Tulane vs UAB Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 6

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UAB quarterback Jacob Zeno (4) throws a pass against Alabama A&M during an NCAA football game Thursday, Sept. 1, 2022, in Birmingham, Ala. (AP Photo/Butch Dill)
(AP Photo/Butch Dill)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 04, 2024, 11:50 AM
  • The Tulane is a -14.5 point favorite vs. UAB
  • The Tulane vs. UAB Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

The Tulane Green Wave (3-2) visit Protective Stadium to take on the UAB Blazers (1-3) on Oct. 5 in Birmingham, AL. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT.

Tulane is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-110).

The Tulane vs. UAB Over/Under is 55.5 total points.

Bet now on UAB vs Tulane & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Tulane vs. UAB Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Tulane-14.5 -11055.5 -110-700
UAB +14.5 -11055.5 -110+500

Tulane vs UAB Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Tulane will win this game with 85.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Tulane and UAB, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Tulane vs UAB Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UAB will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on UAB vs Tulane and all games with BetMGM


  • Tulane has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Tulane has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.65 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Tulane has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.15 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Tulane has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.90 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Tulane has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.45 Units / 6% ROI)
  • UAB has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • UAB has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • UAB have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.95 Units / 46% ROI)
  • UAB have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.95 Units / 44% ROI)
  • UAB has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Tulane players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tulane Player Prop Bets Today

  • Makhi Hughes has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Tulane Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Tulane is 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 34.23% ROI).

  • Tulane is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -18.18% ROI
  • Tulane is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -3.6% ROI
  • Tulane is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.15 Units / -2.75% ROI

UAB Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UAB is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • UAB is 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • UAB is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • UAB is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI

Tulane: Keys to the Game vs. UAB

Tulane is 13-1 (.929) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .572

Tulane is 8-1 (.889) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .513

Tulane is 7-3 (.700) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– 18th-best in FBS; Average: .441

Tulane is 9-3 (.750) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .535

UAB: Keys to the Game vs. Tulane

UAB is 5-9 (.357) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-12th-worst in FBS; Average: .630

UAB is 2-9 (.182) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-12th-worst in FBS; Average: .451

UAB is 1-9 (.100) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-5th-worst in FBS; Average: .440

UAB is 4-6 (.400) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .545

Matchup Notes for Tulane vs. UAB

UAB has 388 receptions in 16 games (24.2 per game) since the 2023 season — T-15th-best among FBS skill players. Tulane’s defense has allowed 20.6 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-19th-worst among FBS defenses.

UAB has gained 4,286 yards on 388 receptions (just 11.0 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-24th-worst among FBS skill players. Tulane’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

UAB’s RBs has averaged 7.4 targets per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-highest among FBS RBs. Tulane’s defense has allowed 4.2 receptions per game to RBs since the 2023 season — T-5th-worst among FBS defenses.

Alex Bauman (TUL) has gained 399 yards on 42 receptions (just 9.5 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-7th-worst of Qualified Tight Ends. UAB’s defense has allowed just 9.7 Yards Per Reception to TEs since the 2023 season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.

Alex Bauman (TUL) has 42 receptions in 19 games (2.2 per game) since the 2023 season — 10th-worst of Qualified Tight Ends. UAB’s defense has allowed 3.6 receptions per game to TEs since the 2023 season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.

Tulane Offensive Stats & Trends

Tulane TEs have caught 5 touchdown passes this season– T-4th-most among FBS Teams

Tulane Skill Players have averaged just 15.2 receptions per game (76/5) this season– T-27th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 18.9

Tulane Kickers averaged 13.0 yards per kickoff (-13 yards/-1 kickoffs) in the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 61.5

Tulane Kickers averaged 13.0 yards per kickoff (-13 yards/-1 kickoffs) in close and late situations in the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 60.5

Tulane Skill Players have averaged just 16.1 receptions per game (305/19) since the 2023 season– 30th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 18.9

UAB Offensive Stats & Trends

UAB has 388 receptions in 16 games (24.2 per game) since the 2023 season — T-15th-best among FBS skill players. Tulane’s defense has allowed 20.6 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-19th-worst among FBS defenses.

UAB has gained 4,286 yards on 388 receptions (just 11.0 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-24th-worst among FBS skill players. Tulane’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

UAB’s RBs has averaged 7.4 targets per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-highest among FBS RBs. Tulane’s defense has allowed 4.2 receptions per game to RBs since the 2023 season — T-5th-worst among FBS defenses.

UAB Kickers have averaged 55.2 yards per kickoff (3,807 yards/69 kickoffs) since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 61.8

UAB has gained 4,286 yards on 388 receptions (just 11.0 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-24th-worst among FBS skill players. Tulane’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-2nd-best among NonP5 defenses.

Tulane Green Wave Defensive Stats & Trends

Tulane has tackled opponents for a loss on 2 of 8 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.

Tulane has tackled opponents for a loss on 2 of 8 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-12th-best in FBS; Average: 11%.

Tulane sacked opposing QBs on 21% of pass attempts (6/28) last week– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Tulane has sacked opponents 9 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Tulane has sacked opponents 9 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-most in FBS

UAB Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

UAB allowed passes of 20+ yards on 4 of 11 attempts (36%) last week– best in FBS; Average: 11%

UAB allowed passes of 20+ yards on 4 of 11 attempts (36%) last week– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%

UAB allowed 20.5 Yards per Attempt (225 yards/11 attempts) last week– worst in FBS; Average: 7.5

UAB allowed 25.0 yards per completion (225 yards/9 completions) last week– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.4

UAB has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 53 rushing attempts on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 12%.


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.