- The Boston College is a -12.5 point favorite vs. Western Kentucky
- The Western Kentucky vs. Boston College Total(Over/Under): 54.5 points
- TV Channel: ACCN
The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (3-1) visit Alumni Stadium to take on the Boston College Eagles (3-1) on Sep. 28 in Chestnut Hill, MA. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Boston College is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-115).
The Western Kentucky vs. Boston College Over/Under is 54.5 total points.
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Western Kentucky vs. Boston College Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Western Kentucky | +12.5 -105 | 54.5 -105 | +375 |
| Boston College | -12.5 -115 | 54.5 -115 | -500 |
Western Kentucky vs Boston College Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Boston College will win this game with 81.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Western Kentucky and Boston College, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Western Kentucky vs Boston College Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Boston College will cover the spread with 67.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Western Kentucky Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Western Kentucky has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+5.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- Western Kentucky have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Western Kentucky has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.85 Units / 36% ROI)
- Western Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Western Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+1.50 Units / 8% ROI)
Boston College Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Boston College has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+12.15 Units / 70% ROI)
- Boston College has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 games (+2.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- Boston College has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.95 Units / 30% ROI)
- Boston College has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- Boston College has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Western Kentucky players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Western Kentucky Player Prop Bets Today
- Elijah Young has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Dalvin Smith has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Boston College players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Boston College Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Thomas Castellanos has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 4 games (+4.55 Units / 71% ROI)
- Thomas Castellanos has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Lewis Bond has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Kye Robichaux has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Dino Tomlin has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Western Kentucky Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Western Kentucky is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 20.45% ROI).
Boston College Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Boston College is 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 68.18% ROI).
Western Kentucky: Keys to the Game vs. Boston College
Western Kentucky is 10-4 (.714) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .597
Western Kentucky is 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .633
Western Kentucky is 5-1 (.833) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: .685
Western Kentucky is 8-4 (.667) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .445
Boston College: Keys to the Game vs. Western Kentucky
Boston College is 9-3 (.750) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .632
Boston College is 8-4 (.667) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .535
Boston College is 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .633
Boston College is undefeated (5-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .745
Matchup Notes for Western Kentucky vs. Boston College
Boston College’s offense has thrown for 752 passing yards in 4 games (just 188.0 YPG) this season — 35th-worst among FBS offenses. Western Kentucky’s defense has allowed 249.5 passing yards per game this season — 28th-worst among FBS defenses.
Boston College has gained 752 yards on 47 receptions (16.0 YPR) this season — 8th-best among FBS skill players. Western Kentucky’s defense has allowed 15.1 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-worst among FBS defenses.
Boston College’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 17.8% of 73 attempts this season — 7th-best among FBS offenses. Western Kentucky’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.7% of attempts this season — 15th-best among FBS defenses.
Western Kentucky’s RBs has 18 receptions in 4 games (4.5 per game) this season — T-24th-best among FBS RBs. Boston College’s defense has allowed just 17.2 receptions per game this season — 5th-best among ACC defenses.
Western Kentucky has 99 receptions in 4 games (24.8 per game) this season — T-14th-best among FBS skill players. Boston College’s defense has allowed just 17.2 receptions per game this season — 5th-best among ACC defenses.
Western Kentucky’s RBs has rushed for 295 yards on 72 carries (just 4.1 YPC) this season — T-21st-worst among FBS RBs. Boston College’s defense have allowed just 3.0 YPC this season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.
Western Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends
Western Kentucky RBs have picked up first downs on 16 receptions on 3rd down since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
Western Kentucky Skill Players have been targeted 136 times with 4-6 yards to go since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
Western Kentucky RBs have 335 receiving yards on 3rd down since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
Western Kentucky Skill Players have caught 10 touchdown passes in close and late situations since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Western Kentucky RBs have averaged 11.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (223 yards / 19 touches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– 5th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 7.0
Boston College Offensive Stats & Trends
Boston College Skill Players have averaged 21.9 yards per reception (153 yards/7 catches) on 1st down this season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.7
Boston College have completed passes for 20+ yards on 12 of their 57 total passing attempts (21%) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 11%
Boston College’s offense has thrown for 752 passing yards in 4 games (just 188.0 YPG) this season — 35th-worst among FBS offenses. Western Kentucky’s defense has allowed 249.5 passing yards per game this season — 28th-worst among FBS defenses.
Boston College QBs have rushed for 8 TDs in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
Boston College has gained 752 yards on 47 receptions (16.0 YPR) this season — 8th-best among FBS skill players. Western Kentucky’s defense has allowed 15.1 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-worst among FBS defenses.
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Defensive Stats & Trends
Western Kentucky has allowed 15.1 yards per completion (998 yards/66 completions) this season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 11.4
Western Kentucky has tackled opponents for a loss on just 4 of 57 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: 11%.
Western Kentucky has allowed 15.1 yards per completion (998 yards/66 completions) this season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.9
Western Kentucky has allowed 3.5 touchdowns per interception (14 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.5
Western Kentucky has allowed 1.5 touchdowns per interception (3 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) in the Red Zone this season– 5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.1
Boston College Eagles Defensive Stats & Trends
Boston College has not recorded a sack (33 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.1
Boston College has averaged 0.9 sacks per game since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.2
Boston College has not recorded a sack (33 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 14.9
Boston College has allowed a Completion Pct of just 21% (3 completions/14 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– best in FBS; Average: 61%
Boston College has sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (15/420) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%
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