Stanford vs NC State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 10

North Carolina State head coach Dave Doeren watched his team during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Louisville in Louisville, Ky., Saturday, Nov. 19, 2022.
(AP Photo/Timothy D. Easley)
  • NC State is a -9.5 point favorite vs. Stanford
  • Stanford vs. North Carolina State Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
  • TV Channel: ACCN

The Stanford Cardinal (2-6) visit Carter-Finley Stadium to take on the North Carolina State Wolfpack (4-4) on Nov. 2 in Raleigh, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.

NC State is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Stanford vs. North Carolina State Over/Under is 46.5 total points.

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Stanford vs. North Carolina State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Stanford+9.5 -11046.5 -110+280
North Carolina State -9.5 -11046.5 -110-350

Stanford vs North Carolina State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts North Carolina State will win this game with 76.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Stanford and NC State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Stanford vs North Carolina State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts North Carolina State will cover the spread with 67.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Stanford has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 away games (+4.30 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Stanford have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.75 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Stanford have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+4.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.35 Units / 25% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.80 Units / 20% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.35 Units / 2% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Stanford players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Stanford Player Prop Bets Today

  • Ashton Daniels has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.05 Units / 105% ROI)
  • Tiger Bachmeier has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Ashton Daniels has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Ashton Daniels has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Ismael Cisse has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for North Carolina State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best North Carolina State Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Kevin Concepcion has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Grayson McCall has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Grayson McCall has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jordan Waters has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)

Stanford Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Stanford is 2-5 against the spread this college football season (-3.5 Units / -40% ROI).

  • Stanford is 1-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -42.86% ROI
  • Stanford is 2-6 when betting the Over for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI
  • Stanford is 6-2 when betting the Under for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI

North Carolina State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

NC State is 1-6 against the spread this college football season (-5.6 Units / -63.28% ROI).

  • North Carolina State is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • North Carolina State is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.65 Units / 18.64% ROI
  • North Carolina State is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.57% ROI

Stanford: Keys to the Game vs. North Carolina State

Stanford is 1-15 (.062) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .534

Stanford is 1-14 (.067) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .475

Stanford is 2-10 (.167) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .592

Stanford is 1-12 (.077) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .476

North Carolina State: Keys to the Game vs. Stanford

North Carolina State is 1-4 (.200) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: .357

North Carolina State is 9-3 (.750) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .628

North Carolina State is 8-3 (.727) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-11th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .531

North Carolina State is 9-3 (.692) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-39th-best in FBS; Average: .598

Matchup Notes for Stanford vs. North Carolina State

North Carolina State’s RBs has averaged 10.6 yards after the catch this season — 25th-best among FBS RBs. Stanford’s defense has allowed 13.3 RAC this season — 2nd-worst among ACC defenses.

North Carolina State’s TEs has gained 465 yards on 28 receptions (16.6 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among ACC TEs. Stanford’s defense has allowed 13.5 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-worst among ACC defenses.

North Carolina State’s RBs has averaged 10.6 yards after the catch this season — 25th-best among FBS RBs. Stanford’s defense has allowed 13.3 RAC this season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.

Stanford’s QBs has thrown for 1,387 passing yards in 8 games (just 173.4 YPG) this season — 17th-worst among FBS teams. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 241.0 passing yards per game this season — 31st-worst among FBS defenses.

Stanford’s offense has thrown for 1,406 passing yards in 8 games (just 175.8 YPG) this season — 18th-worst among FBS offenses. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 241.0 passing yards per game this season — 31st-worst among FBS defenses.

Stanford have just 175.8 receiving yards per game this season — worst among ACC skill players. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 241.0 receiving yards per game this season — 31st-worst among FBS defenses.

Stanford Offensive Stats & Trends

Stanford’s QBs has thrown for 1,387 passing yards in 8 games (just 173.4 YPG) this season — 17th-worst among FBS teams. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 241.0 passing yards per game this season — 31st-worst among FBS defenses.

Stanford RBs have not rushed for a 0 TD on 14 carries (inf Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4

Stanford RBs have not rushed for a 0 TD on 135 carries (inf Carries Per TD) this season– worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.2

Stanford’s offense has thrown for 1,406 passing yards in 8 games (just 175.8 YPG) this season — 18th-worst among FBS offenses. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 241.0 passing yards per game this season — 31st-worst among FBS defenses.

Stanford WRs had no touchdowns on 18 receptions last week– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.8

North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends

North Carolina State TEs have averaged 22.0 yards per reception (154 yards/7 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.2

North Carolina State TEs have 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– most among Power Conference Teams

North Carolina State TEs have 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– most among FBS Teams

North Carolina State Skill Players have averaged 18.8 yards per reception (622 yards/33 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– T-2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.0

North Carolina State RBs have averaged 9.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (504 yards / 54 touches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5

Stanford Cardinal Defensive Stats & Trends

Stanford has allowed 28 TD passes in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– most among Power Conference Teams

Stanford has allowed 52 TD passes since the 2023 season– most in FBS

Stanford has allowed 3.7 touchdowns per interception (52 TDs allowed, and 14 INT) since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.6

Stanford has not recorded a sack (33 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.3

Stanford has allowed 28 TD passes in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– most in FBS

North Carolina State Wolfpack Defensive Stats & Trends

North Carolina State has tackled opponents for a loss on 125 of 630 rushing attempts (20% TFL%) since the 2023 season– 15th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

North Carolina State has allowed a Completion Pct of 81% (25 completions/31 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: 60%

North Carolina State has tackled opponents for a loss on 3 of 16 rushing attempts (19% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 15th-best in FBS; Average: 10%.

North Carolina State has allowed 241.0 Passing Yards per game (1,928/8) this season– 31st-worst in FBS; Average: 218.5

North Carolina State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 59% (409 completions/697 attempts) since the 2023 season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: 61%


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About the Author

Shane Jackson

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Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.