- San Diego State is a -3.5 point favorite vs. New Mexico
- New Mexico vs. San Diego State Total (Over/Under): 67.5 points
- TV Channel: FS1
The New Mexico Lobos (3-6) visit Snapdragon Stadium to take on the San Diego State Aztecs (3-5) on Nov. 8 in San Diego, CA. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EST.
San Diego State is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The New Mexico vs. San Diego State Over/Under is 67.5 total points.
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New Mexico vs. San Diego State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| New Mexico | +3.5 -115 | 67.5 -105 | +135 |
| San Diego State | -3.5 -105 | 67.5 -115 | -165 |
New Mexico vs San Diego State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts San Diego State will win this game with 58.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both New Mexico and San Diego State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
New Mexico vs San Diego State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts San Diego State will cover the spread with 59.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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New Mexico Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- New Mexico has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 away games (+9.10 Units / 95% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- New Mexico have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- New Mexico have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.75 Units / 10% ROI)
San Diego State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- San Diego State have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- San Diego State have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- San Diego State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 1 of their last 3 games at home (+1.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- San Diego State has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- San Diego State has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games at home (+0.75 Units / 18% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for New Mexico players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best New Mexico Player Prop Bets Today
- Devon Dampier has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Devon Dampier has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for San Diego State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best San Diego State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jordan Napier has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Marquez Cooper has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Nate Bennett has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
New Mexico Against the Spread (ATS) Record
New Mexico is 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.6 Units / 6.09% ROI).
- New Mexico is 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.9 Units / -32.45% ROI
- New Mexico is 7-2 when betting the Over for +4.8 Units / 48.48% ROI
- New Mexico is 2-7 when betting the Under for -5.7 Units / -57.58% ROI
San Diego State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
San Diego State is 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- San Diego State is 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -41.67% ROI
- San Diego State is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
- San Diego State is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
New Mexico: Keys to the Game vs. San Diego State
New Mexico is 2-14 (.125) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-5th-worst in FBS; Average: .456
New Mexico is 1-8 (.111) when losing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– 6th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .415
New Mexico is 1-7 (.125) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-6th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .373
New Mexico is 3-10 (.231) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2023 season– T-18th-worst in FBS; Average: .472
San Diego State: Keys to the Game vs. New Mexico
San Diego State is winless (0-8) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .354
San Diego State is 5-13 (.278) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-16th-worst in FBS; Average: .484
San Diego State is 2-12 (.143) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2023 season– 9th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .358
San Diego State is 3-7 (.300) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .443
Matchup Notes for New Mexico vs. San Diego State
San Diego State’s WRs has 199 receptions in 20 games (just 10.0 per game) since the 2023 season — T-24th-worst among FBS WRs. New Mexico’s defense has allowed just 17.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.
San Diego State’s offense has thrown for 3,711 passing yards in 20 games (just 185.6 YPG) since the 2023 season — 19th-worst among FBS offenses. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 243.2 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 26th-worst among FBS defenses.
San Diego State has averaged just 10.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-18th-worst among FBS skill players. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 14.2 RAC since the 2023 season — worst among NonP5 defenses.
New Mexico’s RBs has rushed for 3,142 yards on 535 carries (5.9 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-7th-best among FBS RBs. San Diego State’s defense have allowed 5.5 YPC to RBs since the 2023 season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.
New Mexico’s WRs has averaged 26.0 targets per game this season — T-18th-highest among FBS WRs. San Diego State’s defense has allowed 14.6 receptions per game to WRs this season — 17th-worst among FBS defenses.
New Mexico’s RBs has rushed for 3,142 yards on 535 carries (5.9 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-7th-best among FBS RBs. San Diego State’s defense have allowed 4.6 YPC since the 2023 season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.
New Mexico Offensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico RBs averaged 12.1 Yards per Carry (205 yards/17 carries) last week– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2
New Mexico QBs have 9 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
New Mexico’s RBs has rushed for 3,142 yards on 535 carries (5.9 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-7th-best among FBS RBs. San Diego State’s defense have allowed 5.5 YPC to RBs since the 2023 season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.
New Mexico’s WRs has averaged 26.0 targets per game this season — T-18th-highest among FBS WRs. San Diego State’s defense has allowed 14.6 receptions per game to WRs this season — 17th-worst among FBS defenses.
New Mexico’s RBs has rushed for 3,142 yards on 535 carries (5.9 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-7th-best among FBS RBs. San Diego State’s defense have allowed 4.6 YPC since the 2023 season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.
San Diego State Offensive Stats & Trends
San Diego State’s WRs has 199 receptions in 20 games (just 10.0 per game) since the 2023 season — T-24th-worst among FBS WRs. New Mexico’s defense has allowed just 17.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.
San Diego State’s offense has thrown for 3,711 passing yards in 20 games (just 185.6 YPG) since the 2023 season — 19th-worst among FBS offenses. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 243.2 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 26th-worst among FBS defenses.
San Diego State WRs have averaged 25.8 yards per reception (103 yards/4 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.2
San Diego State WRs have averaged a touchdown every 5.0 receptions (10 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 1.9
San Diego State has averaged just 10.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-18th-worst among FBS skill players. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 14.2 RAC since the 2023 season — worst among NonP5 defenses.
New Mexico Lobos Defensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico has intercepted 7 of 571 attempts (81.6 pass attempts per int.) since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 36.5
New Mexico has allowed 6.3 touchdowns per interception (44 TDs allowed, and 7 INT) since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 1.8
New Mexico has allowed 6.7 touchdowns per interception (20 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) this season– T-5th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.7
New Mexico has allowed 13 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-most in FBS
New Mexico has allowed 6.3 touchdowns per interception (44 TDs allowed, and 7 INT) since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0
San Diego State Aztecs Defensive Stats & Trends
San Diego State allowed 4 TD passes in the Red Zone last week– T-most in FBS
San Diego State allowed 4 TD passes in the Red Zone last week– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
San Diego State allowed 4 first down receptions in the Red Zone last week– T-most in FBS
San Diego State has allowed 4 TD passes in close and late situations this season– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
San Diego State allowed 7 TDs in the Red Zone last week– most in FBS
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