- Virginia (18-4) are -6.5 point favorites vs Duke (17-7)
- Total (Over/Under): 126.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPN
The Duke Blue Devils (17-7) visit John Paul Jones Arena to take on the Virginia Cavaliers (18-4) on Feb. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Charlottesville.
Virginia is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-105).
The Duke vs. Virginia Over/Under is 126.5 total points.
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Duke vs. Virginia Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Duke | +6.5 -115 | O 126.5 -110 | +200 |
| Virginia | -6.5 -105 | U 126.5 -110 | -250 |
Duke vs Virginia Prediction for Today’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Virginia will win this game with 64.7% confidence.
Duke vs Virginia Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Duke will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Duke and Virginia, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Duke Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Duke has hit the 1H Moneyline in 34 of their last 50 games (+10.75 Units / 7% ROI)
- Duke has hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 away games (+7.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- Duke have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 22 away games (+5.25 Units / 21% ROI)
Virginia Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 41 games (+14.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Virginia have covered the Spread in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Virginia have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.65 Units / 30% ROI)
Duke Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Duke has gone 9-15 against the spread this college basketball season (-7.5 Units / -28.41% ROI).
- 12-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 2.06% ROI
- 9-15 when betting the Over for -7.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
- 15-9 when betting the Under for +5.1 Units / 19.32% ROI
Virginia Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Virginia has gone 9-12 against the spread this college basketball season (-4.2 Units / 0% ROI).
- 14-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.75 Units / 11.48% ROI
- 12-10 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 4.13% ROI
- 10-12 when betting the Under for -3.2 Units / -13.22% ROI
Duke Offensive Stats & Trends:
Duke is shooting 42% (275/649) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%
Duke has 661 assists at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among ACC Teams
Duke has an eFG% of 54% since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
Duke is shooting 47% (1,732/3,660) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends:
Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (331 assists/ 188 TOs) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (331 assists/ 188 TOs) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.1
Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (331 assists/ 188 TOs) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (331 assists/ 188 TOs) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Duke Defensive Stats & Trends:
Duke has averaged 27.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,660 rebounds/61 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4
Duke has averaged 5.3 steals per game (117 steals/22 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.1
Duke has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (779/1,846) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 44%
Duke has allowed opponents to shoot 43% (551/1,284) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%
Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends:
Virginia has averaged 23.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,287 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7
Virginia has averaged 23.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,287 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7
Virginia has averaged 6.7 steals per game (134 steals/20 games) this season — 5th best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.2
Virginia has averaged 6.7 steals per game (134 steals/20 games) this season — 5th best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.2
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