- SMU is a -7.5 point favorite vs. Pitt
- Pittsburgh vs. SMU Total (Over/Under): 58.5 points
- TV Channel: ACCN
The Pittsburgh Panthers (7-0) visit Gerald J. Ford Stadium to take on the SMU Mustangs (7-1) on Nov. 2 in Dallas, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT.
SMU is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).
The Pittsburgh vs. SMU Over/Under is 58.5 total points.
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Pittsburgh vs. SMU Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Pittsburgh | +7.5 -115 | 58.5 -110 | +230 |
| SMU | -7.5 -105 | 58.5 -110 | -300 |
Pittsburgh vs SMU Prediction:
The winning team model predicts SMU will win this game with 70.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Pitt and SMU, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Pittsburgh vs SMU Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Pittsburgh will cover the spread with 55.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Pittsburgh Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Pittsburgh have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.75 Units / 47% ROI)
- Pittsburgh have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- Pittsburgh has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.45 Units / 6% ROI)
- Pittsburgh has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+3.95 Units / 7% ROI)
- Pittsburgh has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
SMU Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- SMU have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- SMU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- SMU has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- SMU has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+2.00 Units / 2% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Pittsburgh players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pittsburgh Player Prop Bets Today
- Konata Mumpfield has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Eli Holstein has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Gavin Bartholomew has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kenny Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Desmond Reid has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for SMU players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best SMU Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Preston Stone has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.25 Units / 71% ROI)
- Jake Bailey has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kevin Jennings has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Preston Stone has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- RJ Maryland has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
Pittsburgh Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Pitt is 6-1 against the spread this college football season (+4.9 Units / 63.64% ROI).
- Pittsburgh is 7-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.1 Units / 10.01% ROI
- Pittsburgh is 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
- Pittsburgh is 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
SMU Against the Spread (ATS) Record
SMU is 5-3 against the spread this college football season (+1.7 Units / 19.43% ROI).
- SMU is 6-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.1 Units / 3.48% ROI
- SMU is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
- SMU is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
Pittsburgh: Keys to the Game vs. SMU
Pittsburgh is undefeated (7-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-best in FBS; Average: .596
Pittsburgh is 2-5 (.286) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .450
Pittsburgh is 5-3 (.625) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: .505
Pittsburgh is 7-1 (.875) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .714
SMU: Keys to the Game vs. Pittsburgh
SMU is 7-1 (.875) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .531
SMU is 7-1 (.875) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: .505
SMU is 14-2 (.875) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .674
SMU is 15-1 (.938) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-7th-best in FBS; Average: .674
Matchup Notes for Pittsburgh vs. SMU
SMU’s WRs has 78 receptions in 8 games (just 9.8 per game) this season — T-2nd-worst among ACC WRs. Pittsburgh’s defense has allowed 22.6 receptions per game this season — T-6th-worst among FBS defenses.
SMU has 136 receptions in 8 games (just 17.0 per game) this season — 4th-worst among ACC skill players. Pittsburgh’s defense has allowed 22.6 receptions per game this season — 2nd-worst among ACC defenses.
SMU has averaged 14.2 yards after the catch this season — 10th-best among FBS skill players. Pittsburgh’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC this season — T-4th-best among ACC defenses.
Pittsburgh has gained 1,982 yards on 154 receptions (12.9 YPR) this season — 5th-best among ACC skill players. SMU’s defense has allowed 12.7 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.
Pittsburgh’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.0% of 241 attempts this season — T-34th-best among FBS offenses. SMU’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.8% of attempts this season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.
Pittsburgh’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.0% of 241 attempts this season — T-34th-best among FBS offenses. SMU’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.8% of attempts this season — 2nd-worst among ACC defenses.
Pittsburgh Offensive Stats & Trends
Pittsburgh has gained 1,982 yards on 154 receptions (12.9 YPR) this season — 5th-best among ACC skill players. SMU’s defense has allowed 12.7 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.
Pittsburgh’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.0% of 241 attempts this season — T-34th-best among FBS offenses. SMU’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.8% of attempts this season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.
Pittsburgh’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.0% of 241 attempts this season — T-34th-best among FBS offenses. SMU’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.8% of attempts this season — 2nd-worst among ACC defenses.
Pittsburgh RBs have averaged 9.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (465 yards / 48 touches) on 2nd down this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5
Pittsburgh’s RBs has averaged 6.0 targets per game this season — T-17th-highest among FBS RBs. SMU’s defense has allowed 3.8 receptions per game to RBs this season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.
SMU Offensive Stats & Trends
SMU WRs averaged 32.8 yards per reception (197 yards/6 catches) last week– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.4
SMU WRs averaged 32.8 yards per reception (197 yards/6 catches) last week– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.4
SMU Skill Players averaged 19.8 yards per reception (258 yards/13 catches) last week– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.9
SMU TEs have averaged 19.3 yards per reception (116 yards/6 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.1
SMU Skill Players averaged 19.8 yards per reception (258 yards/13 catches) last week– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.0
Pittsburgh Panthers Defensive Stats & Trends
Pittsburgh had 5 interceptions last week– most among Power Conference Teams
Pittsburgh has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 20 of 98 attempts (20%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9%
Pittsburgh has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 20 of 98 attempts (20%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 9%
Pittsburgh had 5 interceptions last week– most in FBS
Pittsburgh allowed passes of 20+ yards on 10 of 47 attempts (21%) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: 9%
SMU Mustangs Defensive Stats & Trends
SMU has allowed 11 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– most among Power Conference Teams
SMU has allowed a Completion Pct of just 37% (21 completions/57 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– T-2nd-best in FBS; Average: 60%
SMU has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on just 16 of 260 carries (6%) this season– best in FBS; Average: 13%
SMU has sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (29/237) on 1st down since the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 6%
SMU has allowed first downs on 43% of pass attempts in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 21%
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