Wyoming vs New Mexico Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 10

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New Mexico wide receiver Caleb Medford (4) signals during the first half of an NCAA football game against UMass on Saturday, Sept. 23, 2023, in Amherst, Mass. (AP Photo/Greg M. Cooper)
(AP Photo/Greg M. Cooper)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 01, 2024, 3:24 PM
  • New Mexico is a -7.5 point favorite vs. Wyoming
  • Wyoming vs. New Mexico Total (Over/Under): 59.5 points
  • TV Channel: truTV

The Wyoming Cowboys (1-7) visit University Stadium to take on the New Mexico Lobos (3-5) on Nov. 2 in Albuquerque, NM. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EDT.

New Mexico is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Wyoming vs. New Mexico Over/Under is 59.5 total points.

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Wyoming vs. New Mexico Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Wyoming+7.5 -11059.5 -115+240
New Mexico -7.5 -11059.5 -105-300

Wyoming vs New Mexico Prediction:

The winning team model predicts New Mexico will win this game with 69.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Wyoming and New Mexico, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Wyoming vs New Mexico Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts New Mexico will cover the spread with 60.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Wyoming has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Wyoming has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.90 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Wyoming has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.65 Units / 11% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 12 games (+6.10 Units / 38% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • New Mexico have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 13% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Wyoming players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Wyoming Player Prop Bets Today

  • Evan Svoboda has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 100% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for New Mexico players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best New Mexico Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Devon Dampier has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Devon Dampier has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)

Wyoming Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Wyoming is 3-5 against the spread this college football season (-2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI).

  • Wyoming is 1-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.7 Units / -75.49% ROI
  • Wyoming is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
  • Wyoming is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI

New Mexico Against the Spread (ATS) Record

New Mexico is 5-3 against the spread this college football season (+1.7 Units / 19.43% ROI).

  • New Mexico is 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -16.39% ROI
  • New Mexico is 6-2 when betting the Over for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI
  • New Mexico is 2-6 when betting the Under for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI

Wyoming: Keys to the Game vs. New Mexico

Wyoming is 3-8 (.273) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-35th-worst in FBS; Average: .389

Wyoming is 1-7 (.125) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-25th-worst in FBS; Average: .334

Wyoming is 1-8 (.111) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– 9th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .318

Wyoming is 9-10 (.474) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .624

New Mexico: Keys to the Game vs. Wyoming

New Mexico is 1-7 (.125) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: .435

New Mexico is 3-10 (.231) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .419

New Mexico is 2-13 (.133) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 6th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .393

New Mexico is 2-13 (.133) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: .457

Matchup Notes for Wyoming vs. New Mexico

New Mexico’s RBs has rushed for 1,099 yards on 197 carries (5.6 YPC) this season — T-34th-best among FBS RBs. Wyoming’s defense have allowed 4.8 YPC this season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.

New Mexico’s QBs has rushed for 525 yards on 83 carries (6.3 YPC) this season — 3rd-best among FBS teams. Wyoming’s defense have allowed 4.8 YPC this season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Devon Dampier (NM) has just 0.8 TDs per interception (9/11) this season — T-worst of Qualified Quarterbacks. Wyoming’s defense has allowed 3.0 TDs per Interception this season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Wyoming’s QBs has thrown for 1,392 passing yards in 8 games (just 174.0 YPG) this season — 19th-worst among FBS teams. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 244.2 passing yards per game this season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.

Wyoming’s offense has thrown for 1,392 passing yards in 8 games (just 174.0 YPG) this season — 17th-worst among FBS offenses. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 244.2 passing yards per game this season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.

Wyoming have just 174.0 receiving yards per game this season — 18th-worst among FBS skill players. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 244.2 receiving yards per game this season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.

Wyoming Offensive Stats & Trends

Wyoming’s QBs has thrown for 1,392 passing yards in 8 games (just 174.0 YPG) this season — 19th-worst among FBS teams. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 244.2 passing yards per game this season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.

Wyoming’s offense has thrown for 1,392 passing yards in 8 games (just 174.0 YPG) this season — 17th-worst among FBS offenses. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 244.2 passing yards per game this season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.

Wyoming have just 174.0 receiving yards per game this season — 18th-worst among FBS skill players. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 244.2 receiving yards per game this season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.

Wyoming Skill Players have averaged just 14.0 receptions per game (112/8) this season– T-12th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 18.9

Wyoming RBs have averaged just 3.9 Yards per Carry (688 yards/178 carries) this season– T-8th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

New Mexico Offensive Stats & Trends

New Mexico QBs have 9 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

New Mexico QBs have 21 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

New Mexico QBs had 5 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down last week– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

New Mexico Skill Players were targeted 17 times in close and late situations last week– T-4th-most among FBS Teams

New Mexico WRs had 113 receiving yards in close and late situations last week– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Wyoming Cowboys Defensive Stats & Trends

Wyoming has averaged a sack every 30.5 pass attempts (244 Pass Attempts/8 Sacks) this season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 14.7

Wyoming defense has allowed 22 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down this season– most in FBS

Wyoming has tackled opponents for a loss on 2 of 13 rushing attempts (15% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: 10%.

Wyoming has allowed first downs on 12% of pass attempts on 3rd and long this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 29%

Wyoming has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (8/244) this season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 6%

New Mexico Lobos Defensive Stats & Trends

New Mexico has allowed 8.5 touchdowns per interception (17 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 1.7

New Mexico has allowed 8.5 touchdowns per interception (17 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0

New Mexico has intercepted 6 of 542 attempts (90.3 pass attempts per int.) since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 36.3

New Mexico has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 26 of 542 attempts (5%) since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%

New Mexico allowed 6.0 touchdowns per interception (24 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.