Denver vs North Dakota State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 18

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North Dakota State coach David Richman talks to his team as they run a play against Arkansas during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game Monday, Nov. 7, 2022, in Fayetteville, Ark. (AP Photo/Michael Woods)
(AP Photo/Michael Woods)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 18, 2024, 12:22 PM
  • North Dakota State (5-9) is a -3.5 point favorite vs Denver (8-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): 158.5 points
  • Denver / North Dakota State TV channel: ESPN+

The Denver Pioneers (8-4) visit Scheels Center to take on the North Dakota State Bison (5-9) on Jan. 18. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Fargo, ND.

North Dakota State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The Denver vs. North Dakota State Over/Under is 158.5 total points.

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Denver vs. North Dakota State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Denver+3.5 -115O 158.5 -110+130
North Dakota State -3.5 -105U 158.5 -110-155

Denver vs North Dakota State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts North Dakota State will win this college basketball game with 57.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Denver vs North Dakota State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Denver will cover the spread with 55.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Denver has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 26 games (+6.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Denver has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 26 games (+4.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Denver has hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 26 games (+2.45 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Denver have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 26 games (+0.95 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Denver has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 16 away games (+0.90 Units / 5% ROI)
  • North Dakota State has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 29 games (+2.80 Units / 9% ROI)
  • North Dakota State has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 29 games (+1.00 Units / 3% ROI)
  • North Dakota State has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+0.35 Units / 1% ROI)

Denver Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Denver has a 8-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.65 Units / -17.76% ROI).

  • 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.5 Units / -70.71% ROI
  • 11-3 when betting the Over for +7.7 Units / 8.33% ROI
  • 3-11 when betting the Under for -9.1 Units / -18.83% ROI

North Dakota State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Dakota State has a 5-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6 Units / -17.76% ROI).

  • 5-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.75 Units / -70.71% ROI
  • 11-4 when betting the Over for +6.6 Units / 8.33% ROI
  • 4-11 when betting the Under for -8.1 Units / -18.83% ROI

Denver Offensive Stats & Trends:

Denver has 23.8 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 18.1

Denver has averaged 85.7 points per game (1,542 points/18 games) this season — best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 76.0

Denver has a 42% free throw rate (1,189 free throw attempts/2,840 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Summit Teams; League Avg: 31%

Denver has 26.4 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 19.3

North Dakota State Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Dakota State is shooting 39% from three (150/389) this season — 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

North Dakota State has a TS% of 51% this season — 3rd best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 48%

North Dakota State is shooting 39% from three (150/389) this season — best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 35%

North Dakota State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (225 assists/ 181 TOs) this season — 4th best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Denver Defensive Stats & Trends:

Denver has averaged 5.9 steals per game (106 steals/18 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Summit Teams; League Avg: 5.8

Denver has averaged 24.9 defensive rebounds per game (448 rebounds/18 games) this season — 4th best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 24.6

Denver has averaged 24.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,231 rebounds/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Summit Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Denver has allowed 76.3 points per game (3,814 points/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 15th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 70.9

North Dakota State Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Dakota State has averaged 4.3 steals per game (219 steals/51 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

North Dakota State has averaged 25.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,318 rebounds/51 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 24.2

North Dakota State has forced 9.1 turnovers per game (463 turnovers/51 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.4

North Dakota State has averaged 24.8 defensive rebounds per game (447 rebounds/18 games) this season — 5th lowest among Summit Teams; League Avg: 24.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.