- The Fresno St is a -5.5 point favorite vs. San Jose St
- The San Jose State vs. Fresno State Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
- TV Channel: truTV
The San Jose State Spartans (5-2) visit Valley Children’s Stadium to take on the Fresno State Bulldogs (4-3) on Oct. 26 in Fresno, CA. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT.
Fresno St is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).
The San Jose State vs. Fresno State Over/Under is 55.5 total points.
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San Jose State vs. Fresno State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| San Jose State | +5.5 -115 | 55.5 -110 | +165 |
| Fresno State | -5.5 -105 | 55.5 -110 | -200 |
San Jose State vs Fresno State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Fresno State will win this game with 67.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both San Jose St and Fresno St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
San Jose State vs Fresno State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Fresno State will cover the spread with 55.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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San Jose State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- San Jose State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 4 away games (+5.20 Units / 99% ROI)
- San Jose State have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 76% ROI)
- San Jose State has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+4.20 Units / 11% ROI)
- San Jose State have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.00 Units / 71% ROI)
- San Jose State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.00 Units / 53% ROI)
Fresno State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Fresno State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+3.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+1.35 Units / 4% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for San Jose State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best San Jose State Player Prop Bets Today
- Nick Nash has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Justin Lockhart has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Fresno State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Fresno State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Mac Dalena has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Raylen Sharpe has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
San Jose State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
San Jose St is 4-3 against the spread this college football season (+0.75 Units / 9.74% ROI).
- San Jose State is 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.2 Units / 14.04% ROI
- San Jose State is 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
- San Jose State is 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
Fresno State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Fresno St is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.3 Units / -3.9% ROI).
- Fresno State is 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 3.13% ROI
- Fresno State is 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
- Fresno State is 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
San Jose State: Keys to the Game vs. Fresno State
San Jose State is 10-2 (.833) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .611
San Jose State is 8-2 (.800) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-37th-best in FBS; Average: .676
San Jose State is 10-7 (.588) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– 8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .382
San Jose State is undefeated (8-0) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: .624
Fresno State: Keys to the Game vs. San Jose State
Fresno State is undefeated (13-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .756
Fresno State is undefeated (13-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .714
Fresno State is 9-1 (.900) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .590
Fresno State is 9-1 (.900) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: .676
Matchup Notes for San Jose State vs. Fresno State
Fresno State has 487 receptions in 20 games (24.4 per game) since the 2023 season — 14th-best among FBS skill players. San Jose State’s defense has allowed just 17.5 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 35th-best among FBS defenses.
Fresno State has gained 5,471 yards on 487 receptions (just 11.2 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-30th-worst among FBS skill players. San Jose State’s defense has allowed just 11.2 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.
Fresno State’s WRs has 348 receptions in 20 games (17.4 per game) since the 2023 season — T-13th-best among FBS WRs. San Jose State’s defense has allowed just 17.5 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 35th-best among FBS defenses.
San Jose State’s RBs has averaged 9.3 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-25th-best among FBS RBs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 5.2 RAC to RBs since the 2023 season — 8th-best among FBS defenses.
San Jose State’s RBs has gained 50 yards on 5 receptions (10.0 YPR) this season — 34th-best among FBS RBs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 3.7 Yards Per Reception to RBs this season — T-best among FBS defenses.
San Jose State’s RBs has gained 549 yards on 58 receptions (9.5 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-23rd-best among FBS RBs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 5.3 Yards Per Reception to RBs since the 2023 season — 8th-best among FBS defenses.
San Jose State Offensive Stats & Trends
San Jose State RBs have averaged 7.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,089 yards / 140 touches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4
San Jose State’s RBs has averaged 9.3 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-25th-best among FBS RBs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 5.2 RAC to RBs since the 2023 season — 8th-best among FBS defenses.
San Jose State RBs have fumbled 4 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
San Jose State RBs averaged 8.6 Yards per Carry (715 yards/83 carries) in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0
San Jose State RBs have averaged 7.2 Yards per Carry (911 yards/126 carries) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Fresno State Offensive Stats & Trends
Fresno State has 487 receptions in 20 games (24.4 per game) since the 2023 season — 14th-best among FBS skill players. San Jose State’s defense has allowed just 17.5 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 35th-best among FBS defenses.
Fresno State has gained 5,471 yards on 487 receptions (just 11.2 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-30th-worst among FBS skill players. San Jose State’s defense has allowed just 11.2 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.
Fresno State’s WRs has 348 receptions in 20 games (17.4 per game) since the 2023 season — T-13th-best among FBS WRs. San Jose State’s defense has allowed just 17.5 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 35th-best among FBS defenses.
Fresno State RBs have averaged just 3.3 Yards per Carry (191 yards/58 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– 7th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3
Fresno State’s QBs has thrown for 5,372 passing yards in 20 games (268.6 YPG) since the 2023 season — 24th-best among FBS teams. San Jose State’s defense has allowed just 196.8 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 24th-best among FBS defenses.
San Jose State Spartans Defensive Stats & Trends
San Jose State has averaged 1.86 interceptions per game (13/7) this season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 0.77
San Jose State did not record a sack (31 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1
San Jose State has tackled opponents for a loss on just 9 of 123 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.
San Jose State has allowed opponents to catch just 39 of 90 passes (43% Reception Pct) in close and late situations since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 59%
San Jose State has 13 interceptions this season– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Fresno State Bulldogs Defensive Stats & Trends
Fresno State has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 52 rushing attempts on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 11%.
Fresno State has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 52 rushing attempts on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.
Fresno State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 37% (13 completions/35 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%
Fresno State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 46% (40 completions/88 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 56%
Fresno State has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 17 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 10%.
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