Wyoming vs North Texas Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 4

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North Texas wide receiver Damon Ward Jr. sprints after the snap during the second half of an NCAA football game against UTEP on Saturday, Aug. 27, 2022, in El Paso, Texas. (AP Photo/Andres Leighton)
(AP Photo/Andres Leighton)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 18, 2024, 1:33 PM
  • North Texas is a -9 point favorite vs. Wyoming
  • Wyoming vs. North Texas Total(Over/Under): 55.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

The Wyoming Cowboys (0-3) visit DATCU Stadium to take on the North Texas Mean Green (2-1) on Sep. 21 in Denton, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.

North Texas is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -9 (-110).

The Wyoming vs. North Texas Over/Under is 55.5 total points.

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Wyoming vs. North Texas Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Wyoming+9 -11055.5 -110+240
North Texas -9 -11055.5 -110-300

Wyoming vs North Texas Prediction:

The winning team model predicts North Texas will win this game with 74.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Wyoming and North Texas, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Wyoming vs North Texas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts North Texas will cover the spread with 68.5% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Wyoming has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 5 away games (+5.05 Units / 93% ROI)
  • Wyoming has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Wyoming has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Wyoming has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.90 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Wyoming has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+1.55 Units / 7% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.15 Units / 75% ROI)
  • North Texas have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.65 Units / 20% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+2.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Wyoming players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Wyoming Player Prop Bets Today

  • Evan Svoboda has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 100% ROI)
  • Harrison Waylee has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for North Texas players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best North Texas Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • no trends found

Wyoming Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Wyoming is 0-3 against the spread this college football season (-3.3 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Wyoming is 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Wyoming is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Wyoming is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI

North Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

North Texas is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.15 Units / -35.38% ROI).

  • North Texas is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 40% ROI
  • North Texas is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.85 Units / 25.37% ROI
  • North Texas is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.92% ROI

Wyoming: Keys to the Game vs. North Texas

Wyoming is 6-1 (.750) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .396

Wyoming is 6-1 (.750) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-13th-best in FBS; Average: .495

Wyoming is 6-2 (.600) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-9th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .382

Wyoming is 7-2 (.538) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– T-12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .387

North Texas: Keys to the Game vs. Wyoming

North Texas is undefeated (4-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .382

North Texas is 2-6 (.200) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 29th-worst in FBS; Average: .392

North Texas is 9-4 (.692) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2022 season– 40th-best in FBS; Average: .580

North Texas is 1-4 (.200) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2022 season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .399

Matchup Notes for Wyoming vs. North Texas

North Texas’s WRs has gained 858 yards on 55 receptions (15.6 YPR) this season — 35th-best among FBS WRs. Wyoming’s defense has allowed 13.3 Yards Per Reception this season — 23rd-worst among FBS defenses.

North Texas has 3.0 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-11th-best among FBS skill players. Wyoming’s defense has allowed 2.0 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.

North Texas’s RBs has averaged just 5.4 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 8th-worst among FBS RBs. Wyoming’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2023 season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.

Wyoming’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.9% of 381 attempts since the 2023 season — T-16th-worst among FBS offenses. North Texas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.0% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.

Wyoming’s offense has thrown for 344 passing yards in 3 games (just 114.7 YPG) this season — 6th-worst among FBS offenses. North Texas’s defense has allowed 322.3 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Wyoming’s offense has thrown for 2,535 passing yards in 16 games (just 158.4 YPG) since the 2023 season — 10th-worst among FBS offenses. North Texas’s defense has allowed 240.8 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — T-31st-worst among FBS defenses.

Wyoming Offensive Stats & Trends

Wyoming’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.9% of 381 attempts since the 2023 season — T-16th-worst among FBS offenses. North Texas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.0% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.

Wyoming’s offense has thrown for 344 passing yards in 3 games (just 114.7 YPG) this season — 6th-worst among FBS offenses. North Texas’s defense has allowed 322.3 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Wyoming’s offense has thrown for 2,535 passing yards in 16 games (just 158.4 YPG) since the 2023 season — 10th-worst among FBS offenses. North Texas’s defense has allowed 240.8 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — T-31st-worst among FBS defenses.

Wyoming’s offense has thrown for 344 passing yards in 3 games (just 114.7 YPG) this season — 6th-worst among FBS offenses. North Texas’s defense has allowed 322.3 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Wyoming’s RBs has averaged just 6.4 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-24th-worst among FBS RBs. North Texas’s defense has allowed 13.2 RAC since the 2023 season — 11th-worst among FBS defenses.

North Texas Offensive Stats & Trends

North Texas WRs have 9 receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams

North Texas’s WRs has gained 858 yards on 55 receptions (15.6 YPR) this season — 35th-best among FBS WRs. Wyoming’s defense has allowed 13.3 Yards Per Reception this season — 23rd-worst among FBS defenses.

North Texas has 3.0 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-11th-best among FBS skill players. Wyoming’s defense has allowed 2.0 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.

North Texas WRs have picked up first downs on 5 receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-most among FBS Teams

North Texas Skill Players have averaged 24.0 receptions per game (360/15) since the 2023 season– 18th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 18.9

Wyoming Cowboys Defensive Stats & Trends

Wyoming has sacked opponents 15 times in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Wyoming has sacked opponents 15 times in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– most in FBS

Wyoming has sacked opponents 9 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– most in FBS

Wyoming has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 60 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2022 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 12%.

Wyoming has allowed a Completion Pct of just 31% (4 completions/13 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– T-7th-best in FBS; Average: 54%

North Texas Mean Green Defensive Stats & Trends

North Texas has no interceptions and 22 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.5

North Texas has not forced a fumble (101 carries) this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 43.0

North Texas has tackled opponents for a loss on just 117 of 1,150 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) since the 2022 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

North Texas has forced 6 fumbles on 645 carries (107.5 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2023 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 41.3

North Texas has not forced a fumble (101 carries) this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 42.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.