- The Astros are -145 favorites vs the Reds
- Astros vs Reds Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Astros / Reds TV Channel: SCHN | BSOH
The Houston Astros (-145) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+120) on Wednesday, September 4, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Astros are 75-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 77-62 ATS.
Astros vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Spencer Arrighetti 7-11, 4.67 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Nick Martinez 6-6, 3.78 ERA
Astros vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 +110 | O 9 -115 | -145 |
| Reds | +1.5 -135 | U 9 -105 | +120 |
Astros vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 57.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 20 away games (+43.40 Units / 217% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 50 games (+16.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 33 of his last 44 games (+14.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 36 games (+12.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 36 games (+11.60 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 15 games at home (+23.00 Units / 153% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 28 games (+21.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 28 games (+16.50 Units / 40% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 37 games (+14.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 28 games (+11.55 Units / 32% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 72 of their last 121 games (+21.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 80 games (+17.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 65 games (+13.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 16 away games (+10.20 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 44 games (+10.15 Units / 19% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 58 games at home (+15.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 69 of their last 121 games (+12.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 42 of their last 70 games at home (+8.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 48 games (+8.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 48 games at home (+1.45 Units / 3% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 70-68 against the Run Line (+4.6 Units / 2.72% ROI).
- 75-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.25 Units / -3.17% ROI
- 54-80 when betting on the total runs Over for -33.2 Units / -22.03% ROI
- 80-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.2 Units / 13.19% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 77-62 against the Run Line (+8.45 Units / 4.6% ROI).
- 66-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -10 Units / -6.03% ROI
- 65-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.5 Units / -5.53% ROI
- 66-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.85 Units / -3.84% ROI
Reds vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -250 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Victor Caratini (HOU) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Reds vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Victor Caratini (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Mauricio Dubon (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Amed Rosario (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Reds vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Victor Caratini (HOU) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Reds vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Arrighetti (HOU) | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
| Nick Martinez (Cin) | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -115 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Arrighetti has pitched 14.2 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Raisel Iglesias has the longest active streak at 31.0.
Spencer Arrighetti has walked 16 of 115 batters (14%) with runners in scoring position this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 8% — sixth Percentile.
Spencer Arrighetti has 36 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 2nd most among pitchers in MLB — 99th Percentile.
Spencer Arrighetti has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 12.1 innings pitched — Griffin Jax has the longest active streak at 17.0.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Martinez has walked 3 of 118 batters (3%) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Nick Martinez has allowed a .488 SLG at home (tied for seventh worst)– eighth Percentile and just .330 on the road this season (tied for 12th best among non-qualified SPs)– 90th Percentile.
Nick Martinez has a strike rate of 69% (273/398) with runners in scoring position this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 94th Percentile.
Nick Martinez has thrown his changeup 27% of the time (362/1,341) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 9th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 17% — 81st Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Astros are just 10-21 (.323) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are just 0-48 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Astros are just 4-10 (.286) after a loss as underdogs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .432.
The Astros are 131-14 (.903) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .858.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Reds are just 34-37 (.479) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .588.
The Reds are just 12-24 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 64-59 (.520) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .637.
The Reds are just 6-15 (.286) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Games involving the Astros went UNDER in 79% of their games (48.3% ROI) after a loss as underdogs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Astros won 63% of their road games in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Astros have won 87% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.
Games involving the Astros went UNDER in 58% of their games (14.1% ROI) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds scored first in just 44% of their road games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
The Reds are 32-15 (.681) against the run line (22.8% ROI) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .462.
The Reds have scored first in just 49% of their road games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
The Reds are 24-10 (.706) against the run line (31.6% ROI) after a road loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .522.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 5% of innings played since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
Astros pitchers have won 35% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 42% of their games since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 40% of their games this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Reds pitchers have won 41% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Reds pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 54% of their games since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Reds pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 59% of their games in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Reds vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Cincinnati Reds – No Injuries Reported
- Houston Astros – No Injuries Reported
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