats & Trends
Northern Illinois has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 31 carries (15.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– best in FBS; Average: 4.6
Northern Illinois has allowed 4 rushing TDs on 266 carries (66.5 Carries Per TD) this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 20.7
Northern Illinois has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 31 carries (15.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.3
Northern Illinois has allowed 4 rushing TDs on 266 carries (66.5 Carries Per TD) this season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 23.5
Northern Illinois has allowed 13 TDs this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.4
Western Michigan Broncos Defensive Stats & Trends
Western Michigan has no interceptions (80 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 38.9
Western Michigan has tackled opponents for a loss on 3 of 21 rushing attempts (14% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: 10%.
Western Michigan has allowed 15 rushing TDs on just 45 carries (3 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– T-4th-worst in FBS; Average: 4.6
Western Michigan has allowed 257.5 Passing Yards per game (2,060/8) this season– 21st-worst in FBS; Average: 219.3
Western Michigan has allowed a Completion Pct of just 50% (40 completions/80 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: 54%
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