San Jose St vs Oregon St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 11

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Oregon State wide receiver Jeremiah Noga (18) plays during the second half of an NCAA college football game against UC Davis Saturday, Sept. 9, 2023, in Corvallis, Ore. Oregon State won 55-7. (AP Photo/Amanda Loman)
(AP Photo/Amanda Loman)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 05, 2024, 3:22 PM
  • Oregon St is a -2.5 point favorite vs. San Jose St
  • San Jose State vs. Oregon State Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
  • TV Channel: CW

The San Jose State Spartans (5-3) visit Reser Stadium to take on the Oregon State Beavers (4-4) on Nov. 9 in Corvallis, OR. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST.

Oregon St is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The San Jose State vs. Oregon State Over/Under is 55.5 total points.

Bet now on Oregon St vs San Jose St & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

San Jose State vs. Oregon State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
San Jose State+2.5 -10555.5 -110+125
Oregon State -2.5 -11555.5 -110-150

San Jose State vs Oregon State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Oregon State will win this game with 60.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both San Jose St and Oregon St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

San Jose State vs Oregon State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oregon State will cover the spread with 52.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Oregon St vs San Jose St and all games with BetMGM


  • San Jose State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 4 away games (+5.60 Units / 137% ROI)
  • San Jose State have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 79% ROI)
  • San Jose State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 49% ROI)
  • San Jose State has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+2.20 Units / 6% ROI)
  • San Jose State have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.80 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Oregon State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Oregon State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Oregon State have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+2.15 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Oregon State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Oregon State has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for San Jose State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best San Jose State Player Prop Bets Today

  • Nick Nash has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Justin Lockhart has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Oregon State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Oregon State Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Gevani McCoy has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.20 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Gevani McCoy has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game at home (+1.00 Units / 100% ROI)
  • Gevani McCoy has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Anthony Hankerson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Trent Walker has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

San Jose State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

San Jose St is 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.35 Units / -3.98% ROI).

  • San Jose State is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.2 Units / 9.24% ROI
  • San Jose State is 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
  • San Jose State is 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI

Oregon State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oregon St is 2-6 against the spread this college football season (-4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI).

  • Oregon State is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.5 Units / -12.77% ROI
  • Oregon State is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 7.95% ROI
  • Oregon State is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -15.91% ROI

San Jose State: Keys to the Game vs. Oregon State

San Jose State is 1-4 (.200) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-27th-worst in FBS; Average: .354

San Jose State is 10-4 (.714) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .544

San Jose State is 8-2 (.800) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .622

San Jose State is 11-9 (.550) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 15th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .400

Oregon State: Keys to the Game vs. San Jose State

Oregon State is 8-2 (.800) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .675

Oregon State is 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-15th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .685

Oregon State is 10-3 (.769) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 15th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .659

Oregon State is 10-3 (.769) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 23rd-best in FBS; Average: .609

Matchup Notes for San Jose State vs. Oregon State

Oregon State has averaged 12.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-21st-best among FBS skill players. San Jose State’s defense has allowed just 11.0 RAC since the 2023 season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.

Oregon State’s TEs has gained 910 yards on 62 receptions (14.7 YPR) since the 2023 season — 4th-best among P5 TEs. San Jose State’s defense has allowed just 11.1 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.

Oregon State’s TEs has gained 910 yards on 62 receptions (14.7 YPR) since the 2023 season — 4th-best among P5 TEs. San Jose State’s defense has allowed just 9.5 Yards Per Reception to TEs since the 2023 season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.

San Jose State’s RBs has 6 receptions in 8 games (just 0.8 per game) this season — 2nd-worst among FBS RBs. Oregon State’s defense has allowed just 16.5 receptions per game this season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.

San Jose State has 194 receptions in 8 games (24.2 per game) this season — 16th-best among FBS skill players. Oregon State’s defense has allowed just 16.5 receptions per game this season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.

San Jose State’s WRs has 152 receptions in 8 games (19.0 per game) this season — 7th-best among FBS WRs. Oregon State’s defense has allowed just 16.5 receptions per game this season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.

San Jose State Offensive Stats & Trends

San Jose State RBs have averaged 7.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,132 yards / 144 touches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

San Jose State RBs have averaged 7.3 Yards per Carry (954 yards/130 carries) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

San Jose State RBs have fumbled 4 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

San Jose State RBs averaged 9.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (863 yards / 95 touches) in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

San Jose State RBs have averaged 6.2 Yards per Carry (2,864 yards/465 carries) since the 2023 season– T-4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

Oregon State Offensive Stats & Trends

Oregon State WRs have averaged a touchdown every 32.3 receptions (97 Rec/3 TDs) this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.9

Oregon State has averaged 12.9 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-21st-best among FBS skill players. San Jose State’s defense has allowed just 11.0 RAC since the 2023 season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.

Oregon State Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 34.8 receptions (139 Rec/4 TDs) this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.6

Oregon State’s TEs has gained 910 yards on 62 receptions (14.7 YPR) since the 2023 season — 4th-best among P5 TEs. San Jose State’s defense has allowed just 11.1 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.

Oregon State Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 34.8 receptions (139 Rec/4 TDs) this season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.7

San Jose State Spartans Defensive Stats & Trends

San Jose State has tackled opponents for a loss on just 9 of 128 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

San Jose State did not record a sack (31 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1

San Jose State has averaged 1.75 interceptions per game (14/8) this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 0.77

San Jose State tackled opponents for a loss on just 4 of 77 rushing attempts (5% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

San Jose State has allowed opponents to catch just 17 of 47 passes (36% Reception Pct) in close and late situations this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 59%

Oregon State Beavers Defensive Stats & Trends

Oregon State has averaged a sack every 44.0 pass attempts (220 Pass Attempts/5 Sacks) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.2

Oregon State has averaged a sack every 44.0 pass attempts (220 Pass Attempts/5 Sacks) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 14.7

Oregon State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 37% (14 completions/38 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 59%

Oregon State has allowed first downs on 46% of rush attempts in close and late situations this season– worst in FBS; Average: 22%

Oregon State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 37% (14 completions/38 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 60%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.