- The Indiana is a -13.5 point favorite vs. Northwestern
- The Indiana vs. Northwestern Total (Over/Under): 41.5 points
- TV Channel: BTN
The Indiana Hoosiers (5-0) visit Northwestern Medicine Field at Martin Stadium to take on the Northwestern Wildcats (2-2) on Oct. 5 in Evanston, IL. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
Indiana is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-115).
The Indiana vs. Northwestern Over/Under is 41.5 total points.
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Indiana vs. Northwestern Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Indiana | -13.5 -115 | 41.5 -105 | -650 |
| Northwestern | +13.5 -105 | 41.5 -115 | +450 |
Indiana vs Northwestern Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Indiana will win this game with 83.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Indiana and Northwestern, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Indiana vs Northwestern Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Northwestern will cover the spread with 52.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Indiana Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Indiana has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+8.30 Units / 54% ROI)
- Indiana has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.75 Units / 44% ROI)
- Indiana has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 43% ROI)
- Indiana has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+5.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- Indiana have covered the 1H Spread in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
Northwestern Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Northwestern has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+11.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- Northwestern has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+10.40 Units / 103% ROI)
- Northwestern have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 69% ROI)
- Northwestern have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.25 Units / 51% ROI)
- Northwestern have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Indiana players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Indiana Player Prop Bets Today
- Donaven McCulley has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Tayven Jackson has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Northwestern players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Northwestern Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Bryce Kirtz has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Cam Porter has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- A.J. Henning has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Indiana Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Indiana is 4-1 against the spread this college football season (+2.95 Units / 54.63% ROI).
- Indiana is 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 10.07% ROI
- Indiana is 4-1 when betting the Over for +2.95 Units / 54.13% ROI
- Indiana is 1-4 when betting the Under for -3.4 Units / -61.26% ROI
Northwestern Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Northwestern is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -27.27% ROI).
- Northwestern is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.35 Units / -9.21% ROI
- Northwestern is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 20.22% ROI
- Northwestern is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.15 Units / -26.44% ROI
Indiana: Keys to the Game vs. Northwestern
Indiana is 1-5 (.143) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .506
Indiana is 1-8 (.100) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .449
Indiana is 1-5 (.143) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .535
Indiana is 1-5 (.167) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .496
Northwestern: Keys to the Game vs. Indiana
Northwestern is 1-7 (.125) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .445
Northwestern is 6-3 (.667) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: .506
Northwestern is 7-1 (.875) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .762
Northwestern is 1-7 (.125) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-13th-worst in FBS; Average: .392
Matchup Notes for Indiana vs. Northwestern
Northwestern has gained 634 yards on 66 receptions (just 9.6 YPR) this season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten skill players. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 5.7 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — 5th-best among FBS defenses.
Northwestern’s WRs has gained 427 yards on 44 receptions (just 9.7 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten WRs. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 9.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-5th-best among FBS defenses.
Northwestern has gained 634 yards on 66 receptions (just 9.6 YPR) this season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten skill players. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 9.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-5th-best among FBS defenses.
Indiana’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 11.9% of 506 attempts since the 2023 season — T-34th-best among FBS offenses. Northwestern’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.3% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-10th-worst among FBS defenses.
Indiana’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 17.3% of 139 attempts this season — 4th-best among FBS offenses. Northwestern’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.1% of attempts this season — T-6th-worst among FBS defenses.
Indiana has gained 4,060 yards on 314 receptions (12.9 YPR) since the 2023 season — 4th-best among Big Ten skill players. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — 9th-best among FBS defenses.
Indiana Offensive Stats & Trends
Indiana’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 11.9% of 506 attempts since the 2023 season — T-34th-best among FBS offenses. Northwestern’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.3% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-10th-worst among FBS defenses.
Indiana’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 17.3% of 139 attempts this season — 4th-best among FBS offenses. Northwestern’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.1% of attempts this season — T-6th-worst among FBS defenses.
Indiana have rushed for 21 TDs this season– most among FBS Offenses
Indiana has gained 4,060 yards on 314 receptions (12.9 YPR) since the 2023 season — 4th-best among Big Ten skill players. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — 9th-best among FBS defenses.
Indiana’s WRs has gained 1,321 yards on 81 receptions (16.3 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big Ten WRs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 11.0 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.
Northwestern Offensive Stats & Trends
Northwestern WRs have just one touchdown on 44 receptions this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 9.9
Northwestern has gained 634 yards on 66 receptions (just 9.6 YPR) this season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten skill players. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 5.7 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — 5th-best among FBS defenses.
Northwestern’s WRs has gained 427 yards on 44 receptions (just 9.7 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten WRs. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 9.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-5th-best among FBS defenses.
Northwestern WRs have just one touchdown on 44 receptions this season– T-5th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.5
Northwestern has gained 634 yards on 66 receptions (just 9.6 YPR) this season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten skill players. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 9.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-5th-best among FBS defenses.
Indiana Hoosiers Defensive Stats & Trends
Indiana has tackled opponents for a loss on 2 of 8 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 6%.
Indiana had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) last week– T-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 37.8
Indiana had no interceptions and 3 TD passes allowed last week– T-2nd-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 1.9
Indiana has tackled opponents for a loss on 2 of 8 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-12th-best in FBS; Average: 11%.
Indiana has tackled opponents for a loss on 35 of 145 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 17%.
Northwestern Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends
Northwestern has allowed a Completion Pct of just 33% (5 completions/15 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– T-3rd-best in FBS; Average: 54%
Northwestern has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 15 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 25th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.
Northwestern has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 8 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.
Northwestern has sacked opponents 8 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-3rd-most in FBS
Northwestern has no interceptions and 15 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 12.9
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