UCLA vs Nebraska Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 10

BetMGM Betting Nov 01, 2024, 3:24 PM

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Nebraska head coach Matt Rhule reacts during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Minnesota, Thursday, Aug. 31, 2023, in Minneapolis. (AP Photo/Abbie Parr)

(AP Photo/Abbie Parr)

Nebraska is a -6.5 point favorite vs. UCLA
UCLA vs. Nebraska Total (Over/Under): 40.5 points
TV Channel: BTN

The UCLA Bruins (2-5) visit Tom Osborne Field at Memorial Stadium to take on the Nebraska Cornhuskers (5-3) on Nov. 2 in Lincoln, NE. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Nebraska is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The UCLA vs. Nebraska Over/Under is 40.5 total points.

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UCLA vs. Nebraska Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
UCLA	+6.5 -110	40.5 -110	+200
Nebraska	-6.5 -110	40.5 -110	-250

UCLA vs Nebraska Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Nebraska will win this game with 70.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UCLA and Nebraska, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

UCLA vs Nebraska Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UCLA will cover the spread with 54.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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UCLA Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

UCLA has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.75 Units / 44% ROI)
UCLA have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
UCLA has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.75 Units / 35% ROI)
UCLA has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.95 Units / 14% ROI)
UCLA have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.85 Units / 26% ROI)

Nebraska Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Nebraska has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
Nebraska has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games at home (+2.00 Units / 30% ROI)
Nebraska has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.50 Units / 6% ROI)
Nebraska has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.05 Units / 9% ROI)
Nebraska have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.75 Units / 10% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for UCLA players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best UCLA Player Prop Bets Today

Ethan Garbers has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 65% ROI)
Moliki Matavao has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Nebraska players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nebraska Player Prop Best Bets Today

Rahmir Johnson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Emmett Johnson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Thomas Fidone II has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Dylan Raiola has hit the TD Passes Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.95 Units / 38% ROI)
Jacory Barney Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

UCLA Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UCLA is 4-3 against the spread this college football season (+0.75 Units / 9.8% ROI).

UCLA is 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.4 Units / -20.43% ROI
UCLA is 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -45.16% ROI
UCLA is 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.85 Units / 37.25% ROI

Nebraska Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Nebraska is 6-2 against the spread this college football season (+3.8 Units / 42.94% ROI).

Nebraska is 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -3.11% ROI
Nebraska is 2-6 when betting the Over for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI
Nebraska is 6-2 when betting the Under for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI

UCLA: Keys to the Game vs. Nebraska

UCLA is 2-9 (.182) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .458

UCLA is 5-9 (.357) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .534

UCLA is 5-9 (.357) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-35th-worst in FBS; Average: .484

UCLA is 2-9 (.182) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-12th-worst in FBS; Average: .418

Nebraska: Keys to the Game vs. UCLA

Nebraska is winless (0-5) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .399

Nebraska is winless (0-5) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .306

Nebraska is winless (0-5) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .286

Nebraska is 3-7 (.300) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-22nd-worst in FBS; Average: .538

Matchup Notes for UCLA vs. Nebraska

Nebraska has gained 1,822 yards on 169 receptions (just 10.8 YPR) this season — T-17th-worst among FBS skill players. UCLA’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.

Nebraska’s WRs has gained 1,238 yards on 106 receptions (just 11.7 YPR) this season — T-3rd-worst among Big Ten WRs. UCLA’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.

Nebraska’s TEs has gained 310 yards on 26 receptions (11.9 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among Big Ten TEs. UCLA’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.

UCLA’s RBs has averaged 10.3 yards after the catch this season — T-28th-best among FBS RBs. Nebraska’s defense has allowed 10.2 RAC to RBs this season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.

UCLA’s WRs has 69 receptions in 7 games (just 9.9 per game) this season — T-5th-worst among Big Ten WRs. Nebraska’s defense has allowed just 10.5 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.

UCLA’s WRs has just 0.7 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-4th-worst among Big Ten WRs. Nebraska’s defense has allowed 1.8 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-3rd-worst among Big Ten defenses.

UCLA Offensive Stats & Trends

UCLA TEs averaged 18.7 yards per reception (431 yards/23 catches) in the 2023 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.9

UCLA RBs have averaged 59.4 rushing yards per game (416/7) this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 127.0

UCLA TEs have averaged 14.0 yards per reception (814 yards/58 catches) since the 2023 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.9

UCLA RBs have been targeted 8 times in short yardage situations this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

UCLA Skill Players have caught just 7 of 24 passes (29% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 59%

Nebraska Offensive Stats & Trends

Nebraska’s WRs has gained 1,238 yards on 106 receptions (just 11.7 YPR) this season — T-3rd-worst among Big Ten WRs. UCLA’s defense has allowed just 9.3 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

Nebraska has gained 1,822 yards on 169 receptions (just 10.8 YPR) this season — 5th-worst among Big Ten skill players. UCLA’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.

UCLA Bruins Defensive Stats & Trends

UCLA has tackled opponents for a loss on 26 of 103 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 15%.

UCLA has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 13 of 92 attempts (14%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 8%

UCLA allowed 4 rushing TDs on 54 carries (13.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 4.7

UCLA allowed 4 rushing TDs on 54 carries (13.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 5.2

UCLA allowed 5 rushing TDs on 396 carries (79.2 Carries Per TD) in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 25.6

Nebraska Cornhuskers Defensive Stats & Trends

Nebraska did not allow any rushing touchdowns on 31 rushes last week– T-best in the Big Ten; Average: 23.3

Nebraska tackled opponents for a loss on 10 of 31 rushing attempts (32% TFL%) last week– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 14%.

Nebraska allowed passes of 40+ yards on 2 of 16 attempts (12%) last week– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 2%

Nebraska has tackled opponents for a loss on 57 of 251 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) this season– 7th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Nebraska has no interceptions (31 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 47.3