Astros vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 11

San Francisco Giants' Wilmer Flores (41) throws to first against the Los Angeles Dodgers during a baseball game in San Francisco, Friday, Sept. 29, 2023. (AP Photo/Jed Jacobsohn)
(AP Photo/Jed Jacobsohn)
  • The Astros are -110 favorites vs the Giants
  • Astros vs Giants Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Astros / Giants TV Channel: SCHN | NSBA | MLBN

The Houston Astros (-110) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-110) on Tuesday, June 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.

This season, the Astros are 30-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 33-34 ATS.

Astros vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Astros starting pitcher: Ronel Blanco 5-2, 2.80 ERA
  • Giants starting pitcher: Jordan Hicks 4-2, 2.81 ERA

Astros vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros-1.5 +155O 8 -115-110
Giants +1.5 -190U 8 -105-110

Astros vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 12 games (+20.50 Units / 171% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 37 of his last 50 games (+16.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Jose Altuve has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+13.85 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Jose Altuve has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+13.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 49 games (+12.85 Units / 22% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 20 games (+20.50 Units / 102% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 32 of his last 40 games (+16.75 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+12.75 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Total Bases Under in 27 of his last 40 games (+11.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Jordan Hicks has hit the Earned Runs Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.40 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 32 away games (+7.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 25 games (+3.55 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 28 games (+2.50 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 9 games (+2.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.05 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 27 games at home (+7.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 27 games at home (+7.55 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games (+6.95 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 27 games (+6.70 Units / 22% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 28-39 against the Run Line (-10.6 Units / -13.48% ROI).

  • 30-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.1 Units / -19.91% ROI
  • 24-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.55 Units / -26.71% ROI
  • 40-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.55 Units / 18.24% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 33-34 against the Run Line (-4.35 Units / -4.92% ROI).

  • 33-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.4 Units / -5.43% ROI
  • 35-30 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.15 Units / 2.93% ROI
  • 30-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.65 Units / -11.7% ROI

Giants vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Jorge Soler (SF) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
Mike Yastrzemski (SF) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900
Michael Conforto (SF) 0.5 +650 0.5 -1000

Giants vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Alex Bregman (HOU) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Heliot Ramos (SF) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Jake Meyers (HOU) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

Giants vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yainer Diaz (HOU) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Jorge Soler (SF) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Jeremy Pena (HOU) 0.5 +175 0.5 -225

Giants vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ronel Blanco (HOU) 4.5 -160 4.5 +125
Jordan Hicks (SF) 4.5 +100 4.5 -135

Opponents have a miss rate of 42% (34/80) against Ronel Blanco on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% (30/171) against Ronel Blanco this season — tied for lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .204 (21-for-103) against Ronel Blanco in non-two strike counts this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .313 — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting just .185 (20-for-108) against Ronel Blanco this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 91st Percentile.

Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jordan Hicks has walked 15 of 117 batters (13%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.

Jordan Hicks has thrown 770 fastballs at 100+ MPH since the 2022 season — most among NL Relievers — 100th Percentile.

Jordan Hicks has thrown 564 fastballs at 100+ MPH since last season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 19% (39/210) against Jordan Hicks this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — fifth Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Astros are just 0-27 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .060.

The Astros are 162-23 (.876) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

The Astros are 49-32 (.605) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .461.

The Astros are just 5-34 (.128) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Giants are just 34-55 (.382) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .412.

The Giants are 25-164 (.132) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .096.

The Giants are 33-19 (.635) after a home loss since the 2023 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .512.

The Giants are just 27-30 (.474) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .579.

Astros hitters have just 766 strikeouts in 4,416 PA’s (17%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have just 118 strikeouts in 765 PA’s (15%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have just 445 strikeouts in 2,566 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the right side of the field since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Giants hitters have 1,078 strikeouts in 4,421 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Giants hitters are slugging just .246 with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.

The Giants are batting just .244 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.

Giants hitters have an OBP of just .307 (4,103 PA’s) at home since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .321.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Astros pitchers have walked 253 of 2,547 batters (10%) this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 209 of 3,472 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Giants vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
  • Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
  • Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
  • Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
  • Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
  • Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
  • Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
  • Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
  • Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
  • Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
  • Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.