- The Cardinals are -130 favorites vs the Brewers
- Cardinals vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Cardinals / Brewers TV Channel: BSWI | BSMW
The St. Louis Cardinals (-135) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (+110) on Thursday, May 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Cardinals are 15-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 19-17 ATS.
Cardinals vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 4-1, 0.89 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Tobias Myers 0-2, 6.24 ERA
Cardinals vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +125 | O 8 -115 | -135 |
| Brewers | +1.5 -155 | U 8 -105 | +110 |
Cardinals vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 54.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+18.60 Units / 233% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Under in 25 of his last 34 games (+15.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 34 games (+14.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 34 games (+13.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+12.05 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christian Yelich has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 12 games (+20.30 Units / 169% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 19 of his last 36 games (+16.05 Units / 45% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 24 of his last 31 games (+15.40 Units / 38% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 32 games (+9.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- Sal Frelick has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.10 Units / 26% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 away games (+9.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 away games (+9.13 Units / 18% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+5.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 57 away games (+5.65 Units / 9% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.60 Units / 49% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 18-18 against the Run Line (-1.35 Units / -2.85% ROI).
- 15-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.95 Units / -19.79% ROI
- 12-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.4 Units / -31.12% ROI
- 22-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +9 Units / 22.84% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 19-17 against the Run Line (-2 Units / -3.81% ROI).
- 21-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.6 Units / 16.34% ROI
- 21-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.9 Units / 12.44% ROI
- 15-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.9 Units / -19.85% ROI
Brewers vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Brewers vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Lars Nootbaar (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Brewers vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Brewers vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tobias Myers (MIL) | 3.5 -130 | 3.5 +100 |
| Sonny Gray (STL) | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -125 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .283 (89 Total Bases / 314 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .384 — 100th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .308 (92 Total Bases / 299 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .395 — 97th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .118 (27 Total Bases / 228 ABs) on sliders since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .398 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .101 (23-for-228) against Sonny Gray on sliders since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .230 — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tobias Myers has allowed at least one HR in each of his last three games dating back to April 23rd — the longest active streak is 5.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Cardinals are just 15-27 (.357) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .576.
The Cardinals are 28-12 (.700) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 8-85 (.086) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Cardinals are just 19-28 (.404) after a road win since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .489.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Brewers are 27-50 (.351) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .214.
The Brewers are 41-95 (.301) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .206.
The Brewers are 47-14 (.770) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .691.
The Brewers are 49-35 (.583) after a loss since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .492.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting just .234 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .582 (370 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .703.
The Cardinals are batting just .187 against LHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .305 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .388.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have drawn 29 walks in 233 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Brewers are batting just .191 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Brewers hitters have 867 strikeouts in 3,481 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .401 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .549.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Brewers vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Wrist, 7-Day IL
- Jeferson Quero (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Taylor Clarke (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
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