- The Western Kentucky is a -19.5 point favorite vs. UTEP
- The UTEP vs. Western Kentucky Total (Over/Under): 57.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPNU
The UTEP Miners (0-5) visit Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium to take on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (3-2) on Oct. 10 in Bowling Green, KY. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT.
Western Kentucky is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -19.5 (-110).
The UTEP vs. Western Kentucky Over/Under is 57.5 total points.
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UTEP vs. Western Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| UTEP | +19.5 -110 | 57.5 -110 | +700 |
| Western Kentucky | -19.5 -110 | 57.5 -110 | -1100 |
UTEP vs Western Kentucky Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Western Kentucky will win this game with 91.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UTEP and Western Kentucky, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
UTEP vs Western Kentucky Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Western Kentucky will cover the spread with 54.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Western Kentucky vs UTEP and all games with BetMGM
UTEP Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- UTEP have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- UTEP has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 52% ROI)
- UTEP has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- UTEP has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- UTEP have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.65 Units / 19% ROI)
Western Kentucky Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Western Kentucky has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+5.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- Western Kentucky have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- Western Kentucky has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- Western Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for UTEP players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best UTEP Player Prop Bets Today
- Cade McConnell has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Western Kentucky players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Western Kentucky Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Dalvin Smith has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Elijah Young has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
UTEP Against the Spread (ATS) Record
UTEP is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -27.27% ROI).
- UTEP is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -66.67% ROI
- UTEP is 0-3 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -75% ROI
- UTEP is 3-0 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 68.18% ROI
Western Kentucky Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Western Kentucky is 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 34.55% ROI).
- Western Kentucky is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -17.24% ROI
- Western Kentucky is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -3.64% ROI
- Western Kentucky is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -3.64% ROI
UTEP: Keys to the Game vs. Western Kentucky
UTEP is 3-10 (.231) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: .630
UTEP is 1-14 (.067) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .366
UTEP is 1-14 (.067) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .369
UTEP is winless (0-14) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .347
Western Kentucky: Keys to the Game vs. UTEP
Western Kentucky is 10-3 (.769) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-10th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .596
Western Kentucky is 10-3 (.769) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .649
Western Kentucky is 8-5 (.615) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– 7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .383
Western Kentucky is 6-2 (.750) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .627
Matchup Notes for UTEP vs. Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky’s WRs has 347 receptions in 18 games (19.3 per game) since the 2023 season — T-6th-best among FBS WRs. UTEP’s defense has allowed just 15.3 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among NonP5 defenses.
Western Kentucky’s WRs has 347 receptions in 18 games (19.3 per game) since the 2023 season — T-6th-best among FBS WRs. UTEP’s defense has allowed just 11.4 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.
Western Kentucky’s WRs has averaged just 11.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-22nd-worst among FBS WRs. UTEP’s defense has allowed just 12.0 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.
UTEP has averaged 12.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-28th-best among FBS skill players. Western Kentucky’s defense has allowed 12.4 RAC since the 2023 season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.
UTEP’s WRs has averaged 14.4 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-20th-best among FBS WRs. Western Kentucky’s defense has allowed 12.4 RAC since the 2023 season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.
UTEP’s RBs has averaged 10.2 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-14th-best among FBS RBs. Western Kentucky’s defense has allowed 12.4 RAC since the 2023 season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.
UTEP Offensive Stats & Trends
UTEP Skill Players have averaged 24.3 yards per reception (73 yards/3 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 10.4
UTEP RBs have been targeted 11.6 times per game (58/5) this season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.3
UTEP WRs have averaged a touchdown every 4.0 receptions (8 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-4th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 1.9
UTEP has averaged 12.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-28th-best among FBS skill players. Western Kentucky’s defense has allowed 12.4 RAC since the 2023 season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.
UTEP Skill Players have 26 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Western Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends
Western Kentucky’s WRs has 347 receptions in 18 games (19.3 per game) since the 2023 season — T-6th-best among FBS WRs. UTEP’s defense has allowed just 15.3 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among NonP5 defenses.
Western Kentucky’s WRs has 347 receptions in 18 games (19.3 per game) since the 2023 season — T-6th-best among FBS WRs. UTEP’s defense has allowed just 11.4 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.
Western Kentucky’s WRs has averaged just 11.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-22nd-worst among FBS WRs. UTEP’s defense has allowed just 12.0 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.
Western Kentucky has 465 receptions in 18 games (25.8 per game) since the 2023 season — 4th-best among FBS skill players. UTEP’s defense has allowed just 15.3 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among NonP5 defenses.
Western Kentucky Skill Players have been targeted 141 times with 4-6 yards to go since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
UTEP Miners Defensive Stats & Trends
UTEP has intercepted one of 125 attempts this season– 11th-worst in FBS; Average: 36.4
UTEP has tackled opponents for a loss on 9 of 36 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.
UTEP has allowed 222.2 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs this season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 139.6
UTEP has allowed 222.2 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs this season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 154.3
UTEP has one interception and 7 TD passes allowed this season– T-11th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.7
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Defensive Stats & Trends
Western Kentucky has tackled opponents for a loss on just 86 of 697 rushing attempts (12% TFL%) since the 2023 season– 15th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.
Western Kentucky has tackled opponents for a loss on just 4 of 61 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 28th-worst in FBS; Average: 11%.
Western Kentucky has intercepted 2 of 15 attempts (7.5 pass attempts per int.) in the Red Zone this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 41.0
Western Kentucky’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 1% of PATs since the 2023 season– T-7th-lowest in FBS; Average: 7%
Western Kentucky has allowed a Completion Pct of just 47% (35 completions/74 attempts) in close and late situations since the 2023 season– 9th-best in FBS; Average: 58%
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