- The Phillies are -165 favorites vs the Astros
- Astros vs Phillies Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Astros / Phillies TV Channel: FS1 | NSPA | SCHN
The Houston Astros (+140) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-165) on Monday, August 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Astros are 70-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 65-65 ATS.
Astros vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Ronel Blanco 9-6, 3.15 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 12-6, 2.76 ERA
Astros vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | +1.5 -160 | O 8 -115 | +140 |
| Phillies | -1.5 +135 | U 8 -105 | -165 |
Astros vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Monday‘s MLB game with 56.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 25 away games (+57.90 Units / 232% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 23 away games (+15.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+14.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 29 games (+13.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 14 away games (+13.30 Units / 95% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryce Harper has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 42 games (+12.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 29 games (+11.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 32 games (+11.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Under in 32 of his last 43 games (+10.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+9.65 Units / 27% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 67 of their last 113 games (+18.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 72 games (+14.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 57 games (+12.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 12 away games (+10.50 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 away games (+9.45 Units / 52% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 38 of their last 56 games at home (+16.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 54 games at home (+15.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 38 games (+11.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 33 games at home (+10.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 55 games at home (+7.95 Units / 7% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 65-65 against the Run Line (+1.65 Units / 1.03% ROI).
- 70-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.65 Units / -4.11% ROI
- 52-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -29.8 Units / -20.96% ROI
- 75-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.55 Units / 12.18% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 65-65 against the Run Line (-2.75 Units / -1.74% ROI).
- 76-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -1.08% ROI
- 61-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.8 Units / -6.84% ROI
- 64-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.45 Units / -2.42% ROI
Phillies vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -350 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Phillies vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Phillies vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Phillies vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Wheeler (PHI) | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -120 |
| Ronel Blanco (HOU) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .124 (23-for-185) against Ronel Blanco when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 100th Percentile.
Ronel Blanco has walked 23 of 212 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .136 (33-for-243) against Ronel Blanco when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: .248 — 100th Percentile.
Ronel Blanco has walked 26 of 217 batters (12%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Wheeler has allowed an OBP of just .202 (272 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .157 (40-for-255) against Zack Wheeler this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has allowed an OBP of just .221 (646 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: .308 — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has allowed an OPS of just .445 (273 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .678 — 100th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Astros are 78-54 (.591) after a road win since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .485.
The Astros are just 3-10 (.231) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are just 10-20 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 189-27 (.875) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Phillies are 7-2 (.778) after a win as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Phillies are 18-11 (.621) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
The Phillies are 27-23 (.540) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Phillies are 42-22 (.656) at home this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .525.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 900 strikeouts in 5,006 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
15% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (762/4,914 PA’s) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 12%.
Astros hitters are slugging .494 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .370.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are batting .341 against LHP this month (20 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
The Phillies are batting .275 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .393 (229 PA’s) against LHP this month (20 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .348 (1,578 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have walked 998 of 10,961 batters (9%) since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Phillies pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 821 of 10,903 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 351 of 4,829 batters (7%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Philadelphia Phillies – No Injuries Reported
- Houston Astros – No Injuries Reported
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