- Iowa St. is a -14.5 point favorite vs. Texas Tech
- Texas Tech vs. Iowa State Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
The Texas Tech Red Raiders (5-3) visit Jack Trice Stadium to take on the Iowa State Cyclones (7-0) on Nov. 2 in Ames, IA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
Iowa St. is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-105).
The Texas Tech vs. Iowa State Over/Under is 56.5 total points.
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Texas Tech vs. Iowa State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Texas Tech | +14.5 -115 | 56.5 -115 | +450 |
| Iowa State | -14.5 -105 | 56.5 -105 | -650 |
Texas Tech vs Iowa State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Iowa State will win this game with 84.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas Tech and Iowa St., key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Texas Tech vs Iowa State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Iowa State will cover the spread with 65.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Iowa St. vs Texas Tech and all games with BetMGM
Texas Tech Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Texas Tech has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 52% ROI)
- Texas Tech has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- Texas Tech has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- Texas Tech have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.50 Units / 10% ROI)
- Texas Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.95 Units / 18% ROI)
Iowa State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Iowa State has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- Iowa State have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Iowa State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- Iowa State have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- Iowa State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Texas Tech players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Texas Tech Player Prop Bets Today
- Caleb Douglas has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Tahj Brooks has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Behren Morton has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.10 Units / 110% ROI)
- Coy Eakin has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Behren Morton has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Iowa State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Iowa State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Carson Hansen has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Jaylon Jackson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Benjamin Brahmer has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Rocco Becht has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Rocco Becht has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
Texas Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas Tech is 4-3 against the spread this college football season (+0.7 Units / 7.91% ROI).
- Texas Tech is 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.45 Units / 3.42% ROI
- Texas Tech is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
- Texas Tech is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
Iowa State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Iowa St. is 5-2 against the spread this college football season (+2.8 Units / 36.84% ROI).
- Iowa State is 6-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.2 Units / 16.89% ROI
- Iowa State is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
- Iowa State is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
Texas Tech: Keys to the Game vs. Iowa State
Texas Tech is 8-2 (.800) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-14th-best in FBS; Average: .538
Texas Tech is 8-2 (.800) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .600
Texas Tech is 10-4 (.714) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .608
Texas Tech is 11-4 (.733) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-39th-best in FBS; Average: .628
Iowa State: Keys to the Game vs. Texas Tech
Iowa State is winless (0-4) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .399
Iowa State is undefeated (7-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .662
Iowa State is 4-1 (.800) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .625
Iowa State is 11-5 (.688) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– 11th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .485
Matchup Notes for Texas Tech vs. Iowa State
Iowa State’s WRs has gained 1,406 yards on 95 receptions (14.8 YPR) this season — T-3rd-best among Big 12 WRs. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 15.9 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 6th-worst among FBS defenses.
Iowa State’s TEs has gained 270 yards on 19 receptions (14.2 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 TEs. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 13.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-17th-worst among FBS defenses.
Iowa State’s WRs has gained 1,406 yards on 95 receptions (14.8 YPR) this season — T-3rd-best among Big 12 WRs. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 13.3 Yards Per Reception this season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Texas Tech’s QBs has thrown for 2,265 passing yards in 8 games (283.1 YPG) this season — T-21st-best among FBS teams. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 133.7 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-best among FBS defenses.
Texas Tech has gained 2,305 yards on 206 receptions (just 11.2 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 skill players. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 9.5 Yards Per Reception this season — best among Big 12 defenses.
Texas Tech’s QBs has thrown for 2,265 passing yards in 8 games (283.1 YPG) this season — T-21st-best among FBS teams. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 133.7 passing yards per game this season — best among Big 12 defenses.
Texas Tech Offensive Stats & Trends
Texas Tech’s QBs has thrown for 2,265 passing yards in 8 games (283.1 YPG) this season — T-21st-best among FBS teams. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 133.7 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-best among FBS defenses.
Texas Tech has gained 2,305 yards on 206 receptions (just 11.2 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 skill players. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 9.5 Yards Per Reception this season — best among Big 12 defenses.
Texas Tech’s QBs has thrown for 2,265 passing yards in 8 games (283.1 YPG) this season — T-21st-best among FBS teams. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 133.7 passing yards per game this season — best among Big 12 defenses.
Texas Tech’s offense has thrown for 2,305 passing yards in 8 games (288.1 YPG) this season — T-19th-best among FBS offenses. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 133.7 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-best among FBS defenses.
Texas Tech has gained 2,305 yards on 206 receptions (just 11.2 YPR) this season — T-32nd-worst among FBS skill players. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 9.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-4th-best among FBS defenses.
Iowa State Offensive Stats & Trends
Iowa State Skill Players have averaged 22.9 yards per reception (709 yards/31 catches) in short yardage situations since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.4
Iowa State WRs have averaged 26.6 yards per reception (531 yards/20 catches) in short yardage situations since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.1
Iowa State Skill Players have averaged 22.9 yards per reception (709 yards/31 catches) in short yardage situations since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 10.3
Iowa State’s WRs has gained 1,406 yards on 95 receptions (14.8 YPR) this season — T-3rd-best among Big 12 WRs. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 15.9 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 6th-worst among FBS defenses.
Iowa State WRs have averaged 26.7 yards per reception (267 yards/10 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.2
Texas Tech Red Raiders Defensive Stats & Trends
Texas Tech has allowed 56.4 receiving yards per game (451/8) to RBs this season– worst in FBS; Average: 24.9
Texas Tech has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (9/296) this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 6%
Texas Tech allowed passes of 40+ yards on 3 of 32 attempts (9%) last week– worst in the Big 12; Average: 4%
Texas Tech has allowed 157.0 yards from scrimmage per game in the 4th quarter this season– worst in FBS; Average: 88.7
Texas Tech has averaged a sack every 32.9 pass attempts (296 Pass Attempts/9 Sacks) this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 16.6
Iowa State Cyclones Defensive Stats & Trends
Iowa State opponents has averaged 38.8 Passing Attempts per TD (194 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 19.7
Iowa State opponents has averaged 6.7 Passing Attempts per TD (74 Pass Attempts/11 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.9
Iowa State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (4 completions/14 attempts) in close and late situations this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 59%
Iowa State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 41% (31 completions/75 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 60%
Iowa State opponents has averaged 8.0 Passing Attempts per TD (24 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 3.8
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