Utah vs Oklahoma St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 4

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Oklahoma State head coach Mike Gundy talks to his players during the second half of an NCAA college football game against Kansas State Saturday, Oct. 29, 2022, in Manhattan, Kan. (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
(AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 20, 2024, 1:41 PM
  • Utah is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Oklahoma St
  • Utah vs. Oklahoma State Total(Over/Under): 53.5 points
  • TV Channel: FOX

The Utah Utes (3-0) visit Boone Pickens Stadium to take on the Oklahoma State Cowboys (3-0) on Sep. 21 in Stillwater, OK. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EDT.

Utah is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Utah vs. Oklahoma State Over/Under is 53.5 total points.

Bet now on Oklahoma St vs Utah & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Utah vs. Oklahoma State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Utah-2.5 -11053.5 -105-130
Oklahoma State +2.5 -11053.5 -115+110

Utah vs Oklahoma State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Utah will win this game with 58.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Utah and Oklahoma St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Utah vs Oklahoma State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Utah will cover the spread with 59.9% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Utah has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Utah has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.85 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Utah has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Utah has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.55 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Utah has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 6 away games (+0.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Oklahoma State has hit the Moneyline in their last 8 games at home (+11.70 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Oklahoma State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+5.80 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Oklahoma State have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Oklahoma State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Oklahoma State have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.65 Units / 19% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Utah players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Utah Player Prop Bets Today

  • Money Parks has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 35% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Oklahoma State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Oklahoma State Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Brennan Presley has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Ollie Gordon II has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Rashod Owens has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Ollie Gordon II has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • De’Zhaun Stribling has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)

Utah Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Utah is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • Utah is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 9.71% ROI
  • Utah is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Utah is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI

Oklahoma State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oklahoma St is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 26.87% ROI).

  • Oklahoma State is 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 17.09% ROI
  • Oklahoma State is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Oklahoma State is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI

Utah: Keys to the Game vs. Oklahoma State

Utah is 7-2 (.636) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– T-37th-best in FBS; Average: .524

Utah is 7-2 (.636) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .526

Utah is 7-2 (.583) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .408

Utah is 9-1 (.818) when averaging more than 5 yards per rush since the 2022 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .448

Oklahoma State: Keys to the Game vs. Utah

Oklahoma State is 11-1 (.846) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– 8th-best in FBS; Average: .526

Oklahoma State is 7-3 (.700) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– 11th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .386

Oklahoma State is 8-3 (.571) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game since the 2023 season– 14th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .393

Oklahoma State is undefeated (9-0) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 12th-best in FBS; Average: .517

Matchup Notes for Utah vs. Oklahoma State

Oklahoma State’s QBs has thrown for 1,024 passing yards in 3 games (341.3 YPG) this season — 7th-best among FBS teams. Utah’s defense has allowed just 143.7 passing yards per game this season — 26th-best among FBS defenses.

Oklahoma State’s TEs has 8 receptions in 2 games (4.0 per game) this season — T-4th-best among Big 12 TEs. Utah’s defense has allowed just 11.7 receptions per game this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.

Oklahoma State’s TEs has 30 receptions in 14 games (just 2.1 per game) since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 TEs. Utah’s defense has allowed just 17.6 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.

Utah has gained 689 yards on 49 receptions (14.1 YPR) this season — 30th-best among FBS skill players. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 14.1 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Utah’s offense has thrown for 2,845 passing yards in 16 games (just 177.8 YPG) since the 2023 season — 17th-worst among FBS offenses. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 280.4 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Utah’s TEs has gained 204 yards on 15 receptions (13.6 YPR) this season — T-2nd-best among Big 12 TEs. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 14.1 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Utah Offensive Stats & Trends

Utah has gained 689 yards on 49 receptions (14.1 YPR) this season — 30th-best among FBS skill players. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 14.1 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Utah’s offense has thrown for 2,845 passing yards in 16 games (just 177.8 YPG) since the 2023 season — 17th-worst among FBS offenses. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 280.4 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Utah’s TEs has gained 204 yards on 15 receptions (13.6 YPR) this season — T-2nd-best among Big 12 TEs. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 14.1 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Utah’s TEs has 15 receptions in 3 games (5.0 per game) this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 TEs. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 21.7 receptions per game this season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.

Utah’s TEs has 15 receptions in 3 games (5.0 per game) this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 TEs. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 21.7 receptions per game this season — T-3rd-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Oklahoma State Offensive Stats & Trends

Oklahoma State TEs have averaged just 2.3 yards per reception (7 yards/3 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2022 season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 11.3

Oklahoma State TEs have averaged just 2.3 yards per reception (7 yards/3 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2022 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.2

Oklahoma State’s QBs has thrown for 1,024 passing yards in 3 games (341.3 YPG) this season — 7th-best among FBS teams. Utah’s defense has allowed just 143.7 passing yards per game this season — 26th-best among FBS defenses.

Oklahoma State’s TEs has 8 receptions in 2 games (4.0 per game) this season — T-4th-best among Big 12 TEs. Utah’s defense has allowed just 11.7 receptions per game this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.

Oklahoma State’s TEs has 30 receptions in 14 games (just 2.1 per game) since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 TEs. Utah’s defense has allowed just 17.6 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.

Utah Utes Defensive Stats & Trends

Utah has tackled opponents for a loss on 11 of 38 rushing attempts (29% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2022 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.

Utah has allowed 87.7 rushing yards per game (1,403/16) since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 149.6

Utah has allowed just 3.1 Yards per Carry (1,403 yards/449 carries) since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 4.3

Utah has allowed 296.9 yards from scrimmage per game since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 380.7

Utah has sacked opposing QBs on 10% of pass attempts (42/439) since the 2022 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 6%

Oklahoma State Cowboys Defensive Stats & Trends

Oklahoma State defense has allowed 81 completions for 20 or more yards since the 2023 season– most in the Big 12

Oklahoma State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 81 of 560 attempts (14%) since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 11%

Oklahoma State has allowed 81 receptions for 20+ yards since the 2023 season– most in the Big 12

Oklahoma State has sacked opposing QBs just once on 83 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.5

Oklahoma State defense has allowed 81 completions for 20 or more yards since the 2023 season– most in FBS


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.