Syracuse vs UNLV Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 6

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UNLV Rebels wide receiver Ricky White (11) runs a route during an NCAA football game against the California Golden Bears on Saturday, Sept. 10, 2022 in Berkeley, Calif. (AP Photo/Lachlan Cunningham)
(AP Photo/Lachlan Cunningham)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 04, 2024, 11:50 AM
  • The UNLV is a -6.5 point favorite vs. Syracuse
  • The Syracuse vs. UNLV Total(Over/Under): 58.5 points
  • TV Channel: FS1

The Syracuse Orange (3-1) visit Allegiant Stadium to take on the UNLV Rebels (4-0) on Oct. 4 in Paradise, NV. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT.

UNLV is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Syracuse vs. UNLV Over/Under is 58.5 total points.

Bet now on UNLV vs Syracuse & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Syracuse vs. UNLV Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Syracuse+6.5 -11058.5 -110+200
UNLV -6.5 -11058.5 -110-250

Syracuse vs UNLV Prediction:

The winning team model predicts UNLV will win this game with 62.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Syracuse and UNLV, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Syracuse vs UNLV Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UNLV will cover the spread with 58.4% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Syracuse has hit the Game Total Over in their last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Syracuse has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 away games (+2.00 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Syracuse has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.75 Units / 35% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.80 Units / 45% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+5.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.85 Units / 32% ROI)
  • UNLV have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.90 Units / 44% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Syracuse players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Syracuse Player Prop Bets Today

  • Kyle McCord has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Umari Hatcher has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • LeQuint Allen has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last away game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for UNLV players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best UNLV Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Jacob De Jesus has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.05 Units / 95% ROI)
  • Jai’Den Thomas has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Ricky White has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Syracuse Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Syracuse is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • Syracuse is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.3 Units / -9.77% ROI
  • Syracuse is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Syracuse is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI

UNLV Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UNLV is 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 67.42% ROI).

  • UNLV is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.3 Units / 117.81% ROI
  • UNLV is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -27.27% ROI
  • UNLV is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 20.45% ROI

Syracuse: Keys to the Game vs. UNLV

Syracuse is 8-2 (.800) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-37th-best in FBS; Average: .682

Syracuse is 2-7 (.222) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .533

Syracuse is 9-1 (.900) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– 5th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .691

Syracuse is 2-7 (.222) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 19th-worst in FBS; Average: .461

UNLV: Keys to the Game vs. Syracuse

UNLV is 10-4 (.714) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-37th-best in FBS; Average: .618

UNLV is 6-3 (.667) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .535

UNLV is 11-5 (.688) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– 13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .572

UNLV is 12-2 (.857) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .618

Matchup Notes for Syracuse vs. UNLV

UNLV has 288 receptions in 18 games (just 16.0 per game) since the 2023 season — T-28th-worst among FBS skill players. Syracuse’s defense has allowed 20.8 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.

UNLV’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.4% of 67 attempts this season — 24th-best among FBS offenses. Syracuse’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.9% of attempts this season — 3rd-worst among ACC defenses.

UNLV’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.4% of 67 attempts this season — 24th-best among FBS offenses. Syracuse’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.9% of attempts this season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.

Syracuse’s WRs has gained 2,717 yards on 185 receptions (14.7 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-20th-best among FBS WRs. UNLV’s defense has allowed 13.7 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-9th-worst among FBS defenses.

Syracuse’s RBs has rushed for 1,789 yards on 404 carries (just 4.4 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-19th-worst among FBS RBs. UNLV’s defense have allowed just 4.4 YPC to RBs since the 2023 season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

Syracuse’s WRs has gained 2,717 yards on 185 receptions (14.7 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-20th-best among FBS WRs. UNLV’s defense has allowed 16.1 Yards Per Reception to WRs since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Syracuse Offensive Stats & Trends

Syracuse’s WRs has gained 2,717 yards on 185 receptions (14.7 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-20th-best among FBS WRs. UNLV’s defense has allowed 13.7 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-9th-worst among FBS defenses.

Syracuse RBs have picked up first downs on 6 receptions on 3rd down this season– most among FBS Teams

Syracuse Skill Players have averaged 29.0 receptions per game (116/4) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 18.9

Syracuse WRs caught 4 touchdown passes last week– T-most among FBS Teams

Syracuse RBs were targeted 5 times on 3rd down last week– most among FBS Teams

UNLV Offensive Stats & Trends

UNLV has 288 receptions in 18 games (just 16.0 per game) since the 2023 season — T-28th-worst among FBS skill players. Syracuse’s defense has allowed 20.8 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.

UNLV’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.4% of 67 attempts this season — 24th-best among FBS offenses. Syracuse’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.9% of attempts this season — 3rd-worst among ACC defenses.

UNLV’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.4% of 67 attempts this season — 24th-best among FBS offenses. Syracuse’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.9% of attempts this season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.

UNLV has gained 3,923 yards on 288 receptions (13.6 YPR) since the 2023 season — 15th-best among FBS skill players. Syracuse’s defense has allowed just 11.0 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.

UNLV has gained 3,923 yards on 288 receptions (13.6 YPR) since the 2023 season — 15th-best among FBS skill players. Syracuse’s defense has allowed just 11.0 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among ACC defenses.

Syracuse Orange Defensive Stats & Trends

Syracuse has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 1 of 75 attempts (1%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9%

Syracuse has allowed first downs on 46% of rush attempts in close and late situations this season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 19%

Syracuse allowed 19.0 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs last week– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 142.4

Syracuse has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 1 of 75 attempts (1%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 9%

Syracuse has not allowed a pass completion for 20+ yards (22 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 9%

UNLV Rebels Defensive Stats & Trends

UNLV had 4 interceptions last week– most in FBS

UNLV has averaged 2.25 interceptions per game (9/4) this season– T-2nd-best in FBS; Average: 0.85

UNLV has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 82 of 539 attempts (15%) since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%

UNLV has allowed 82 receptions for 20+ yards since the 2023 season– 2nd-most in FBS

UNLV has 9 interceptions this season– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.