Boston College FootballSyracuse Football

Syracuse vs Boston College Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

BetMGM Betting Nov 05, 2024, 3:08 PM

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Boston College quarterback Thomas Castellanos (1) rolls out during the second half of an NCAA college football game against UConn Saturday, Oct. 28, 2023 in Boston. (AP Photo/Mark Stockwell)

(AP Photo/Mark Stockwell)

Boston College is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Syracuse
Syracuse vs. Boston College Total (Over/Under): 53.5 points
TV Channel: CW

The Syracuse Orange (6-2) visit Alumni Stadium to take on the Boston College Eagles (4-4) on Nov. 9 in Chestnut Hill, MA. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.

Boston College is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Syracuse vs. Boston College Over/Under is 53.5 total points.

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Syracuse vs. Boston College Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Syracuse	+2.5 -115	53.5 -115	+105
Boston College	-2.5 -105	53.5 -105	-125

Syracuse vs Boston College Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Boston College will win this game with 54.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Syracuse and Boston College, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Syracuse vs Boston College Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Boston College will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Syracuse Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Syracuse has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.75 Units / 15% ROI)
Syracuse has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+1.65 Units / 7% ROI)
Syracuse has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 2 of their last 4 away games (+0.90 Units / 20% ROI)

Boston College Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Boston College has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 11 games (+5.15 Units / 37% ROI)
Boston College has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.25 Units / 27% ROI)
Boston College has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 12 games (+1.55 Units / 12% ROI)
Boston College has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
Boston College have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 10 games (+0.80 Units / 6% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Syracuse players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Syracuse Player Prop Bets Today

Oronde Gadsden II has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 79% ROI)
Jackson Meeks has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Kyle McCord has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 53% ROI)
LeQuint Allen has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Umari Hatcher has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Boston College players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Boston College Player Prop Best Bets Today

Thomas Castellanos has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games (+2.10 Units / 72% ROI)
Lewis Bond has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Thomas Castellanos has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Jaedn Skeete has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Thomas Castellanos has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Syracuse Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Syracuse is 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.4 Units / -4.52% ROI).

Syracuse is 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 8.97% ROI
Syracuse is 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
Syracuse is 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI

Boston College Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Boston College is 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI).

Boston College is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 39.8% ROI
Boston College is 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
Boston College is 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI

Syracuse: Keys to the Game vs. Boston College

Syracuse is undefeated (6-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .654

Syracuse is 2-8 (.200) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 13th-worst in FBS; Average: .456

Syracuse is 12-4 (.750) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .635

Syracuse is 12-1 (.923) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– 4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .677

Boston College: Keys to the Game vs. Syracuse

Boston College is 8-5 (.615) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .505

Boston College is 6-8 (.429) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .590

Boston College is 6-8 (.429) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-36th-worst in FBS; Average: .537

Boston College is 7-2 (.778) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .619

Matchup Notes for Syracuse vs. Boston College

Boston College’s WRs has 222 receptions in 21 games (just 10.6 per game) since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among ACC WRs. Syracuse’s defense has allowed 20.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 26th-worst among FBS defenses.

Boston College’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.2% of 550 attempts since the 2023 season — T-22nd-best among FBS offenses. Syracuse’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.7% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.

Boston College has gained 1,542 yards on 117 receptions (13.2 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among ACC skill players. Syracuse’s defense has allowed just 11.1 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-best among ACC defenses.

Syracuse’s RBs has rushed for 2,165 yards on 497 carries (just 4.4 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-14th-worst among FBS RBs. Boston College’s defense have allowed 4.8 YPC since the 2023 season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.

Syracuse has 2.6 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-3rd-best among ACC skill players. Boston College’s defense has allowed just 1.0 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.

Syracuse has been targeted 372 times this season — most among ACC skill players. Boston College’s defense has allowed 1,798 receiving yards this season — 5th-fewest among ACC defenses.

Syracuse Offensive Stats & Trends

Syracuse RBs have been targeted 8.6 times per game (69/8) this season– 6th-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4

Syracuse Skill Players have been targeted 46.5 times per game (372/8) this season– highest among Power Conference Teams; Average: 30.2

Syracuse Skill Players have averaged 30.8 receptions per game (246/8) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.6

Syracuse RBs have been targeted 11 times in the Red Zone this season– T-most among FBS Teams

Boston College Offensive Stats & Trends

Boston College RBs have averaged 16.3 yards per reception (261 yards/16 catches) this season– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 8.3

Boston College has 317 receptions in 21 games (just 15.1 per game) since the 2023 season — T-16th-worst among FBS skill players. Syracuse’s defense has allowed 20.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 26th-worst among FBS defenses.

Syracuse Orange Defensive Stats & Trends

Syracuse has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 1 of 84 attempts (1%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 9%

Syracuse has allowed a Completion Pct of just 27% (4 completions/15 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go this season– best in FBS; Average: 56%

Syracuse has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 1 of 84 attempts (1%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9%

Syracuse has allowed a Completion Pct of just 27% (4 completions/15 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%

Syracuse has tackled opponents for a loss on 24 of 104 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Boston College Eagles Defensive Stats & Trends

Boston College has averaged a sack every 24.4 pass attempts (585 Pass Attempts/24 Sacks) since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.0

Boston College did not record a sack (27 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1

Boston College has tackled opponents for a loss on 11 of 38 rushing attempts (29% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 8th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Boston College has sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (24/585) since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Boston College has averaged a sack every 24.4 pass attempts (585 Pass Attempts/24 Sacks) since the 2023 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 14.5