Iowa State vs Houston Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 16, 2024, 10:01 AM
  • Houston (16-15) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Iowa State (22-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 121.5 points
  • Iowa State / Houston TV channel: ESPN

The Iowa State Cyclones (22-10) visit T-Mobile Center to take on the Houston Cougars (16-15) on Mar. 16. Tip off is scheduled for 6:00pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.

Houston is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The Iowa State vs. Houston Over/Under is 121.5 total points.

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Iowa State vs. Houston Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Iowa State+5.5 -115O 121.5 -110+190
Houston -5.5 -105U 121.5 -110-250

Iowa State vs Houston Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Houston will win this college basketball game with 67.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Iowa State vs Houston Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Iowa State will cover the spread with 53.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Iowa State have covered the Spread in 22 of their last 34 games (+9.90 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 34 games (+9.90 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 26 games (+7.85 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Iowa State have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 34 games (+2.85 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 34 games (+1.65 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 36 games (+18.85 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 27 games (+15.35 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Houston have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 36 games (+7.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 36 games (+2.40 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Houston have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 36 games (+0.40 Units / 1% ROI)

Iowa State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Iowa State has a 22-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+11 Units / 30.39% ROI).

  • 18-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.75 Units / 10.99% ROI
  • 16-17 when betting the Over for -2.7 Units / -7.44% ROI
  • 17-16 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / -1.65% ROI

Houston Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Houston has a 17-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.6 Units / 4.4% ROI).

  • 21-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.9 Units / 10.68% ROI
  • 14-19 when betting the Over for -6.85 Units / -18.9% ROI
  • 19-14 when betting the Under for +3.6 Units / 9.9% ROI

Iowa State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Iowa St. averaged 28.7 points per game (516 points/18 games) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36.2

Iowa State has averaged 16.9 assists per game (389 assists/23 games) this season — 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.5

Iowa St. shot 27% from three (26/98) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Iowa State has 23.3 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 19.6

Houston Offensive Stats & Trends:

Houston has averaged 14.7 offensive rebounds per game (339 rebounds/23 games) this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 11.4

Houston has averaged 14.7 offensive rebounds per game (339 rebounds/23 games) this season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.0

Houston has averaged 14.7 offensive rebounds per game (339 rebounds/23 games) this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9

Houston has averaged 8.9 turnovers per game (204 turnovers/23 games) this season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Iowa State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Iowa State has forced 17.8 turnovers per game (410 turnovers/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.0

Iowa State has averaged 10.8 steals per game (248 steals/23 games) this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Iowa State has forced 17.1 turnovers per game (957 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.3

Iowa State has averaged 10.8 steals per game (248 steals/23 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8

Houston Defensive Stats & Trends:

Houston has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (370/1,315) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Houston has allowed 56.3 points per game (3,377 points/60 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.1

Houston has averaged 10.1 steals per game (232 steals/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8

Houston has allowed 30.1 points per game (693 points/23 games) in the second half this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.