Georgia State vs Marshall Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 8

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Marshall head coach Charles Huff protests a call during the second half of an NCAA college football game against North Carolina State in Raleigh, N.C., Saturday, Oct. 7, 2023. (AP Photo/Karl B DeBlaker)
(AP Photo/Karl B DeBlaker)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 16, 2024, 1:39 PM
  • The Marshall is a -9 point favorite vs. Georgia State
  • The Georgia State vs. Marshall Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN2

The Georgia State Panthers (2-3) visit Joan C. Edwards Stadium to take on the Marshall Thundering Herd (3-3) on Oct. 17 in Huntington, WV. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.

Marshall is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -9 (-110).

The Georgia State vs. Marshall Over/Under is 51.5 total points.

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Georgia State vs. Marshall Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Georgia State+9 -11051.5 -110+270
Marshall -9 -11051.5 -110-350

Georgia State vs Marshall Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Marshall will win this game with 72.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Georgia State and Marshall, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Georgia State vs Marshall Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Marshall will cover the spread with 65.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Marshall vs Georgia State and all games with BetMGM


  • Georgia State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Georgia State has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Georgia State have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Georgia State have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Georgia State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.20 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Marshall have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 5 games at home (+5.15 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Marshall has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.45 Units / 76% ROI)
  • Marshall have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Marshall has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Marshall has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.25 Units / 17% ROI)

Georgia State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia State is 1-4 against the spread this college football season (-3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI).

  • Georgia State is 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.3 Units / -26% ROI
  • Georgia State is 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • Georgia State is 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI

Marshall Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Marshall is 5-0 against the spread this college football season (+5 Units / 75.19% ROI).

  • Marshall is 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -17.32% ROI
  • Marshall is 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Marshall is 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI

Georgia State: Keys to the Game vs. Marshall

Georgia State is 1-9 (.100) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: .461

Georgia State is 1-6 (.143) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-12th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .330

Georgia State is 1-6 (.143) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: .388

Georgia State is 1-9 (.100) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .390

Marshall: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia State

Marshall is undefeated (9-0) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .611

Marshall is 3-7 (.300) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .445

Marshall is undefeated (9-0) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .653

Marshall is 5-2 (.714) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-13th-best in FBS; Average: .506

Matchup Notes for Georgia State vs. Marshall

No notes available for this game

No notes available for this game

Georgia State Offensive Stats & Trends

Georgia State RBs have been targeted 9.2 times per game (46/5) this season– 3rd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.3

Georgia State QBs have rushed for 8 TDs in the 1st quarter since the 2023 season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams

Georgia State QBs have averaged just -5.7 Yards per Carry (-40 yards/7 carries) in the 1st half this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 3.3

Georgia State RBs have been targeted 5.6 times per game (28/5) in the 2nd half this season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 1.9

Georgia State RBs had 5 receptions in the 4th quarter last week– T-most among FBS Teams

Marshall Offensive Stats & Trends

Marshall WRs have caught 5 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter this season– T-most among FBS Teams

Marshall QBs have fumbled 8 times in close and late situations since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams

Marshall Skill Players have averaged just 15.5 receptions per game (93/6) this season– T-28th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 19.0

Marshall QBs have fumbled 9 times in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Marshall RBs have averaged 5.4 Yards per Carry (2,301 yards/428 carries) since the 2023 season– T-33rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

Georgia State Panthers Defensive Stats & Trends

Georgia State has allowed a Completion Pct of 92% (23 completions/25 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Georgia State has allowed a Completion Pct of 92% (23 completions/25 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 62%

Georgia State has allowed a Completion Pct of 79% (11 completions/14 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 53%

Georgia State has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 11 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.

Georgia State has allowed a Completion Pct of 79% (11 completions/14 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 56%

Marshall Thundering Herd Defensive Stats & Trends

Marshall sacked opponents 7 times in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Marshall has tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 19 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.

Marshall opponents has averaged 9.5 Passing Attempts per TD (19 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– T-6th-best in FBS; Average: 3.9

Marshall opponents has averaged 9.5 Passing Attempts per TD (19 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– 5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8

Marshall has sacked opponents 9 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-most in FBS


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