Iowa vs Northwestern Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 2

Northwestern head coach Chris Collins coaches against Rutgers during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game, Sunday, March 5, 2023 in Piscataway, N.J. Northwestern won 65-53. (AP Photo/Noah K. Murray)
(AP Photo/Noah K. Murray)
  • Northwestern (15-11) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Iowa (11-17)
  • Total (Over/Under): 152.5 points
  • Iowa / Northwestern TV channel: BTN

The Iowa Hawkeyes (11-17) visit Welsh-Ryan Arena to take on the Northwestern Wildcats (15-11) on Mar. 2. Tip off is scheduled for 5:30pm EST in Evanston, IL.

Northwestern is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Iowa vs. Northwestern Over/Under is 152.5 total points.

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Iowa vs. Northwestern Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Iowa+2.5 -110O 152.5 -110+120
Northwestern -2.5 -110U 152.5 -110-145

Iowa vs Northwestern Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Northwestern will win this college basketball game with 61.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Iowa vs Northwestern Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Iowa will cover the spread with 60.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Iowa has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Iowa have covered the 1H Spread in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 away games (+2.80 Units / 93% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.20 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 28 games (+13.50 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+5.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Northwestern have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 32 games (+4.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games (+1.90 Units / 5% ROI)

Iowa Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Iowa has a 11-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-7.7 Units / -24.14% ROI).

  • 12-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 1.23% ROI
  • 19-10 when betting the Over for +8 Units / 25.12% ROI
  • 10-19 when betting the Under for -10.95 Units / -34.27% ROI

Northwestern Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northwestern has a 15-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.9 Units / 9.42% ROI).

  • 17-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +13 Units / 18.28% ROI
  • 16-11 when betting the Over for +3.9 Units / 12.66% ROI
  • 11-16 when betting the Under for -6.6 Units / -21.43% ROI

Iowa Offensive Stats & Trends:

Iowa has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (418 assists/ 228 TOs) this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Iowa has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (961 assists/ 554 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Iowa has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (961 assists/ 554 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.2

Iowa has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (326 assists/ 230 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Northwestern Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northwestern has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (373 assists/ 211 TOs) this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Northwestern has averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (540 turnovers/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Northwestern has averaged 9.2 turnovers per game (211 turnovers/23 games) this season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.4

Northwestern has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (373 assists/ 211 TOs) this season — tied for 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.3

Iowa Defensive Stats & Trends:

Iowa has allowed 75.9 points per game (2,579 points/34 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 65.9

Iowa has 181 steals this season — 2nd most among Big 10 Teams

Iowa has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (1,586/3,416) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Iowa has 397 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd most among Big 10 Teams

Northwestern Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northwestern has averaged 22.4 defensive rebounds per game (515 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.1

Northwestern has averaged 22.4 defensive rebounds per game (515 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 31st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Northwestern has 176 steals this season — 3rd most among Big 10 Teams

Northwestern has allowed an average of 1.35 points per shot (1,406 points/1,044 shots) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.25


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.