- Oregon St is a -4.5 point favorite vs. Purdue
- Purdue vs. Oregon State Total(Over/Under): 50.5 points
- TV Channel: CW
The Purdue Boilermakers (1-1) visit Reser Stadium to take on the Oregon State Beavers (2-1) on Sep. 21 in Corvallis, OR. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT.
Oregon St is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).
The Purdue vs. Oregon State Over/Under is 50.5 total points.
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Purdue vs. Oregon State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Purdue | +4.5 -105 | 50.5 -110 | +170 |
| Oregon State | -4.5 -115 | 50.5 -110 | -210 |
Purdue vs Oregon State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Oregon State will win this game with 65.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Purdue and Oregon St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Purdue vs Oregon State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oregon State will cover the spread with 66.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Purdue Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Purdue has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.60 Units / 13% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 2 of their last 3 away games (+1.05 Units / 32% ROI)
Oregon State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Oregon State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.95 Units / 54% ROI)
- Oregon State have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- Oregon State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- Oregon State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- Oregon State have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.75 Units / 27% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Purdue players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Purdue Player Prop Bets Today
- Devin Mockobee has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Hudson Card has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games (+2.15 Units / 102% ROI)
- Hudson Card has hit the Passing Yards Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- Hudson Card has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Max Klare has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Oregon State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Oregon State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Ben Gulbranson has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Ben Gulbranson has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 43% ROI)
Purdue Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Purdue is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Purdue is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- Purdue is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Purdue is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Oregon State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Oregon St is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Oregon State is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Oregon State is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Oregon State is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
Purdue: Keys to the Game vs. Oregon State
Purdue is winless (0-7) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .325
Purdue is 4-6 (.364) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 37th-worst in FBS; Average: .517
Purdue is undefeated (4-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-8th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .467
Purdue is 3-8 (.273) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .391
Oregon State: Keys to the Game vs. Purdue
Oregon State is 5-4 (.556) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .407
Oregon State is 5-1 (.625) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game since the 2023 season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .393
Oregon State is 7-2 (.636) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .526
Oregon State is 15-5 (.652) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2022 season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: .529
Matchup Notes for Purdue vs. Oregon State
Oregon State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.5% of 455 attempts since the 2023 season — T-24th-best among FBS offenses. Purdue’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 14.1% of attempts since the 2023 season — best among Big Ten defenses.
Oregon State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 5.3% of 75 attempts this season — T-9th-worst among FBS offenses. Purdue’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.1% of attempts this season — 2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.
Oregon State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.5% of 455 attempts since the 2023 season — T-24th-best among FBS offenses. Purdue’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 14.1% of attempts since the 2023 season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.
Purdue’s TEs has averaged 7.4 targets per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-highest among Big Ten TEs. Oregon State’s defense has allowed 3.6 receptions per game to TEs since the 2023 season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.
Purdue’s RBs has rushed for 302 yards on 44 carries (6.9 YPC) this season — T-16th-best among FBS RBs. Oregon State’s defense have allowed 5.7 YPC to RBs this season — T-19th-worst among FBS defenses.
Purdue’s RBs has rushed for 302 yards on 44 carries (6.9 YPC) this season — T-16th-best among FBS RBs. Oregon State’s defense have allowed 5.4 YPC this season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.
Purdue Offensive Stats & Trends
Purdue Skill Players have averaged 18.1 yards per reception (163 yards/9 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 9.4
Purdue RBs have fumbled 5 times in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
Purdue WRs have averaged 24.5 yards per reception (147 yards/6 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.1
Purdue TEs have been targeted 9 times in the 1st quarter this season– most among Big Ten Teams
Purdue RBs have averaged 9.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (117 yards / 12 touches) in the 4th quarter this season– T-4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.7
Oregon State Offensive Stats & Trends
Oregon State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.5% of 455 attempts since the 2023 season — T-24th-best among FBS offenses. Purdue’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 14.1% of attempts since the 2023 season — best among Big Ten defenses.
Oregon State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 5.3% of 75 attempts this season — T-9th-worst among FBS offenses. Purdue’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.1% of attempts this season — 2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.
Oregon State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.5% of 455 attempts since the 2023 season — T-24th-best among FBS offenses. Purdue’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 14.1% of attempts since the 2023 season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.
Oregon State’s offense has thrown for 509 passing yards in 3 games (just 169.7 YPG) this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS offenses. Purdue’s defense has allowed just 133.0 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Oregon State’s TEs has 3 receptions in 3 games (just 1.0 per game) this season — T-worst among P5 TEs. Purdue’s defense has allowed just 11.5 receptions per game this season — 4th-best among P5 defenses.
Purdue Boilermakers Defensive Stats & Trends
Purdue has no interceptions (36 pass attempts) this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 25.5
Purdue has allowed 13.7 yards per completion (6,096 yards/444 completions) since the 2022 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 11.1
Purdue has allowed 233.0 rushing yards per game (466/2) this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 98.1
Purdue has no interceptions and 2 TD passes allowed this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 1.5
Purdue has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 57 of 404 attempts (14%) since the 2023 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 8%
Oregon State Beavers Defensive Stats & Trends
Oregon State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (5 completions/17 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– 4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 58%
Oregon State has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 34 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: 11%.
Oregon State has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (3/96) this season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: 7%
Oregon State has tackled opponents for a loss on 25 of 137 rushing attempts (18% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– 34th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
Oregon State has tackled opponents for a loss on 90 of 485 rushing attempts (19% TFL%) since the 2023 season– 27th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.
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