- The Astros are -185 favorites vs the Angels
- Astros vs Angels Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Astros / Angels TV Channel: SCHN | BSW | MLBN
The Houston Astros (-185) visit Angel Stadium of Anaheim to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+150) on Friday, June 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim, CA.
This season, the Astros are 28-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 36-26 ATS.
Astros vs Angels Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez 4-3, 3.98 ERA
- Angels starting pitcher: Griffin Canning 2-5, 4.72 ERA
Astros vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 -110 | O 8.5 -115 | -185 |
| Angels | +1.5 -110 | U 8.5 -105 | +150 |
Astros vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s MLB game with 62.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 8 games (+24.50 Units / 306% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 37 of his last 48 games (+19.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 45 games (+15.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 32 of his last 50 games (+13.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Singles Under in 33 of his last 48 games (+12.00 Units / 17% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jo Adell has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 25 games at home (+24.50 Units / 98% ROI)
- Jo Adell has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 33 games (+20.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+15.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- Zach Neto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 24 of his last 38 games (+11.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- Zach Neto has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 43 games (+10.45 Units / 16% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 46 games (+12.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 28 away games (+10.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games (+4.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 42 games (+4.10 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+2.15 Units / 43% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 20 games (+10.40 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 36 of their last 62 games (+8.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.40 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+3.40 Units / 56% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 26-37 against the Run Line (-10.6 Units / -14.22% ROI).
- 28-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.45 Units / -20.51% ROI
- 23-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.15 Units / -25% ROI
- 37-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.55 Units / 16.48% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 36-26 against the Run Line (-2.3 Units / -2.51% ROI).
- 24-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.85 Units / -12.33% ROI
- 32-28 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.1 Units / 1.61% ROI
- 28-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.1 Units / -10.45% ROI
Angels vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -275 |
| Trey Cabbage (HOU) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Angels vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Kevin Pillar (LAA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jake Meyers (HOU) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Angels vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Kevin Pillar (LAA) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Angels vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Framber Valdez (HOU) | 4.5 -175 | 4.5 +135 |
| Griffin Canning (LAA) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Framber Valdez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .292 (167 Total Bases / 572 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .377 — 100th Percentile.
Framber Valdez has thrown inside pitches 47% of the time (852/1,811) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 68% (73/107) against Framber Valdez in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .195 (64-for-328) against Framber Valdez when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 93rd Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Griffin Canning has allowed a slugging percentage of .639 (62 Total Bases / 97 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .380 — first Percentile.
Griffin Canning has allowed an OPS of .991 (108 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .671 — first Percentile.
Griffin Canning has thrown his fastball for a strike just 58% (218/378) of the time this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 67% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 19% (36/191) against Griffin Canning this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — sixth Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Astros are 113-77 (.595) on the road since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .475.
The Astros are 64-46 (.582) after a road win since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .489.
The Astros are 18-18 (.500) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Astros are just 9-15 (.375) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Angels are just 17-20 (.459) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.
The Angels are just 78-15 (.839) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.
The Angels are just 21-104 (.168) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Angels are just 18-25 (.419) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 756 strikeouts in 4,331 PA’s (17%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have an OPS of just .379 (134 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .689.
Astros hitters have just 435 strikeouts in 2,481 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (2,020/14,689 PA’s) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have 2,706 strikeouts in 10,584 PA’s (26%) against RHP since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .634 (1,131 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .736.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .290 (1,823 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .274 (1,131 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.56 (1660.1 IP) on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.24.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 59 of 553 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 331 of 3,427 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 209 of 1,987 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Angels pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Michael Stefanic (Los Angeles Angels): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Sam Bachman (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Mickey Moniak (Los Angeles Angels): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Austin Warren (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Aaron Loup (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
- Randal Grichuk (Los Angeles Angels): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Jose Quijada (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
- Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
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