- Minnesota is a -16.5 point favorite vs. Nevada
- Nevada vs. Minnesota Total(Over/Under): 44 points
- TV Channel: BTN
The Nevada Wolf Pack (1-2) visit Huntington Bank Stadium to take on the Minnesota Golden Gophers (1-1) on Sep. 14 in Minneapolis, MN. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
Minnesota is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-110).
The Nevada vs. Minnesota Over/Under is 44 total points.
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Nevada vs. Minnesota Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Nevada | +16.5 -110 | 44 -110 | +550 |
| Minnesota | -16.5 -110 | 44 -110 | -800 |
Nevada vs Minnesota Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Minnesota will win this game with 84.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Nevada and Minnesota, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Nevada vs Minnesota Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Minnesota will cover the spread with 66.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Minnesota vs Nevada and all games with BetMGM
Nevada Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Nevada has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 13 games (+7.85 Units / 58% ROI)
- Nevada has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 13 games (+4.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- Nevada have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- Nevada has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 6 away games (+2.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- Nevada has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.60 Units / 22% ROI)
Minnesota Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Minnesota have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- Minnesota has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+0.70 Units / 8% ROI)
- Minnesota have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+0.65 Units / 7% ROI)
- Minnesota has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.60 Units / 7% ROI)
- Minnesota has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.15 Units / 1% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Nevada players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nevada Player Prop Bets Today
- Brendon Lewis has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 61% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Minnesota players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Minnesota Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Daniel Jackson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Max Brosmer has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Darius Taylor has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jordan Nubin has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Max Brosmer has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 45% ROI)
Nevada Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Nevada is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.69% ROI).
- Nevada is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 16.39% ROI
- Nevada is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.15 Units / -35.38% ROI
- Nevada is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 26.87% ROI
Minnesota Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Minnesota is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 45.45% ROI).
- Minnesota is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Minnesota is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -50% ROI
- Minnesota is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 45.45% ROI
Nevada: Keys to the Game vs. Minnesota
Nevada is winless (0-7) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .255
Nevada is 2-9 (.182) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .389
Nevada is 1-4 (.200) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-18th-worst in FBS; Average: .508
Nevada is 2-10 (.167) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-17th-worst in FBS; Average: .425
Minnesota: Keys to the Game vs. Nevada
Minnesota is winless (0-9) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2022 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .294
Minnesota is winless (0-6) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .420
Minnesota is winless (0-7) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .406
Minnesota is 1-7 (.111) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .353
Matchup Notes for Nevada vs. Minnesota
Minnesota’s RBs has 12 receptions in 2 games (6.0 per game) this season — T-7th-best among FBS RBs. Nevada’s defense has allowed 21.3 receptions per game this season — 33rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Minnesota’s WRs have just 143.5 receiving yards per game this season — 5th-worst among Big Ten WRs. Nevada’s defense has allowed 250.7 receiving yards per game this season — 32nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Minnesota’s RBs have 64.0 receiving yards per game this season — 7th-best among FBS RBs. Nevada’s defense has allowed 250.7 receiving yards per game this season — 32nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Jaden Smith (NEV) has been targeted 24 times this season — T-8th-most of Qualified Skill Players. Minnesota’s defense has allowed 222 receiving yards this season — 3rd-fewest among Big Ten defenses.
Nevada Offensive Stats & Trends
Nevada WRs have been targeted 24 times on 3rd down this season– most among FBS Teams
Nevada Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 3.6 receptions (25 Rec/7 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.1
Nevada RBs have averaged just 2.7 Yards per Carry (177 yards/65 carries) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– T-2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0
Nevada RBs have averaged just 3.3 Yards per Carry (425 yards/129 carries) in the 4th quarter since the 2022 season– 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0
Nevada Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 22.2 receptions (244 Rec/11 TDs) since the 2023 season– 7th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.4
Minnesota Offensive Stats & Trends
Minnesota have been sacked on 11% of pass attempts (6/55) this season– worst among Big Ten Offenses; Average: 4%
Minnesota RBs have no touchdowns on 51 receptions since the 2022 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.3
Minnesota RBs have been targeted 6 times in the 1st quarter this season– T-4th-most among FBS Teams
Minnesota TEs have averaged just 8.8 yards per reception (317 yards/36 catches) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.0
Minnesota Skill Players have averaged just 13.6 receptions per game (204/15) since the 2023 season– 11th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 18.9
Nevada Wolf Pack Defensive Stats & Trends
Nevada has allowed 36 first down receptions this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Nevada has allowed 36 first down receptions this season– 2nd-most in FBS
Nevada has allowed 9.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (454 yards / 46 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 5.3
Nevada has allowed 9.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (454 yards / 46 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 5.3
Nevada has allowed 64 completions this season– 2nd-most in FBS
Minnesota Golden Gophers Defensive Stats & Trends
Minnesota has not recorded a sack (40 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.1
Minnesota has not recorded a sack (40 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 13.7
Minnesota has tackled opponents for a loss on just 3 of 75 rushing attempts (4% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.
Minnesota has not recorded a sack (40 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 14.8
Minnesota has sacked opposing QBs just once on 65 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– 8th-worst in FBS; Average: 15.9
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