Angels vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 11

min read
Washington Nationals' Luis Garcia hits an RBI single against the Seattle Mariners to score CJ Abrams during the third inning of a baseball game Monday, June 26, 2023, in Seattle.
(AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 11, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Nationals are -150 favorites vs the Angels
  • Angels vs Nationals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Angels / Nationals TV Channel: Roku

The Los Angeles Angels (+125) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-150) on Sunday, August 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 11:35am EDT in Washington, DC.

This season, the Angels are 51-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 67-51 ATS.

Angels vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Angels starting pitcher: Jack Kochanowicz 0-2, 15.64 ERA
  • Nationals starting pitcher: MacKenzie Gore 7-9, 4.63 ERA

Angels vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Angels+1.5 -175O 8.5 +105+125
Nationals -1.5 +145U 8.5 -125-150

Angels vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Nolan Schanuel has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 19 games (+24.50 Units / 129% ROI)
  • Nolan Schanuel has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+12.55 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Jo Adell has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.95 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Mickey Moniak has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 23 games (+11.85 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Jo Adell has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.40 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Luis Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 17 games at home (+21.50 Units / 126% ROI)
  • Juan Yepez has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 31 games (+15.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Juan Yepez has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 31 games (+14.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Juan Yepez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 30 games (+11.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • MacKenzie Gore has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.00 Units / 73% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 75 games (+10.25 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 58 games (+8.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 59 games (+4.95 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 110 games (+11.45 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 44 games (+10.55 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 110 games (+8.85 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+7.20 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.30 Units / 49% ROI)

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Angels are 65-52 against the Run Line (-2.45 Units / -1.5% ROI).

  • 51-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.45 Units / -2.82% ROI
  • 56-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.4 Units / -3.4% ROI
  • 55-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.15 Units / -4.81% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 67-51 against the Run Line (+7.53 Units / 4.81% ROI).

  • 54-64 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.6 Units / 4.53% ROI
  • 58-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -1 Units / -0.78% ROI
  • 54-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.62 Units / -8.12% ROI

Nationals vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kevin Pillar (LAA) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
Zach Neto (LAA) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Jo Adell (LAA) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Travis Blankenhorn (WAS) 0.5 +500 0.5 -750
Brandon Drury (LAA) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750

Nationals vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Juan Yepez (WAS) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Brandon Drury (LAA) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Taylor Ward (LAA) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Kevin Pillar (LAA) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Alex Call (WAS) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190

Nationals vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Taylor Ward (LAA) 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
Kevin Pillar (LAA) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Juan Yepez (WAS) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Brandon Drury (LAA) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
James Wood (WAS) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210

Nationals vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mackenzie Gore (WAS) 5.5 -110 5.5 -120
Jack Kochanowicz (LAA) 3.5 +120 3.5 -155

Jack Kochanowicz has limited playing time.

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of 31% (105/341) against MacKenzie Gore this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.

MacKenzie Gore has a first-pitch strike rate of just 56% (291/524) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .379 (25-for-66) against MacKenzie Gore on low fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .267 — fourth Percentile.

MacKenzie Gore has allowed a BABIP of .365 this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .285 — first Percentile.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Angels are just 41-46 (.471) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.

The Angels are just 25-114 (.180) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.

The Angels are just 96-17 (.850) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.

The Angels are just 19-25 (.432) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Nationals are 9-2 (.818) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .575.

The Nationals are just 55-215 (.204) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.

The Nationals are just 87-133 (.395) at home since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .526.

The Nationals are just 32-52 (.381) after a home win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .531.

The Angels are hitting just .214 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in the game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Angels hitters have an OBP of just .279 (1,273 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.

Angels hitters have 3,068 strikeouts in 12,193 PA’s (25%) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Angels have scored first in just 35% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Nationals are just 5-17 (.227) against the run line (-41.4% ROI) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .442.

Nationals hitters are slugging just .351 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .403.

Nationals hitters are slugging just .381 against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.

The Nationals are batting .247 with two-strikes this month (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .170.

The Angels pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 65% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Angels pitchers have walked 102 of 1,042 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Angels pitchers have walked 252 of 2,476 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers have walked 374 of 3,916 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Nationals vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jake Alu (Washington Nationals): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Joey Gallo (Washington Nationals): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
  • Josiah Gray (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Trevor Williams (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Mike Trout (Los Angeles Angels): Knee, 10-Day IL
  • Adam Cimber (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
  • Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Andrew Wantz (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Patrick Sandoval (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jose Cisnero (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.