- Appalachian State is a -7 point favorite vs. South Alabama
- South Alabama vs. Appalachian State Total(Over/Under): 63.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
The South Alabama Jaguars (1-2) visit Kidd Brewer Stadium to take on the Appalachian State Mountaineers (2-1) on Sep. 19 in Boone, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
Appalachian State is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -7 (-115).
The South Alabama vs. Appalachian State Over/Under is 63.5 total points.
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South Alabama vs. Appalachian State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| South Alabama | +7 -105 | 63.5 -105 | +225 |
| Appalachian State | -7 -115 | 63.5 -115 | -275 |
South Alabama vs Appalachian State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Appalachian State will win this game with 70.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both South Alabama and Appalachian State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
South Alabama vs Appalachian State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts South Alabama will cover the spread with 54.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Appalachian State vs South Alabama and all games with BetMGM
South Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record
South Alabama is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.15 Units / -35.94% ROI).
- South Alabama is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.35 Units / -100% ROI
- South Alabama is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- South Alabama is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Appalachian State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Appalachian State is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Appalachian State is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Appalachian State is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Appalachian State is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
Appalachian State: Keys to the Game vs. South Alabama
Appalachian State is 9-3 (.562) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– 14th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .430
Appalachian State is 6-5 (.545) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-38th-best in FBS; Average: .407
Appalachian State is 3-2 (.600) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-9th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .403
Appalachian State is 8-3 (.667) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .343
Matchup Notes for South Alabama vs. Appalachian State
Appalachian State’s WRs has gained 729 yards on 45 receptions (16.2 YPR) this season — T-21st-best among FBS WRs. South Alabama’s defense has allowed 13.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.
Appalachian State has gained 4,794 yards on 373 receptions (12.9 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-31st-best among FBS skill players. South Alabama’s defense has allowed 12.6 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.
Appalachian State’s WRs has averaged 28.3 targets per game this season — T-12th-highest among FBS WRs. South Alabama’s defense has allowed 17.0 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-11th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Alabama’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.3% of 105 attempts this season — 27th-best among FBS offenses. Appalachian State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 14.0% of attempts this season — 16th-best among FBS defenses.
South Alabama’s offense has thrown for 915 passing yards in 3 games (305.0 YPG) this season — 22nd-best among FBS offenses. Appalachian State’s defense has allowed 269.3 passing yards per game this season — 20th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Alabama has gained 915 yards on 64 receptions (14.3 YPR) this season — 27th-best among FBS skill players. Appalachian State’s defense has allowed 13.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends
South Alabama’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.3% of 105 attempts this season — 27th-best among FBS offenses. Appalachian State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 14.0% of attempts this season — 16th-best among FBS defenses.
South Alabama’s offense has thrown for 915 passing yards in 3 games (305.0 YPG) this season — 22nd-best among FBS offenses. Appalachian State’s defense has allowed 269.3 passing yards per game this season — 20th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Alabama RBs have averaged 10.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (445 yards / 44 touches) on 1st down this season– 5th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5
South Alabama RBs have averaged 8.1 Yards per Carry (543 yards/67 carries) this season– T-3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2
South Alabama has gained 915 yards on 64 receptions (14.3 YPR) this season — 27th-best among FBS skill players. Appalachian State’s defense has allowed 13.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Appalachian State Offensive Stats & Trends
Appalachian State’s WRs has gained 729 yards on 45 receptions (16.2 YPR) this season — T-21st-best among FBS WRs. South Alabama’s defense has allowed 13.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.
Appalachian State has gained 4,794 yards on 373 receptions (12.9 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-31st-best among FBS skill players. South Alabama’s defense has allowed 12.6 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.
Appalachian State’s WRs has averaged 28.3 targets per game this season — T-12th-highest among FBS WRs. South Alabama’s defense has allowed 17.0 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-11th-worst among FBS defenses.
Appalachian State’s WRs has gained 729 yards on 45 receptions (16.2 YPR) this season — T-21st-best among FBS WRs. South Alabama’s defense has allowed 14.5 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 31st-worst among FBS defenses.
Appalachian State’s offense has thrown for 964 passing yards in 3 games (321.3 YPG) this season — 16th-best among FBS offenses. South Alabama’s defense has allowed 273.7 passing yards per game this season — 19th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Alabama Jaguars Defensive Stats & Trends
South Alabama has allowed first downs on 6% of rush attempts in close and late situations since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 21%
South Alabama has allowed 22 rushing TDs on 862 carries (39.2 Carries Per TD) since the 2022 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 23
South Alabama has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 34 rushing attempts (18% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 21st-best in FBS; Average: 11%.
South Alabama allowed first downs on 7% of rush attempts in close and late situations in the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 22%
South Alabama has tackled opponents for a loss on just 8 of 83 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 11th-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.
Appalachian State Mountaineers Defensive Stats & Trends
Appalachian State has tackled opponents for a loss on 18 of 83 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-13th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
Appalachian State opponents has averaged just 14.3 Passing Attempts per TD (86 Pass Attempts/6 Passing TDs) this season– T-18th-worst in FBS; Average: 23.7
Appalachian State has averaged a sack every 7.8 pass attempts (39 Pass Attempts/5 Sacks) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 13th-best in FBS; Average: 14.8
Appalachian State has tackled opponents for a loss on just 10 of 104 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) this season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.
Appalachian State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 12 of 86 attempts (14%) this season– 16th-best in FBS; Average: 9%
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