- The Utah is a -3.5 point favorite vs. Houston
- The Utah vs. Houston Total (Over/Under): 36.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
The Utah Utes (4-3) visit TDECU Stadium to take on the Houston Cougars (2-5) on Oct. 26 in Houston, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.
Utah is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The Utah vs. Houston Over/Under is 36.5 total points.
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Utah vs. Houston Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Utah | -3.5 -105 | 36.5 -105 | -175 |
| Houston | +3.5 -115 | 36.5 -115 | +145 |
Utah vs Houston Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Utah will win this game with 59.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Utah and Houston, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Utah vs Houston Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Houston will cover the spread with 57.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Utah Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Utah has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Utah has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- Utah has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 12 games (+0.75 Units / 6% ROI)
Houston Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Houston has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)
- Houston has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- Houston have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- Houston has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.60 Units / 10% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Utah players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Utah Player Prop Bets Today
- Micah Bernard has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Micah Bernard has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Isaac Wilson has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- Cameron Rising has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Cameron Rising has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Houston players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Houston Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Joseph Manjack IV has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 95% ROI)
- Donovan Smith has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Stacy Sneed has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- Stephon Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Donovan Smith has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 54% ROI)
Utah Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Utah is 2-5 against the spread this college football season (-3.5 Units / -45.16% ROI).
- Utah is 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.9 Units / -12.19% ROI
- Utah is 1-6 when betting the Over for -5.65 Units / -72.9% ROI
- Utah is 6-1 when betting the Under for +4.9 Units / 64.05% ROI
Houston Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Houston is 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.35 Units / -17.76% ROI).
- Houston is 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.85 Units / 9.83% ROI
- Houston is 1-6 when betting the Over for -5.6 Units / -72.73% ROI
- Houston is 6-1 when betting the Under for +4.9 Units / 63.64% ROI
Utah: Keys to the Game vs. Houston
Utah is 1-4 (.200) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-39th-worst in FBS; Average: .335
Utah is 7-4 (.636) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .505
Utah is 10-3 (.769) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .644
Utah is 10-1 (.909) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– 24th-best in FBS; Average: .756
Houston: Keys to the Game vs. Utah
Houston is 3-10 (.231) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .594
Houston is 2-7 (.222) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .604
Houston is 1-7 (.125) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .478
Houston is 2-7 (.222) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .487
Matchup Notes for Utah vs. Houston
Houston’s WRs has 277 receptions in 19 games (14.6 per game) since the 2023 season — T-34th-best among FBS WRs. Utah’s defense has allowed just 17.6 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Houston have just 166.6 receiving yards per game this season — 4th-worst among Power 5 skill players. Utah’s defense has allowed just 185.0 receiving yards per game this season — 5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Houston’s WRs have just 116.0 receiving yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 WRs. Utah’s defense has allowed just 185.0 receiving yards per game this season — 26th-best among FBS defenses.
Utah’s WRs has averaged just 12.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among Big 12 WRs. Houston’s defense has allowed just 11.4 RAC since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Utah’s WRs has averaged just 12.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-28th-worst among FBS WRs. Houston’s defense has allowed just 11.4 RAC since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Utah has 297 receptions in 20 games (just 14.8 per game) since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 skill players. Houston’s defense has allowed 19.8 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Utah Offensive Stats & Trends
Utah’s WRs has averaged just 12.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among Big 12 WRs. Houston’s defense has allowed just 11.4 RAC since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Utah’s WRs has averaged just 12.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-28th-worst among FBS WRs. Houston’s defense has allowed just 11.4 RAC since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Utah has 297 receptions in 20 games (just 14.8 per game) since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 skill players. Houston’s defense has allowed 19.8 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Utah has gained 1,584 yards on 119 receptions (13.3 YPR) this season — 4th-best among Big 12 skill players. Houston’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.
Utah TEs have caught 6 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– T-most among FBS Teams
Houston Offensive Stats & Trends
Houston WRs have averaged just 10.4 yards per reception (812 yards/78 catches) this season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 13.5
Houston TEs have no touchdowns on 18 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.1
Houston TEs have just one touchdown on 37 receptions since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.5
Houston Skill Players have averaged just 9.9 yards per reception (1,166 yards/118 catches) this season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.4
Houston’s WRs has 277 receptions in 19 games (14.6 per game) since the 2023 season — T-34th-best among FBS WRs. Utah’s defense has allowed just 17.6 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Utah Utes Defensive Stats & Trends
Utah has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 12 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 11%.
Utah has tackled opponents for a loss on 50 of 219 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 16%.
Utah has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 12 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.
Utah has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 12 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 10%.
Utah has tackled opponents for a loss on 7 of 27 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 10%.
Houston Cougars Defensive Stats & Trends
Houston has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 15 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 11%.
Houston has allowed first downs on 57% of pass attempts in the Red Zone this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 23%
Houston has allowed first downs on 57% of pass attempts in the Red Zone this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 21%
Houston has allowed first downs on 57% of pass attempts in the Red Zone this season– worst in FBS; Average: 22%
Houston has allowed a Completion Pct of 71% (10 completions/14 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 52%
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