- Utah is a -20.5 point favorite vs. Utah State
- Utah vs. Utah State Total(Over/Under): 46.5 points
- TV Channel: CBSSN
The Utah Utes (2-0) visit Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium to take on the Utah State Aggies (1-1) on Sep. 14 in Logan, UT. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:30pm EDT.
Utah is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -20.5 (-110).
The Utah vs. Utah State Over/Under is 46.5 total points.
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Utah vs. Utah State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Utah | -20.5 -110 | 46.5 -110 | -2000 |
| Utah State | +20.5 -110 | 46.5 -110 | +1000 |
Utah vs Utah State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Utah will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Utah and Utah State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Utah vs Utah State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Utah State will cover the spread with 70.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Utah Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Utah has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- Utah has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.40 Units / 8% ROI)
- Utah has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 40% ROI)
- Utah has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- Utah has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.55 Units / 1% ROI)
Utah State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Utah State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.95 Units / 63% ROI)
- Utah State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- Utah State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- Utah State has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+0.95 Units / 6% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Utah players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Utah Player Prop Bets Today
- Money Parks has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 35% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Utah State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Utah State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Robert Briggs Jr. has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Rahsul Faison has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Jalen Royals has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Utah Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Utah is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Utah is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 14.08% ROI
- Utah is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- Utah is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
Utah State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Utah State is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.15 Units / -100% ROI).
- Utah State is 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Utah State is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.25 Units / -100% ROI
- Utah State is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 93.02% ROI
Utah: Keys to the Game vs. Utah State
Utah is 7-4 (.538) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 14th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .377
Utah is 6-1 (.667) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-7th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .433
Utah is 6-2 (.600) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-8th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .417
Utah is 7-3 (.583) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– 12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .423
Utah State: Keys to the Game vs. Utah
Utah State is 5-2 (.714) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .495
Utah State is 1-6 (.143) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-12th-worst in FBS; Average: .508
Utah State is 1-4 (.200) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-9th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .502
Utah State is undefeated (4-0) when not throwing an interception since the 2022 season– T-12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .496
Matchup Notes for Utah vs. Utah State
Utah State’s RBs has 10 receptions in 2 games (5.0 per game) this season — T-20th-best among FBS RBs. Utah’s defense has allowed just 8.5 receptions per game this season — best among Big 12 defenses.
Utah State’s RBs has 0 rushing touchdowns per game this season — T-worst among FBS RBs. Utah’s defense has allowed just 0.0 rushing touchdowns per game this season — T-best among Big 12 defenses.
Utah State’s RBs has rushed for 302 yards on 42 carries (7.2 YPC) this season — T-17th-best among FBS RBs. Utah’s defense have allowed just 2.7 YPC this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.
Utah’s TEs has gained 112 yards on 9 receptions (12.4 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Utah State’s defense has allowed just 9.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
Utah has gained 450 yards on 29 receptions (15.5 YPR) this season — T-3rd-best among Big 12 skill players. Utah State’s defense has allowed just 9.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
Utah has gained 450 yards on 29 receptions (15.5 YPR) this season — T-20th-best among FBS skill players. Utah State’s defense has allowed just 9.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
Utah Offensive Stats & Trends
Utah TEs have caught 4 touchdown passes this season– most among Big 12 Teams
Utah Skill Players have caught 8 touchdown passes this season– most among Big 12 Teams
Utah’s TEs has gained 112 yards on 9 receptions (12.4 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Utah State’s defense has allowed just 9.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
Utah Skill Players have averaged 17.0 yards per reception (426 yards/25 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since the 2023 season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 11.4
Utah TEs have 8 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since the 2022 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Utah State Offensive Stats & Trends
Utah State’s RBs has 10 receptions in 2 games (5.0 per game) this season — T-20th-best among FBS RBs. Utah’s defense has allowed just 8.5 receptions per game this season — best among Big 12 defenses.
Utah State WRs have caught 37 touchdown passes since the 2023 season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams
Utah State RBs have averaged 6.2 Yards per Carry (2,308 yards/374 carries) since the 2023 season– T-5th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Utah State RBs have averaged 153.9 rushing yards per game (2,308/15) since the 2023 season– 23rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 126.4
Utah State’s RBs has 0 rushing touchdowns per game this season — T-worst among FBS RBs. Utah’s defense has allowed just 0.0 rushing touchdowns per game this season — T-best among Big 12 defenses.
Utah Utes Defensive Stats & Trends
Utah has sacked opposing QBs on 10% of pass attempts (45/460) since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 6%
Utah has sacked opposing QBs on 10% of pass attempts (42/439) since the 2022 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 6%
Utah has tackled opponents for a loss on 11 of 38 rushing attempts (29% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2022 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.
Utah has tackled opponents for a loss on 11 of 38 rushing attempts (29% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2022 season– best in FBS; Average: 11%.
Utah has allowed 291.1 yards from scrimmage per game since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 383.2
Utah State Aggies Defensive Stats & Trends
Utah State has allowed 205.5 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 139.8
Utah State has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (2/80) this season– 20th-worst in FBS; Average: 7%
Utah State has tackled opponents for a loss on just 7 of 71 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) this season– 15th-worst in FBS; Average: 17%.
Utah State has allowed 33 TD passes in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Utah State has allowed a Completion Pct of 72% (58 completions/80 attempts) this season– 10th-worst in FBS; Average: 59%
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