Wyoming vs New Mexico Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 10

New Mexico wide receiver Caleb Medford (4) signals during the first half of an NCAA football game against UMass on Saturday, Sept. 23, 2023, in Amherst, Mass. (AP Photo/Greg M. Cooper)
(AP Photo/Greg M. Cooper)
  • New Mexico is a -7.5 point favorite vs. Wyoming
  • Wyoming vs. New Mexico Total (Over/Under): 59.5 points
  • TV Channel: truTV

The Wyoming Cowboys (1-7) visit University Stadium to take on the New Mexico Lobos (3-5) on Nov. 2 in Albuquerque, NM. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EDT.

New Mexico is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Wyoming vs. New Mexico Over/Under is 59.5 total points.

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Wyoming vs. New Mexico Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Wyoming+7.5 -11059.5 -115+240
New Mexico -7.5 -11059.5 -105-300

Wyoming vs New Mexico Prediction:

The winning team model predicts New Mexico will win this game with 69.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Wyoming and New Mexico, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Wyoming vs New Mexico Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts New Mexico will cover the spread with 60.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Wyoming has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Wyoming has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.90 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Wyoming has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.65 Units / 11% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 12 games (+6.10 Units / 38% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • New Mexico have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 13% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Wyoming players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Wyoming Player Prop Bets Today

  • Evan Svoboda has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 100% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for New Mexico players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best New Mexico Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Devon Dampier has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Devon Dampier has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)

Wyoming Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Wyoming is 3-5 against the spread this college football season (-2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI).

  • Wyoming is 1-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.7 Units / -75.49% ROI
  • Wyoming is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
  • Wyoming is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI

New Mexico Against the Spread (ATS) Record

New Mexico is 5-3 against the spread this college football season (+1.7 Units / 19.43% ROI).

  • New Mexico is 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -16.39% ROI
  • New Mexico is 6-2 when betting the Over for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI
  • New Mexico is 2-6 when betting the Under for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI

Wyoming: Keys to the Game vs. New Mexico

Wyoming is 3-8 (.273) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-35th-worst in FBS; Average: .389

Wyoming is 1-7 (.125) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-25th-worst in FBS; Average: .334

Wyoming is 1-8 (.111) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– 9th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .318

Wyoming is 9-10 (.474) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .624

New Mexico: Keys to the Game vs. Wyoming

New Mexico is 1-7 (.125) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: .435

New Mexico is 3-10 (.231) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .419

New Mexico is 2-13 (.133) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 6th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .393

New Mexico is 2-13 (.133) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: .457

Matchup Notes for Wyoming vs. New Mexico

New Mexico’s RBs has rushed for 1,099 yards on 197 carries (5.6 YPC) this season — T-34th-best among FBS RBs. Wyoming’s defense have allowed 4.8 YPC this season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.

New Mexico’s QBs has rushed for 525 yards on 83 carries (6.3 YPC) this season — 3rd-best among FBS teams. Wyoming’s defense have allowed 4.8 YPC this season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Devon Dampier (NM) has just 0.8 TDs per interception (9/11) this season — T-worst of Qualified Quarterbacks. Wyoming’s defense has allowed 3.0 TDs per Interception this season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Wyoming’s QBs has thrown for 1,392 passing yards in 8 games (just 174.0 YPG) this season — 19th-worst among FBS teams. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 244.2 passing yards per game this season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.

Wyoming’s offense has thrown for 1,392 passing yards in 8 games (just 174.0 YPG) this season — 17th-worst among FBS offenses. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 244.2 passing yards per game this season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.

Wyoming have just 174.0 receiving yards per game this season — 18th-worst among FBS skill players. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 244.2 receiving yards per game this season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.

Wyoming Offensive Stats & Trends

Wyoming’s QBs has thrown for 1,392 passing yards in 8 games (just 174.0 YPG) this season — 19th-worst among FBS teams. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 244.2 passing yards per game this season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.

Wyoming’s offense has thrown for 1,392 passing yards in 8 games (just 174.0 YPG) this season — 17th-worst among FBS offenses. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 244.2 passing yards per game this season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.

Wyoming have just 174.0 receiving yards per game this season — 18th-worst among FBS skill players. New Mexico’s defense has allowed 244.2 receiving yards per game this season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.

Wyoming Skill Players have averaged just 14.0 receptions per game (112/8) this season– T-12th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 18.9

Wyoming RBs have averaged just 3.9 Yards per Carry (688 yards/178 carries) this season– T-8th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

New Mexico Offensive Stats & Trends

New Mexico QBs have 9 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

New Mexico QBs have 21 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

New Mexico QBs had 5 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down last week– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

New Mexico Skill Players were targeted 17 times in close and late situations last week– T-4th-most among FBS Teams

New Mexico WRs had 113 receiving yards in close and late situations last week– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Wyoming Cowboys Defensive Stats & Trends

Wyoming has averaged a sack every 30.5 pass attempts (244 Pass Attempts/8 Sacks) this season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 14.7

Wyoming defense has allowed 22 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down this season– most in FBS

Wyoming has tackled opponents for a loss on 2 of 13 rushing attempts (15% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: 10%.

Wyoming has allowed first downs on 12% of pass attempts on 3rd and long this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 29%

Wyoming has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (8/244) this season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 6%

New Mexico Lobos Defensive Stats & Trends

New Mexico has allowed 8.5 touchdowns per interception (17 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 1.7

New Mexico has allowed 8.5 touchdowns per interception (17 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0

New Mexico has intercepted 6 of 542 attempts (90.3 pass attempts per int.) since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 36.3

New Mexico has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 26 of 542 attempts (5%) since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%

New Mexico allowed 6.0 touchdowns per interception (24 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0


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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.