UCLA vs Nebraska Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 10

min read

Nebraska head coach Matt Rhule reacts during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Minnesota, Thursday, Aug. 31, 2023, in Minneapolis. (AP Photo/Abbie Parr)

(AP Photo/Abbie Parr)

BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 01, 2024, 3:24 PM

Nebraska is a -6.5 point favorite vs. UCLA
UCLA vs. Nebraska Total (Over/Under): 40.5 points
TV Channel: BTN

The UCLA Bruins (2-5) visit Tom Osborne Field at Memorial Stadium to take on the Nebraska Cornhuskers (5-3) on Nov. 2 in Lincoln, NE. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Nebraska is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The UCLA vs. Nebraska Over/Under is 40.5 total points.

Bet now on Nebraska vs UCLA & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

UCLA vs. Nebraska Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
UCLA	+6.5 -110	40.5 -110	+200
Nebraska	-6.5 -110	40.5 -110	-250

UCLA vs Nebraska Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Nebraska will win this game with 70.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UCLA and Nebraska, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

UCLA vs Nebraska Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UCLA will cover the spread with 54.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

Bet now on Nebraska vs UCLA and all games with BetMGM

Get up to $1,500 First Bet Offer

UCLA Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

UCLA has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.75 Units / 44% ROI)
UCLA have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
UCLA has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.75 Units / 35% ROI)
UCLA has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.95 Units / 14% ROI)
UCLA have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.85 Units / 26% ROI)

Nebraska Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Nebraska has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
Nebraska has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games at home (+2.00 Units / 30% ROI)
Nebraska has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.50 Units / 6% ROI)
Nebraska has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.05 Units / 9% ROI)
Nebraska have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.75 Units / 10% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for UCLA players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best UCLA Player Prop Bets Today

Ethan Garbers has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 65% ROI)
Moliki Matavao has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Nebraska players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nebraska Player Prop Best Bets Today

Rahmir Johnson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Emmett Johnson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Thomas Fidone II has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Dylan Raiola has hit the TD Passes Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.95 Units / 38% ROI)
Jacory Barney Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

UCLA Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UCLA is 4-3 against the spread this college football season (+0.75 Units / 9.8% ROI).

UCLA is 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.4 Units / -20.43% ROI
UCLA is 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -45.16% ROI
UCLA is 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.85 Units / 37.25% ROI

Nebraska Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Nebraska is 6-2 against the spread this college football season (+3.8 Units / 42.94% ROI).

Nebraska is 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -3.11% ROI
Nebraska is 2-6 when betting the Over for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI
Nebraska is 6-2 when betting the Under for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI

UCLA: Keys to the Game vs. Nebraska

UCLA is 2-9 (.182) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .458

UCLA is 5-9 (.357) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .534

UCLA is 5-9 (.357) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-35th-worst in FBS; Average: .484

UCLA is 2-9 (.182) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-12th-worst in FBS; Average: .418

Nebraska: Keys to the Game vs. UCLA

Nebraska is winless (0-5) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .399

Nebraska is winless (0-5) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .306

Nebraska is winless (0-5) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .286

Nebraska is 3-7 (.300) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-22nd-worst in FBS; Average: .538

Matchup Notes for UCLA vs. Nebraska

Nebraska has gained 1,822 yards on 169 receptions (just 10.8 YPR) this season — T-17th-worst among FBS skill players. UCLA’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.

Nebraska’s WRs has gained 1,238 yards on 106 receptions (just 11.7 YPR) this season — T-3rd-worst among Big Ten WRs. UCLA’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.

Nebraska’s TEs has gained 310 yards on 26 receptions (11.9 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among Big Ten TEs. UCLA’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.

UCLA’s RBs has averaged 10.3 yards after the catch this season — T-28th-best among FBS RBs. Nebraska’s defense has allowed 10.2 RAC to RBs this season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.

UCLA’s WRs has 69 receptions in 7 games (just 9.9 per game) this season — T-5th-worst among Big Ten WRs. Nebraska’s defense has allowed just 10.5 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.

UCLA’s WRs has just 0.7 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-4th-worst among Big Ten WRs. Nebraska’s defense has allowed 1.8 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-3rd-worst among Big Ten defenses.

UCLA Offensive Stats & Trends

UCLA TEs averaged 18.7 yards per reception (431 yards/23 catches) in the 2023 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.9

UCLA RBs have averaged 59.4 rushing yards per game (416/7) this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 127.0

UCLA TEs have averaged 14.0 yards per reception (814 yards/58 catches) since the 2023 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.9

UCLA RBs have been targeted 8 times in short yardage situations this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

UCLA Skill Players have caught just 7 of 24 passes (29% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 59%

Nebraska Offensive Stats & Trends

Nebraska’s WRs has gained 1,238 yards on 106 receptions (just 11.7 YPR) this season — T-3rd-worst among Big Ten WRs. UCLA’s defense has allowed just 9.3 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

Nebraska has gained 1,822 yards on 169 receptions (just 10.8 YPR) this season — 5th-worst among Big Ten skill players. UCLA’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.

UCLA Bruins Defensive Stats & Trends

UCLA has tackled opponents for a loss on 26 of 103 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 15%.

UCLA has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 13 of 92 attempts (14%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 8%

UCLA allowed 4 rushing TDs on 54 carries (13.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 4.7

UCLA allowed 4 rushing TDs on 54 carries (13.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 5.2

UCLA allowed 5 rushing TDs on 396 carries (79.2 Carries Per TD) in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 25.6

Nebraska Cornhuskers Defensive Stats & Trends

Nebraska did not allow any rushing touchdowns on 31 rushes last week– T-best in the Big Ten; Average: 23.3

Nebraska tackled opponents for a loss on 10 of 31 rushing attempts (32% TFL%) last week– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 14%.

Nebraska allowed passes of 40+ yards on 2 of 16 attempts (12%) last week– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 2%

Nebraska has tackled opponents for a loss on 57 of 251 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) this season– 7th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Nebraska has no interceptions (31 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 47.3

Bet now on Nebraska vs UCLA and all games with BetMGM

Get up to $1,500 First Bet Offer

More College Football Betting at BetMGM

BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.

Whether you’re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Georgia football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State playoff odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.

Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!

About the Author