Heat vs Cavaliers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 20

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on TNT | truTV | Max | FDOH

The Miami Heat visit Rocket Arena to take on the Cleveland Cavaliers on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Cleveland, OH, OH.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Heat vs Cavaliers Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 41-42 against the spread, while the Cavaliers are 48-33 against the spread.


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Heat vs. Cavaliers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Miami Heat O
Cleveland Cavaliers U

Cavaliers vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Sunday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Cavaliers.

Cavaliers vs Heat Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 52.5% confidence.


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  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 32 of their last 50 games (+23.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 55 games (+21.30 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 24 of their last 28 away games (+19.40 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 34 of their last 50 games (+16.75 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 48 of their last 78 games (+13.15 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 65 of their last 86 games (+25.65 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 35 of their last 41 games at home (+21.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Game Total Over in 53 of their last 84 games (+18.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 54 of their last 86 games (+13.94 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have covered the Spread in 50 of their last 84 games (+13.70 Units / 15% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 41-42 (-5.2 Units / -5.62% ROI).

  • 39-45 against the Moneyline (-14.45 Units / -9.33% ROI)
  • 45-39 against the Over for game total points (+2.1 Units / 2.27% ROI)
  • 39-45 against the Under for game total points (-10.5 Units / -11.36% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 48-33 (+11.7 Units / 12.97% ROI).

  • 64-18 against the Moneyline (+22.15 Units / 5.88% ROI)
  • 51-31 against the Over for game total points (+16.9 Units / 18.74% ROI)
  • 31-51 against the Under for game total points (-25.1 Units / -27.83% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 77 games (-35.33 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 92 games (-27.70 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 78 games (-26.15 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 90 games (-24.65 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 92 games (-23.27 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 87 games (-27.45 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 86 games (-25.08 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 76 games (-22.43 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 63 games (-19.37 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 4Q Spread in 16 of their last 46 games (-17.85 Units / -33% ROI)

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Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Heat are 6-21 (.222) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 8th-worst in the NBA. The Cavaliers have made 15.9 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd-highest in the NBA.

The Heat were 16-1 (.941) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .822

The Heat are 14-8 (.636) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .557

The Heat are 9-34 (.209) when allowing 110 or more points this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .340

Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Cavaliers are undefeated (14-0) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

The Cavaliers are 46-7 (.868) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646

The Cavaliers are 52-15 (.776) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .495

The Cavaliers are 29-6 (.829) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Heat averaged 45.1 points in the paint per game (1,850 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Heat have averaged 11.7 second chance points per game (1,925 points/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Heat have averaged 12.0 second chance points per game (982 points/82 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have made 15.9 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5

The Cavaliers have an eFG% of 58% this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Cavaliers are shooting 38% from three (1,303/3,401) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Cavaliers have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (2,304 assists/ 1,082 TOs) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (314 blocks/82 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (594 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Heat have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (292 blocks/82 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (350 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Cavaliers have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,985 rebounds/82 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Cavaliers averaged 4.6 blocks per game (380 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Cavaliers have averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (5,896 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.