- Oklahoma is a -8.5 point favorite vs. Navy
- Oklahoma vs. Navy Total (Over/Under): 43.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
The Oklahoma Sooners (6-6) visit Amon G. Carter Stadium to take on the Navy Midshipmen (8-3) on Dec. 27 in Fort Worth, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.
Oklahoma is a betting favorite in the Armed Forces Bowl, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).
The Oklahoma vs. Navy Over/Under is 43.5 total points.
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Oklahoma vs. Navy Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Oklahoma | -8.5 -110 | 43.5 -110 | -300 |
| Navy | +8.5 -110 | 43.5 -110 | +250 |
Oklahoma vs Navy Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Oklahoma will win this game with 73.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Oklahoma and Navy, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Oklahoma vs Navy Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Navy will cover the spread with 82.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Oklahoma Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Oklahoma has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+7.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- Oklahoma has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- Oklahoma has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- Oklahoma has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 games (+1.05 Units / 0% ROI)
- Oklahoma has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Oklahoma players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Oklahoma Player Prop Bets Today
- Jackson Arnold has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Jackson Arnold has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- Jackson Arnold has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Bauer Sharp has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jovantae Barnes has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Oklahoma Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Oklahoma is 6-6 against the spread this college football season (-0.65 Units / -4.89% ROI).
- Oklahoma is 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.05 Units / 0.19% ROI
- Oklahoma is 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Oklahoma is 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
Navy Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Navy is 7-4 against the spread this college football season (+2.75 Units / 23.01% ROI).
- Navy is 7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.2 Units / 7.38% ROI
- Navy is 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
- Navy is 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI
Oklahoma: Keys to the Game vs. Navy
Oklahoma is 7-3 (.700) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2023 season– T-38th-best in FBS; Average: .611
Oklahoma is 16-5 (.762) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-28th-best in FBS; Average: .627
Oklahoma is 15-5 (.750) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-25th-best in FBS; Average: .602
Oklahoma is 8-3 (.727) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .611
Navy: Keys to the Game vs. Oklahoma
Navy is undefeated (6-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays this season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .592
Navy is 8-1 (.889) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season– T-4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .582
Navy is undefeated (6-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays this season– T-best in FBS; Average: .631
Navy is 11-4 (.733) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– 38th-best in FBS; Average: .627
Matchup Notes for Oklahoma vs. Navy
Navy’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 17.8% of 157 attempts this season — 2nd-best among FBS offenses. Oklahoma’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.6% of attempts this season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Navy has averaged 14.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 4th-best among FBS skill players. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed 12.1 RAC since the 2023 season — T-4th-worst among SEC defenses.
Navy’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 17.8% of 157 attempts this season — 2nd-best among FBS offenses. Oklahoma’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.6% of attempts this season — 5th-worst among SEC defenses.
Oklahoma’s TEs has 73 receptions in 25 games (just 2.9 per game) since the 2023 season — T-4th-worst among SEC TEs. Navy’s defense has allowed just 2.7 receptions per game to TEs since the 2023 season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.
Oklahoma’s TEs has 53 receptions in 12 games (4.4 per game) this season — T-4th-best among SEC TEs. Navy’s defense has allowed just 2.5 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.
Oklahoma’s WRs have 198.8 receiving yards per game since the 2023 season — 26th-best among FBS WRs. Navy’s defense has allowed 174.7 receiving yards per game to WRs since the 2023 season — 34th-worst among FBS defenses.
Oklahoma Offensive Stats & Trends
Oklahoma Skill Players have averaged just 9.8 yards per reception (1,995 yards/204 catches) this season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 12.8
Oklahoma have been sacked on 22% of pass attempts (22/102) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among SEC Offenses; Average: 9%
Oklahoma TEs have averaged just 7.0 yards per reception (63 yards/9 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 12.2
Oklahoma TEs have averaged just 8.1 yards per reception (428 yards/53 catches) this season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 11.3
Oklahoma Skill Players have fumbled 4 times in close and late situations this season– T-most among FBS Teams
Navy Offensive Stats & Trends
Navy WRs have averaged just 1.9 receptions per game (44/23) since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.6
Navy’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 17.8% of 157 attempts this season — 2nd-best among FBS offenses. Oklahoma’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.6% of attempts this season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Navy WRs have averaged just 1.1 receptions per game (12/11) this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.3
Navy WRs have averaged just 4.3 yards per reception (13 yards/3 catches) on 3rd and long this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 14.5
Navy Skill Players have averaged just 6.7 receptions per game (155/23) since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 18.8
Oklahoma Sooners Defensive Stats & Trends
Oklahoma has allowed 6 rushing TDs on 54 carries (9 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– best in the SEC; Average: 5.1
Oklahoma has allowed 6 rushing TDs on 54 carries (9 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 4.6
Oklahoma has no interceptions (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 24.9
Oklahoma has no interceptions and 9 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 5.4
Oklahoma has allowed 8 rushing TDs on 436 carries (54.5 Carries Per TD) this season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 23.1
Navy Midshipmen Defensive Stats & Trends
Navy has allowed a Completion Pct of just 37% (15 completions/41 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%
Navy has allowed 7.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (265 yards / 34 touches) on 3rd and short this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 5.0
Navy has allowed a Completion Pct of just 37% (15 completions/41 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 54%
Navy has allowed a Completion Pct of 66% (57 completions/87 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%
Navy has allowed opponents to catch just 15 of 39 passes (39% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone this season– T-6th-best in FBS; Average: 54%
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