San Diego State vs Wyoming Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 7

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Wyoming defensive tackle Jordan Bertagnole walks the sidelines during an NCAA college football game against Illinois Sunday, Aug. 28, 2022, in Champaign, Ill. (AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast)
(AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 11, 2024, 1:11 PM
  • The San Diego State is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Wyoming
  • The San Diego State vs. Wyoming Total (Over/Under): 42.5 points
  • TV Channel: CBSSN

The San Diego State Aztecs (2-3) visit Jonah Field at War Memorial Stadium to take on the Wyoming Cowboys (1-4) on Oct. 12 in Laramie, WY. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

San Diego State is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The San Diego State vs. Wyoming Over/Under is 42.5 total points.

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San Diego State vs. Wyoming Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
San Diego State-2.5 -11042.5 -110-130
Wyoming +2.5 -11042.5 -110+110

San Diego State vs Wyoming Prediction:

The winning team model predicts San Diego State will win this game with 52.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both San Diego State and Wyoming, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

San Diego State vs Wyoming Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Wyoming will cover the spread with 73.9% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • San Diego State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+4.85 Units / 43% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • San Diego State have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 54% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.85 Units / 28% ROI)
  • San Diego State have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Wyoming has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.55 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Wyoming has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+2.00 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Wyoming has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.95 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Wyoming has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.60 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Wyoming have covered the 1Q Spread in 2 of their last 4 games at home (+1.05 Units / 25% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Wyoming players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Wyoming Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Evan Svoboda has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 100% ROI)
  • Harrison Waylee has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

San Diego State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

San Diego State is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -37.5% ROI).

  • San Diego State is 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -100% ROI
  • San Diego State is 0-3 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
  • San Diego State is 3-0 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI

Wyoming Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Wyoming is 0-4 against the spread this college football season (-4.4 Units / -80% ROI).

  • Wyoming is 0-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.1 Units / -85.92% ROI
  • Wyoming is 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 34.55% ROI
  • Wyoming is 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -41.82% ROI

San Diego State: Keys to the Game vs. Wyoming

San Diego State is winless (0-6) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .360

San Diego State is 1-11 (.083) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– 6th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .322

San Diego State is 3-9 (.250) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-10th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .465

San Diego State is 3-9 (.250) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-27th-worst in FBS; Average: .450

Wyoming: Keys to the Game vs. San Diego State

Wyoming is 9-1 (.900) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-10th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .716

Wyoming is 8-3 (.727) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .596

Wyoming is 5-2 (.714) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-16th-best in FBS; Average: .506

Wyoming is 9-1 (.900) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– 5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .611

Matchup Notes for San Diego State vs. Wyoming

Wyoming’s WRs has gained 399 yards on 33 receptions (just 12.1 YPR) this season — T-30th-worst among FBS WRs. San Diego State’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-5th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Wyoming has gained 707 yards on 65 receptions (just 10.9 YPR) this season — 33rd-worst among FBS skill players. San Diego State’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-5th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Wyoming’s WRs has gained 399 yards on 33 receptions (just 12.1 YPR) this season — T-30th-worst among FBS WRs. San Diego State’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.

San Diego State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.7% of 143 attempts this season — T-24th-worst among FBS offenses. Wyoming’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 17.4% of attempts this season — 2nd-best among FBS defenses.

San Diego State has averaged just 10.6 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-13th-worst among FBS skill players. Wyoming’s defense has allowed just 11.0 RAC since the 2023 season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.

San Diego State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.7% of 143 attempts this season — T-24th-worst among FBS offenses. Wyoming’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 17.4% of attempts this season — 2nd-best among NonP5 defenses.

San Diego State Offensive Stats & Trends

San Diego State WRs have averaged 34.7 yards per reception (104 yards/3 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.3

San Diego State WRs have averaged a touchdown every 5.0 receptions (10 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 1.9

San Diego State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.7% of 143 attempts this season — T-24th-worst among FBS offenses. Wyoming’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 17.4% of attempts this season — 2nd-best among FBS defenses.

San Diego State has averaged just 10.6 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-13th-worst among FBS skill players. Wyoming’s defense has allowed just 11.0 RAC since the 2023 season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.

San Diego State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.7% of 143 attempts this season — T-24th-worst among FBS offenses. Wyoming’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 17.4% of attempts this season — 2nd-best among NonP5 defenses.

Wyoming Offensive Stats & Trends

Wyoming’s WRs has gained 399 yards on 33 receptions (just 12.1 YPR) this season — T-30th-worst among FBS WRs. San Diego State’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-5th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Wyoming has gained 707 yards on 65 receptions (just 10.9 YPR) this season — 33rd-worst among FBS skill players. San Diego State’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-5th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Wyoming’s WRs has gained 399 yards on 33 receptions (just 12.1 YPR) this season — T-30th-worst among FBS WRs. San Diego State’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.

Wyoming has gained 707 yards on 65 receptions (just 10.9 YPR) this season — 33rd-worst among FBS skill players. San Diego State’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.

Wyoming’s RBs has rushed for 1,892 yards on 421 carries (just 4.5 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-24th-worst among FBS RBs. San Diego State’s defense have allowed 5.7 YPC to RBs since the 2023 season — T-8th-worst among FBS defenses.

San Diego State Aztecs Defensive Stats & Trends

San Diego State has allowed 9.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (584 yards / 59 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 5.2

San Diego State has allowed 9.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (584 yards / 59 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 5.2

San Diego State allowed 11.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (432 yards / 39 touches) on 3rd and short in the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 5.3

San Diego State has tackled opponents for a loss on 7 of 22 rushing attempts (32% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

San Diego State has averaged 3.6 sacks per game this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.9

Wyoming Cowboys Defensive Stats & Trends

Wyoming has intercepted one of 138 attempts this season– 7th-worst in FBS; Average: 36.4

Wyoming has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 24 of 138 attempts (17%) this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 10%

Wyoming has one interception and 8 TD passes allowed this season– T-8th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.7

Wyoming has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 24 of 138 attempts (17%) this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%

Wyoming has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 42 rushing attempts (2% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.


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